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Basketball: Post-weekend odds ‘n ends

Monday dinks and links . . .

   — Cal’s loss at Colorado dropped the Bears from No. 29 to No. 36 in the latest NCAA official RPI rankings. That’s still 16 spots higher than the next-best Pac-12 team, Washington, at No. 52. Oregon is No. 53, Arizona No. 69 and Colorado No. 76. What’s killing the Pac-12 is that three teams — ASU, USC and Utah — are all No. 250 or worse. Amazing.

   — ESPN bracketologist Joe Lunardi still has Cal as a  No. 9 seed, projecting the Bears to play Memphis at Omaha, Neb., with a second-round matchup vs. No. 1 Kansas looming, A chance to renew some of the bad blood when the teams mixed it up in Berkeley a year ago. The biggest news in Lunardi’s projections is that he seems to be hinting the Pac-12 could land four teams. That would be a stunner. He’s got Oregon and Colorado among his “next four out,” and they play Thursday at Eugene. The winner will move closer to the field.

   — Cal scored 57 points in each of its two games vs. Colorado this season, tied for the third lowest-scoring games of their season. The issue: The guard trio of Jorge Gutierrez (2 for-24), Justin Cobbs (6 for 20) and Allen Crabbe (8 for 22) combined to shoot 16 for 66 in the two games. They totaled 57 points among them in the two outings.

   — Of course, Cal will cheer this week for USC or UCLA to beat Washington in L.A., giving the Bears a chance to secure a share of the Pac-12 title. If that doesn’t happen and Cal finishes second, the Bears would benefit from Oregon sweeping Colorado and Utah in Eugene. That would leave Oregon and Arizona tied for third place, and the Ducks would earn the No. 3 seed for the Pac-12 tournament by virtue of their head-to-head win over the Wildcats. That would project Cal to face Oregon in the 2 vs. 3 tournament semifinal, a better matchup than Cal vs. Arizona.

Jeff Faraudo

  • joey

    Cal’s best chance in the tournament is against either Oregon or AZ and not UW or CU. Even though Cal lost to AZ in their only game, Cal really outplayed them in the first part of the first half and the second half. It was the refs that stole the game away from Cal and handed it to AZ. It was what it was but I like Cal’s chances against AZ as long as Greensh*t isn’t a ref at the game.

  • GoldenBV

    I don’t think it makes a major difference one way or the other playing Oregon or Arizona. Oregon nearly toppled Cal at Haas and it’s pretty hard to beat a team 3x.

    The main reason to root for Oregon to continue to win though is that their RPI (53) is just outside the top-50. It would be HUGE for Cal’s profile if they could list the Ducks as two top-50 RPI wins.

  • 1brsfan

    yes, the Ducks need to keep winning to give us 2 top 50 wins. I would love to have UW lose to UCLA and make it to the tourney championship and give us another top 50 win.

    Go Bears!

  • http://capitolgoldbuyers.com BlakeStreetBear

    Any idea what’s up with Jorge? I still can’t believe how bad he looked on Sunday on both sides of the ball really, except for his def rbs. Is he really that tired that he can’t get up for a homecoming type game, playing nearby to his former high school?
    If he doesn’t go off against lsju than he can kiss the POY year goodbye (if sunday’s 0 pt performance didn’t already doom him). And I do think udumb loses a game in lala-land. Can the Bears beat the furd on their turf? It’s up to YOU Jorge!! BTW, any tickets? GO BEARS!!

  • ConcordBear

    There is so much still to play for. Our final regular season game Sunday will be a challenge. Road game, vs solid team that will be motivated. We need to match their intensity and perform. If our team plays good, hard and smart team basketball we can end the season with a W.
    Does not matter what UW does. Winning a tough road game vs rival with ncaa looming is major motivation.
    It’s going to be a challenge but I know our guys will bounce back.
    Does not matter who we play in Pac 12 tourney. Uw, Cu, Uo and Az are all pretty similarly tough teams that can beat us if we don’t play well. Stanford is solid too.
    I’d love to see us get another shot at Az or Cu though. Want to beat Buffs for what happened Sunday.
    Just need to win as many games as possible before ncaa and not worry about anything else.
    Finish strong!
    Go Bears!

  • Boaltblue

    This is off topic, but you might find this article worthwhile. Former Cal QB Joe Ayoob set a world record tossing a paper airplane 226+ feet.
    http://www.grindtv.com/outdoor/blog/32911/man+tosses+paper+airplane+a+record-setting+226+feet+10+inches/

  • SteveNTEXAS

    Boalt its not really off topic because if Ayoub had thrown a football better than a paper airplane we might have won a Rose Bowl. With the extra money we could have beefed up the athletic department and maybe improved our basketball team enough to where we don’t have hope another team wins some games so we can say we beat a top 50 opponent.

  • Dan

    Lunardi predicts 4 P12 teams …. Riiiiiiiiiiiiiiigggghhht.

    I read that Lunardi’s seeding accuracy has been under 50% for each of the past 3 seasons. So I’m not so sure we should take his current read as anywhere near what will happen. I’ll tell you what though, he will be 50% right- the Pac12 will have 2 teams, not 4. They don’t deserve any more than that this season.

  • SteveNTEXAS

    Dan I agree. I watched IU beat Michigan State last night ( and other conf games) and the Big 10 is really on another level. Northwestern and Iowa also rans in the Big 10, and not likely to get an NCAA invite, would probably be at the top of our conference.

    Still the Pac12 on tradition alone deserves to send a team or two and we should be one of them.

  • calfan

    Ayoob has been practicing for that world record for years. Don’t you all remember how he used to sail passes all over his receiver’s heads.

  • http://thewisdomcow.blogspot.com/ The Wisdom Cow

    Good timing for the Bears? UCLA’s “issues” have been outed in an SI article. You have to wonder if knowing it was coming had anything to do with their strong performance @ AZ. Here’s to hoping they bring it against UW on Saturday.

  • MoreNCsarecoming

    Did Tedford coach Aboob to hold the paper airplane up to his ear?

  • MoreNCsarecoming

    Glad to see he is putting his degree in Social Welfare to work.

  • Will

    MoreNCS_are_ignored and sanctioned! troll post blocked

    Looks like the shrink let his pet out of the cage!

  • SteveNTEXAS

    http://eye-on-college-basketball.blogs.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/entry/26283066/35031565

    Here is more on UCLA, drugs etc and the deterioration of its program.

  • Uh Huh!

    Cow: Yes, I’m thinking that UCLA brings it.

    Steve: Ha! NCAAConference rules mean the Pac12 deserves to bring a team.

    Jeff: Thanks for pointing out the seeding issues vis-a-vis Oregon. I agree that Colorado and Arizona are stronger teams. I’ll assume Oregon will take care of Utah, so now the 2 (*other*) games to watch are UW-UCLA and Oregon-Colorado.

    Jeff: Regarding our guard trio shooting 16 for 66 in the two games vs. Colorado, the bigger question is: What is Colorado doing against us defensively? I don’t think it’s a coincidence, and what I saw Sunday was a defense that pursued the perimeter BIG TIME. Our guards were pressured heavily, whether they had the ball or not. This threw off the timing of our offensive flow of passes, screens, etc, and which is a well trained orchestration of movement. Take that away and you have to do back-cuts, dribble penetration, improvisation. And THAT’S where I think we yield (don’t match up so well) athletically. Teams that turn our rhythm into helter skelter, improvisation, have been successful.
    ….But isn’t that always the case in any game?

  • Uh Huh!

    clarification: UCLA brings it, but UW rises to the challenge of a conference title.