Comments on: Football: Where will they go?

By: discdude

discdude — Fri, 29 Apr 2011 19:58:47 +0000

Well, someone (Tennessee) over-reached for Locker. But I’m not sure of your point, “seems” to do worse is not fact, and I’m not sure what criteria your holding him to, are you comparing him to other draft pundits? They are all pretty much the same.

BTW, if Tennessee had interest in taking Locker at #8, there’s no way they’d say anything to Kiper because another team could scoop in and then try to trade out with Tennessee. It’s a big spy game. The fact that he had him in the first round is good enough for me, whether it’s 8 or 20, doesn’t matter. Everyone had Cam Jordan in first round, that’s where he went. Most analysts had ARodg in top 10, but when SF took Alex Smith, no one else needed a QB and he dropped. That’s not Kiper’s fault. Further, you said that he’s “comically off-base” in later rounds…I agree, *everyone* is off-base in later rounds.

Kiper’s no better or no worse, he’s just more well known because he’s on ESPN.

By: Uh oh

Uh oh — Fri, 29 Apr 2011 19:05:52 +0000

Refresh my memory. What happened to follett?

By: Bobby

Bobby — Fri, 29 Apr 2011 01:31:31 +0000

Of course he knows more than we do. But it’s his job to know all of the things you mentioned, and he seems to do a poor job at it. He’s a brand at this point, so people devour whatever he says, even if year after year his foot ends up in his mouth.

For example, shouldn’t the best draft analyst in the country know that someone might take Locker in the top 10? Kiper had him going in the 20s at the highest

By: discdude

discdude — Fri, 29 Apr 2011 01:23:56 +0000

He knows more than us! Seriously, it’s like a crapshoot after the first two rounds, there are hundreds of players, 32 teams, at least 5 to 10 people on each team deciding what players will fit, there are needs-based issues, etc. There are just a ton of things for each team to consider and Kiper can’t know it all. Most, if not all, analysts probably don’t do well in later rounds. Not that it matters anyway…Go Bears!

By: Bobby

Bobby — Thu, 28 Apr 2011 23:29:28 +0000

Kiper’s made his living by exploiting a market advantage–first to capitalize on the draft’s popularity (it combines two of America’s favorite sports, and nobody really “loses”). Kudos to him for getting rich in the process, but the dude’s predictions are generally WAY off base when it comes to the later rounds. For the first 2, he basically can hit up coaches/GMs to figure out what the common wisdom is. When it comes to his predictions in the later rounds, where, you know, he has to do his own work, he’s comically off-base.

That’s a long way of saying we shouldn’t put any stock in where he says Conte, Vereen, or Mikey Mo will end up.