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Football: Rodgers “highly doubtful”

By Jonathan Okanes
Tuesday, November 25th, 2008 at 11:29 am in Mid-week.

This is news that significantly impacts Cal. It looks like Oregon State star running back Jacquizz Rodgers isn’t going to play against Oregon on Saturday. The Bears need Oregon State to win if they want to go to the Holiday Bowl.

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  • 925

    unfortunately we should’ve taken care of business in Corvalis and we wouldn’t have to pin our Holiday Bowl hopes on a 5’7″ running back in another state.

    Roll On

  • Jan K Oski

    That 5’7″ RB is the best in the PAC-10 this year, but I think the Beavers still win based upon these stats:

    TDs Passing Yards Rushing Yards
    Offense 41 242.7 171.5
    Defense 24 177.6 112.0

    They pass for more yards than rush, so if Moevo returns, they’ll be fine against the porous Duck secondary. Then, their defense is legit, and I bet they shutdown the Ducks run happy offense, even though Masoli had a career day against the kitties.

    Still, even if the Beavers win, there’s no guarantee our Bears will be chosen by the Holiday Bowl.

    Go BEARS!

  • Jan K Oski

    oh yeah, Happy Thanksgiving, JO!

  • 925

    Holiday Bowl committee already came out and said it. I forget where I read it but they said if Cal and Oregon end up tied then they will choose Cal based on the first tie breaker which is head to head. All that being said we need to take care of business against UW. We should have no problem but as Berman says “That’s why they play the game”

    And I’m not sure the Beavers will still win. Throw it all out the window in Rivalry games. I.E. Cal vs. Stanford last year. And to have your best player out to boot. It will be tough for the Beavers.

  • wehofx

    I saw most of the OSU vs Zona game. The running back – McCants??? – looked good. Riley is a very good coach – Pac 10 is packed with’em. OSU wins. Bring on Texas Tech.

    Great job this year, JO. Happy Thanksgiving to all!

  • DanTheCalFan

    If OSU wins, Cal is not guaranteed to go to Holiday Bowl. The Holiday Bowl has not come out on the record and said that they would chose Cal over Oregon in the event of a tie. It is their perogative to choose either, they have guidelines to help- head to head and last appearance. It is speculated that they would choose Cal, but it is not certain.

    Also, Cal in Holiday Bowl could be a train wreck, playing one of the top teams from the Big 12. Would Cal rather go the HB and lose, or go to a lesser Bowl and win?

  • Haashole

    Dan – do you know how the split works btwn the B12 North and B12 South? I.e. if Cal got Missouri instead of one of the Texas schools in the Holiday Bowl, that wouldn’t be such a bad thing. Mizzou hasn’t beaten anyone and has lost to both ranked teams they’ve played (Illinois was technically ranked at beg of the season but they suck, and even here Mizzou barely squeaked by while giving up 42pts). I would put money on Cal to beat a very overrated team

  • Jan K Oski

    Haas- On 11/24, Tim Griffin, who follows the Big12 for ESPN, posted the following blog entry, “Big 12 bowl projections: Sooners could soar to BCS title game”, and started the article with “The Big 12′s bowl alignment isn’t any clearer after only two games last week.” Basically, if Cal does go to the Holiday Bowl, they could play one of 5 teams, Missouri, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas or Texas Tech.

    Hopefully, the following link works:

    http://myespn.go.com/blogs/big12?archiveId=4&start=16

    Basically, no one knows until the end of the regular season which culminates with the Big12 Championship. Even then, the writing will not be on the wall. Personally, I’d like to see our Bears against any of those teams, as a month of practice will be enough to heal some bodies and put the offense in gear like it was against MSU (K. Riley, QB 17-24, 202 yds
    2 TDs). That’s my 2 cents.

    Go BEARS!

  • SonofCalifornia

    Nothing scientific about this, but my hunch is that the Big 12 will likely be sending Missouri or Oklahoma St. to the Holiday Bowl. I think Texas Tech would be a long shot since they will likely handle Baylor in their final game and go 11-1 on the season. I think this would make them a candidate for a stronger bowl and rumor has it the Cotton Bowl would be more likely to take them in that scenario.

    Oklahoma will likely handle Oklahoma St. in their final game, thereby handing the cowboys another loss in the process (bringing them to 9-3 on the season). If Missouri wins over Kansas in their final game, they will be 10-2 on the season. If they lose to Kansas they will be 9-3 on the season.

    In either Missouri scenario they win the Big 12-North and there should be a Big 12-South three-way tie for 1st between Texas, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech. I’m not sure how that will be worked out since Texas lost to Texas Tech, Oklahoma lost to Texas, and Texas Tech lost to Oklahoma. I’m going to guess that Oklahoma has greater “strength of schedule” than either Texas or Texas Tech and gets the conference title.

    And then that plays into the Big 12 Championship game. It should be Missouri vs. Oklahoma. Assuming Oklahoma wins, Missouri picks up another loss and the final Big 12 breakdown might look something like this:

    1. Oklahoma – BCS
    2. Texas – BCS
    2. Texas Tech – Cotton
    3. Missouri – (Big 12 3rd = Holiday Bowl)
    4. Oklahoma St. – (Holiday Bowl? Alamo Bowl?)

    OK, my head hurts now.

  • MoreNCsarecoming

    Randall Carroll is the kind of player that USC recruits and signs. Notice the attitude.

    “It’s definitely appealing to think about playing right and playing in front of my family,” said Carroll about playing for USC. “But Cal would be a real nice place to go and they have a nice campus and academics and all. Cal gave me a lot to think about. Their program just needs a few players like me and they can be at the top every year.” >>>>>>>>>>>> Some people would describe him as arrogant and would scare away most if not all of the 9 drawfs. In our case we encourage and feed off it and call it confidence. As I have said before what makes Pete Carroll special is that he can take 85 players with the same attitude and mold them into a team.

  • SonofCalifornia

    Nothing scientific about this, but my hunch is that the Big 12 will likely be sending Missouri or Oklahoma St. to the Holiday Bowl. I think Texas Tech would be a long shot since they will likely handle Baylor in their final game and go 11-1 on the season. I think this would make them a candidate for a stronger bowl and rumor has it the Cotton Bowl would be more likely to take them in that scenario.

    Oklahoma will likely handle Oklahoma St. in their final game, thereby handing the cowboys another loss in the process (bringing them to 9-3 on the season). If Missouri wins over Kansas in their final game, they will be 10-2 on the season. If they lose to Kansas they will be 9-3 on the season.

    In either Missouri scenario they win the Big 12-North and there should be a Big 12-South three-way tie for 1st between Texas, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech. I’m not sure how that will be worked out since Texas lost to Texas Tech, Oklahoma lost to Texas, and Texas Tech lost to Oklahoma. I’m going to guess that Oklahoma has greater “strength of schedule” than either Texas or Texas Tech and gets the conference title.

    And then that plays into the Big 12 Championship game. It should be Missouri vs. Oklahoma. Assuming Oklahoma wins, Missouri picks up another loss and the final Big 12 breakdown might look something like this:

    1. Oklahoma – BCS
    2. Texas – BCS
    2. Texas Tech – Cotton
    3. Missouri – (Big 12 3rd = Holiday Bowl)
    4. Oklahoma St. – (Holiday Bowl? Alamo Bowl?)

    OK, my head hurts now.

  • Tyler M.

    Haas – I wouldn’t say Mizzou’s offense is overrated. Their offense is very similar to Arizona, who beat up on us last month. When they were 5-0 they had not had a three-and-out yet in the season.

    All I want for Christmas is for Carroll, Kennard, Lokombo, Coleman and Lokombo to commit to Cal. That’s all I want in addition to a new car.

  • Tyler M.

    I meant Hall instead of Lokombo twice. My bad.

  • Teff EdFord (also from Concord)

    GO Bears, and Go Beavers – I’d like to see another Pac-10 team play in the Rose Bowl for once, and those rodents have earned it, especially if they can knock off Oregon in the CW.
    Plus, Beaver fans are much classier than Duck fans, they deserve a Rose Bowl shot, and it looks like the Emerald Bowl (no cool road trip) if they lose. We may actually surprise the Big-12, we have a month to learn how to catch…

  • MoreNCsarecoming

    I have it on good sources that both Carroll and Kennard are USC’s. Kennard will step in for Cush. Hall will also be crazy not to sign with SC since Taylor will be heading to the NFL which will open up the position for Hall. Throw in Manti Teo and our recruiting is done and we have another monster class.

  • SonofCalifornia

    Why is my comment “awaiting moderation” for 2 days now and hasn’t posted? This site is annoying!

  • AmyFan4Life

    Amy, Could your source be Carrol has formed a dynasty? It doesn’t take a single brain cell to recognize our coaches have a lock for most recruit. Oh yeah, we still don’t miss you on the Scout boards! Enjoy hitting F5 on here, your exile destination. Lame-O Trollin!