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Basketball: USC scouting report

By Jeff Faraudo
Saturday, January 22nd, 2011 at 12:56 am in Basketball, Gameday.

The seventh game of Cal’s Pac-10 schedule — Saturday night at USC — is also its fifth on the road.

Does that explain the Bears’ 2-4 conference record?

Not entirely, of course. Maybe not even close.

But it’s a factor.

“It’s always been a home and away deal,” Cal coach Mike Montgomery said, “except the very best teams.”

That would be Washington, whose first-place record of 6-1 includes three road victories.

“The very best teams are not affected by the home and away deal,” Montgomery said. “As long as I’ve been around, home and away makes a big difference. It’s a plus-minus thing.”

Montgomery has long prescribed to a point system which awards one point for each road victory and deducts one for each home defeat. By the end of the conference season, when each team will have played every other team home and away, we’ll know the Pac-10′s best team.

And it probably will be Washington, perhaps followed by Arizona.

The Bears lost by two points each on the road to Arizona and UCLA. But also by 21 at home to Washington. Seven of their final 11 conference games are at home.

How much does that alter the equation? Where do the Bears fit in?

Montgomery is eager to find out, but he understands he won’t know for sure until March 5. 

“There’s some teams that at the end of this week will have had five home games. We’ve had two,” he said. ”And maybe the people they’ve played are more of the beatable quality. 

“A lot depends on who you play, where you play ‘em. That’s why it’s an 18-game schedule.”

Pac-10 standings
Washington 6-1
Arizona 4-2
UCLA 4-2
Washington St. 4-3
USC 3-3
Stanford 3-3
Oregon State 3-3
Cal 2-4
Arizona St. 1-5
Oregon 1-5

Pac-10 Plus-Minus
Washington +3   (3 road wins, 0 home losses)
Arizona +1   (1 road win, 0 home losses)
UCLA +1   (2 road wins, 1 home loss)
Washington St. +1   (1 road win, 0 home losses)
Cal 0   (1 road win, 1 home loss)
Stanford 0   (1 road win, 1 home loss)
Arizona St. -1   (1 road win, 2 home losses)
Oregon St. -1   (0 road wins, 1 home loss)
USC -1   (0 road wins, 1 home loss)
Oregon -3   (0 road wins, 3 home losses)

USC SCOUT: Second-year coach Kevin O’Neill has no more depth than Cal and four starters play an average of more than 32 minutes per game. But that’s been his trademark since his stint at Arizona, and the Trojans seem to be coping . . . Junior Nikola Vucevic, the reigning Pac-10 rebound leader, leads the conference with 11 double-doubles and missed two more by just a single rebound. He teams up front with senior Alex Stepheson, who has seven double-doubles . . .  Junior PG Jio Fontan, a transfer from Fordham, has scored at least nine points in all nine of his games since becoming eligible . . . Maurice Jones, a 5-7 freshman from Saginaw, Mich., had games of 29 and 20 points early in the season, but has scored a bit less since Fontan began playing . . . Senior Marcus Simmons is the club’s defensive specilist. He limited Stanford’s Jeremy Green to five points on 2-for-9 shooting on Thursday . . . Trojans are allowing just 62.2 ppg and are coming off a 65-42 rout of Stanford, in which the Cardinal shot 22 percent.

MONTGOMERY ON THE TROJANS: ”They might be the best defensive team in the league when they’re on. Part of the reason is they’re so big and physical at the post. They’ve got the two most experienced physical big guys, so that allows them to play their own guy without having to help at all. Simmons is maybe the best defender in the league interms of a guy that that’s always been his role. Two quick guards. It’s pretty obvious with Stanford getting 42 points that they came out and really defended. It’ll be a real challenge.”

SERIES: Cal leads 127-119. The teams split the two games last season. Cal is winless in four tries at the Galen Center.

TIPOFF: 8 p.m. Saturday at the Galen Center, Los Angeles. TV: CSN Plus. Radio: 910-AM.

Cal (9-9, 2-4)

Starters Ht Yr Pts Rebs
PF Harper Kamp 6-8 Jr. 14.2 5.5
C Markhuri Sanders-Frison 6-7 Sr. 10.1 7.9
SF Allen Crabbe 6-6 Fr. 11.4 5.6
SG Jorge Gutierrez 6-3 Jr. 12.2 4.1*
PG Brandon Smith 5-11 So. 4.5 3.2*
Key reserves
F Richard Solomon 6-9 Fr. 5.8 4.2
F Bak Bak 6-9 So. 2.3 2.3
G Emerson Murray 6-3 Fr. 0.4 0.6

*Assists

USC (11-8, 3-3)

Starters Ht Yr Pts Rebs
PF Alex Stepheson 6-10 Sr. 9.9 8.9
PF Nikola Vucevic 6-10 Jr. 16.6 10.0
SG Marcus Simmons 6-6 Sr. 5.1 3.4
SG Maurice Jones 5-7 Fr. 10.2 2.9
PG Jio Fontan 6-0 Jr. 13.0 3.2*
Key reserves
G Donte Smith 5-11 Sr. 9.5 1.5
F Garrett Jackson 6-7 Fr. 3.5 1.7
G James Dunleavy 6-6 Jr. 0.3 0.0

*Assists

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  • Bob49

    Hard to believe that USC has as weak a bench as Cal. Only Soloman has been really contributing off of the bench, but he’s been coming on.

    With USC’s two big strong guys up front, Cal’s big men could get in foul trouble early, particular Sanders-Frison (though he doing a better job not getting stupid fouls than he did last year, and I don’t think he is fouling out as much).

    I’m looking forward to watching the game. Monty is doing a magical job this year in molding a team with only three guys with experience and, as I said, a very weak bench.

  • TakeOffThatRedShirt

    Even though they have size, I think Monty will try a similar strategy as the second half against Arizona – going inside on almost every play.

    Cal will need USC’s bigs to be in foul trouble or at least have to work hard on both ends of the floor.

    This would be an even better strategy if pac-10 refs had any kind of consistency calling contact in the paint.

  • KoreaAmBear

    Wow @TakeOffThatRedShirt are you Monty? Pretty good idea of what was going to happen. Vucevic getting in foul trouble was huge.