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Basketball: How much did slide cost Crabbe?

By Jeff Faraudo
Friday, June 28th, 2013 at 5:09 pm in Basketball, NBA Draft.

How much did it cost former Cal star Allen Crabbe when the Warriors passed on him with the No. 30 pick of Thursday’s NBA draft and he dropped to the Portland Trail Blazers with the first pick of the second round?

How about three-quarters of a million dollars over the next two years!

We won’t know for sure until Crabbe signs with the Portland Trail Blazers and makes their roster.

But using last year’s No. 31 pick — Jeffrey Taylor — as a guide, the slide into the second round will be plenty costly to Crabbe.

In 2012, the Warriors had the final pick of the first round and used it to take big man Festus Ezeli, who earned $1,020,960 as a rookie. The Charlotte Bobcats took Taylor with the No. 31 pick — first in the second round — and signed him to a non-guaranteed contract of $575,000.

This season, Ezeli will earn $1,066,920, Taylor $788,872. Again, Ezeli’s money is guaranteed, Taylor’s is not, meaning he could be cut by the team and lose his salary.

Even assuming Taylor plays the full season, the salary difference over two years is $750,952.

The Warriors passed on Crabbe to select Serbian guard Nemanja Nedovic with the No. 30 pick on Thursday. Nedovic could remain in Europe for now, but if he signs with the the Warriors, he’s likely to earn $1,056,720 as an NBA rookie. 

Crabbe’s rookie salary? 

Probably more than sufficient for any of us to survive on, but it won’t be as much as Nedovic could earn, and it won’t be guaranteed.

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  • Eric

    Any insight why he slid?

  • John Chemycz

    If teams jostled him or were physical with him, he had a tendancy to mope and disappear during a game. He seemed to take stretches off and often showed a real disinterested attitude. I think most teams took note of this. He also has trouble creating his own shot when faced with faster defensive players.

  • Uh Huh!

    Well, he didn’t get the big 1st round contract, so now his decision remains in question. Maybe he makes a squad and gets 1 year guaranteed, with the ability to continue those earnings. Maybe he makes millions over the course of many years. Maybe he doesn’t make the squad, and must go D-league or Europe or Asia. Time will tell.

    One thing that seemed certain, however, is that had he stayed, Cal would have been pretty damn good next year with Cobbs at the PG, Crabbe and Bird at the wings, and tons of depth behind those 3. Granted, we still would have been shallow in the post, but I can’t help but think of the possibilities, and what a very successful Cal season would have meant to Crabbe’s 2014 contract.

    I’ve heard chatter about this draft being so weak, and next year’s being so strong. And, yes, 2013-14 at Cal would have been for no pay with the risk of injury – instead of for a fee from Portland or whomever.

    Nonetheless, draft night did not provide answers to the more lucrative path. The wait continues. Good luck, A.C.

  • BlakeStreetBear

    Eric, I’m guessing it was ball handling. He’s a guard who doesn’t dribble. Coulda used that extra year to work on it.

  • The Wisdom Cow

    I’d like to see the math on just how much higher Crabbe would need to be drafter next season for it to have been the right choice economically. The 2nd round may have “cost” him 300k, but it’s 750k he would not be making at Cal (granted, it’s different for U$C and Oregon players). You’d also have to add in costs of remaining like taking out insurance.

    With a suspected deeper draft next year, even with no guaranteed contract, I’m thinking this was the wiser money move. Whether it was a better life move, only Allen can say.

  • jabes

    Crabbe wasn’t going to become a PG or combo guard with another year of work as a SG in college. He will need to develop “physicality” to be more than just a guy who comes in off the bench, gets off a couple threes, and stays in if he is hot. He’s more likely to develop that in the rigors/focus/training rooms of an NBA team than at Cal. That, plus the deeper draft expected next year, he made the right move as an early 2nd rounder (which was worst case) with the very real potential for getting picked in the first round.

  • Eric

    @Blakestreet,

    Thanks. I guess I should have been more precise in my question. If the consensus was AC was a first rounder, why did he slide? His ball handling skills, attitude, and ability to create a shot were known quantities, so it seems to me that either everyone was off in understanding where he would go, or something else happened.

    During the draft, he was consistently listed as the best or second best player available from around Pick 24. And I saw several analysts say that Portland got an absolute steal, an A+, getting him at the top of the second round. So why did he slide?

  • wehofx

    I agree w #2,4 and 6.

    Eric, would you buy the vagaries of the draft – esp this wacky draft? Why did Bennet go first. Why did Noel last until 6? Injury.

    Another reason crabbe might not have gone higher is the tendinitis in his foot limited his workouts. An injury being a red flag despite his proven durability at Cal.

    I think ac made the right move going out. As I’ve said before, I’m glad he’s gone. Another year at Cal, imo, would NOT help ac grow out of his petulance. As talented as ac is, imo, I think any (college) team w ac in a pivotal/leadership role will never develop heart and stones.

    That said, I hope ac finds his way in the nba. Here’s to a long and successful career.

    On twitter, there were pics of the incoming frosh. Rooks looks like he’s already lost weight.

    Next year’s team could be very, very good esp if Solomon is working on his back to the basket moves.

  • Gobears49

    Cal still hasn’t solved its effective third big man issue. Still hoping for an effective transfer to solve this (I’ve read we have one more scholarship, or “scholly,” to give) who can play and contribute immediately.

    With regard to the above discussion re Crabbe, I agree he probably made the right move, but I do think he could have learned to create his own shot (other than a drive directly to the basket, not to the side of it a shot he developed while at Cal) a lot more at Cal than he will next year in the NBA.

  • ConcordBear

    AC is a pro shooter, pro rebounder for his position and tall and long enough to be a solid defender in the NBA.
    With his tools he should have been picked in the first round.
    But, scouts saw issues that have been discussed enough, won’t bring up again.
    Allen had the skills to absolutely take over and dominate games in college and he rarely did it.
    I hope he improves, especially emotionally and has a long, fruitful NBA career.
    Potential is there!!!

  • BlueNGold

    Let me be a devil’s advocate here on Crabbe. Who is to say what happened should be viewed as a ‘slide’? Perhaps he was drafted at level he should have been. Obviously the NBA people who make these decisions did not see him as a 1st round pick. Was he overrated? Did the negatives that kept being raised about him catch up to his positives? Or, was it simply a matter of what other players were available and not comparing favorably to them? Any or all of these would seem to defeat the notion of a ‘slide’ from where he should have been drafted.

  • GC

    He has to look at himself and his own abilities to see why he slid. He can’t blame anyone but himself.

  • SteveNTexas

    Look at the positive (if any) At least he will be playing for a better than then the two Top 4 Indiana Recruits who are going to Charlotte and Orlando. Portland isn’t too much of an upside though.

  • 1brsfan

    AC does have 1st round talent but you can never predict how GM’s and owners will react to the draft. No one expected Bennett to go #1 and that threw everything off. Being in Portland I know that they didn’t expect McCollum to be there at 10 yet he fell right into their lap. They also didn’t work out AC because they didn’t expect him to be there in the 2nd round so when he was they jumped at the chance to get him. for those of you that play fantasy sports think of how many times you look back at draft day and ask yourself what you were thinking taking X guy over Y guy. I know I’ve done that the day after the draft.

  • BadBucks

    Having sat at Haas with a number of the NBA scouts, they all felt that AC doesn’t have the heart and hunger that they were hoping to see for someone with his skill set. They also felt that was the reason that Monty had to resort to his “infamous” shove. On the flip side, they did acknowledge that AC has some terrific skills, but unfortunately the lack of desire was going to hurt his draft standing. They proved to be prophetic….