BearTalk

Cal Sports Live and Direct

2007 Pac-10

By Jonathan Okanes
Thursday, July 12th, 2007 at 3:12 pm in off-season stuff.

Well, folks. I submitted my Pac-10 predictions to the conference office. The media preseason poll will be announced at Pac-10 media day on July 26. I thought I would share my picks with you, and you can proceed to rip them all you want. Here goes:

1. USC. Not much to go over here. Some think this might be the best Trojans team ever. On paper, it certainly looks as though they are deeper than ever before at so many positions. The only good news for their opponents is they can only play 11 of them at one time.

2. Cal. The Bears have questions about their defense, but they’ve had questions before and come through. If Cal can get respectable defensive play, its offense should be good enough to carry them to an elite level. The season-opener against Tennessee may go a long way toward setting the tone for what kind of season this may be.

3. UCLA. The Bruins are getting a lot of love from the prognosticators because they have 20 starters returning. But experience doesn’t always guarantee success. Let’s not forget that UCLA was only 7-6 last season and was beaten handily by Florida State in the Emerald Bowl. Still, they won three of their last four, including an upset of USC that knocked the Trojans out of the national championship picture. The big question for UCLA: Can its offense catch up to its defense?

4. Oregon State. It seems many tend to forget the Beavers finished last season ranked No. 21 in the final AP top 25. They have 18 starters returning to a team that went 8-1 during its final nine games. Unfortunately, one of those starters is not the quarterback. If likely starter Sean Canfield can produce, it should be another good season in Corvallis.

5. Arizona State. This is where things get a bit dicey. Arizona State and Oregon appear to be the next two best teams, and the Sun Devils get the edge, partly because of their schedule. Arizona St. gets USC and Cal at home and one of its road games is at Stanford. The Sun Devils also begin the season with four straight home games, which should do wonders for their confidence.

6. Oregon. Big things were expected of the Ducks last season but they disappointed with a 7-6 record, including four losses in a row to end the season. Oregon still has offensive firepower with quarterback Dennis Dixon and running back Jonathan Stewart. An early nonconference showdown at Michigan will be a stern test.

7. Arizona. Coach Mike Stoops may start feeling the heat if the Wildcats don’t break through in his fourth year. Arizona had an impressive defense last season and Stoops brought in spread offense guru Sonny Dykes as offensive coordinator. If Arizona doesn’t get much out of talented quarterback Willie Tuitama, Stoops may be out of a job.

8. Washington. Even though they had a six-game losing streak before beating Washington State in their season-finale, the Huskies showed signs last year that they are starting to turn the corner. Two of their losses during the streak — at Cal and against Arizona State — came in overtime. They also lost a close game at UCLA. Washington has talent, including new quarterback Jake Locker, who could become a star if he gets any help.

9. Washington State. Trivia question: Who ranks second among the country’s active quarterbacks in touchdown passes? That’s right, WSU’s Alex Brink with 50. The four-year starter has been a pretty good kept secret in Pullman. Unfortunately, for him, he won’t have playmaker Jason Hill around anymore. Hill was drafted in the third round by the 49ers.

10. Stanford. New coach Jim Harbaugh talks a good game. It doesn’t appear the Cardinal has the ammunition to back him up. Harbaugh has a huge task ahead of him, and he will have to prove he can succesfully recruit to Stanford before any judgement is passed. For now, only a minor improvement from last year’s 1-11 record can be expected.

[You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.]

  • Pete Morris

    I can’t really argue with your ballot, but I’ll quibble anyway. First, the gap between USC and Cal is lessened by (a) Cal’s deeper pool of experienced playmakers on offense, and (b) the Berkeley location of their November showdown. Second, I’d flip-flop ASU and UofA. For a midlevel team, having home games against the two conference giants, which you can’t realistically expect to win, is not an advantage; ASU would be better served by having the more beatable Bruins and Ducks at home.

  • build-a-bear

    Jon, I like your picks for the this upcoming season. They match mine except I have Stanfurd at #11 right below UC Davis, haha.

    As far as the Cal Tennessee game goes, I could see it going both ways. Of course I’m pulling for a Cal win. My only concern is that when they do, and then run up the non-conference games after that, will they go into pac10 play overconfident like they normally do after big wins or comfortable stretches. That’s why I saw last year’s Tenn game as being a “great loss” because Cal then used the non conference games after that to better prepare for conference play. But we all know they eventually got overconfident and were upended by Arizona =/

    I don’t want to see that again.

  • LaughingBear

    Maybe it’s wishful thinking, but I predict a USC offensive collapse — last year, the pure talent of Booty/Jarret/Smith overcame some pretty mediocre play-calling. But they don’t have nay experienced recievers entering the season. Also, while loosing Kiffen isn’t too damaging to the “brain trust” it does hurt their continuity.

    USC is facing national-caliber defenses in AZ, OSU, UCLA. Then add getting into a offensive shootouts with Cal and Nebraska, and I see them dropping at least 2 of these games.

    While Cal faces the toughest defenses at home (AZ, OSU USC), so Longshore will be able to make sight adjustments/audibles that he couldn’t do last year in hostile stadiums. Finally, “Speed Kills” — and Cal is the fastest team in the Pac10 on both sides of the ball.

    Cal may lose to USC, but USC will lose more games, that’s why I have Cal at #1.

    AZ is too low — great defense, and with the Texas Tech offense, I actually think they will be in the hunt for #3 (w/ OSU, ASU, UCLA)

    Also, it seems like Oregon is imploding – Dixon is thinking about his baseball career and they lost one of their star defenders, so I’d drop them down a bit.

  • Daniel

    The main quibble I have is UCLA’s “great” defense. Didn’t any offense not named USC with a pulse put up 30+ points on them?
    Yes, UCLA held OSU to 7 points as well, but I just don’t buy that 2 good games doth a great defense make.
    That said, I could see taking them over OSU with a new QB, but I think Oregon should be better than predicted here.

  • RoseBowlBears

    One correction – Washington actually beat UCLA last year…because of predictable ol’ Dorrellian play calling. Calling runs up the gut every time you get into field goal range aint the way you put a team away.

    Is there a bigger pretender in the country than UCLA? There’s only one returning guy at UCLA that matters – Dorrell. The guy couldn’t coach his way out of a paper bag. If it wasn’t for Walker’s miracle job on the defense (which was okay at best), leading them to a win over USC, Dorrell’s seat would be the hottest in the country.

    How is UCLA getting so much love and OSU gets none? Yeah they lost their QB, but they have two of the most underrated players in the country in Sammie Stroughter and Yvenson Bernard, and 18 starters back from a 10 win team that beat USC.