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Another look at Super Tueday

By Aaron Kinney
Friday, February 8th, 2008 at 2:25 pm in 2008 Presidental Race, Aaron Kinney, Barack Obama, Colma, Democratic Party, East Palo Alto, Elections Office, Hillary Clinton, San Bruno, San Mateo County.


So where did it all go wrong for Barack Obama on Tuesday? He appeared to be gaining in polls of California voters leading up to the election, the Bay Area seemed to be a receptive environment for his campaign and he even looked to have run a better grassroots campaign in San Mateo County.

Meanwhile, the campaign of Hillary Clinton appeared to skirt the county, focusing on San Francisco and then skipping down to Palo Alto and Silicon Valley. For example, a listing of local events on Clinton’s Web site on the weekend before Super Tuesday contained multiple entries for Santa Clara County and not a single one for San Mateo County.

Several things appeared to have been at play. For one, we learned all over again that polls are fallible. In particular, a Zogby poll that showed Obama surging into the lead statewide turned out to be flat-out wrong.

And the spin/assertion that John Edwards’ departure from the race would help Obama just never materialized. Or maybe it simply came too late in the game to do Obama any good. After all, county voters’ preference for Vote by Mail ballots meant that a good 70,000 people had already voted by Election Day. Edwards still got 4.2 percent of the vote (3,522 votes) and the Insider is willing to bet that a good many of those votes were cast not by deeply confused or obstinate people but by those who mailed their ballots in before he dropped out.

As soon as the first vote totals (comprised mainly of absentee ballots) were announced Tuesday night, Clinton took a commanding lead and never relinquished it.

California exit polls showed something interesting. According to CNN’s survey, Clinton got the votes of the less educated and less well-off, while Obama had the advantage among highly educated people and those making more than $100,000.

Perhaps it’s the case that, while Obama captured the imagination of the political cognoscente, those with the time and inclination to follow politics closely, the candidate’s appeal just hadn’t filtered down to the working class, who recognized Clinton’s name and face from nearly two decades in the national spotlight.

One other thing: The county Elections Office has a fantastic new tool that allows Internet users to view the results of Tuesday’s election precinct-by-precinct on Google Maps, yielding a geographic picture of how the county voted.

Sorting through the results, you’ll find that Obama won along the coast, in East Palo Alto and other southern parts of the county, while Clinton was in control in northern communities around Colma and San Bruno. Give it a whirl, it’s pretty interesting.

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One Response to “Another look at Super Tueday”

  1. Maria Says:


    SAN FRANCISCO, CA, 2008 – Political supporters and women’s rights advocates will gather in San Francisco on Tuesday August 26th to commemorate the anniversary of Women’s Voting Rights and celebrate the campaign of Senator Clinton. The March will begin at 5 p.m. in front of the Ferry Building and end with a rally at the UN Plaza.

    The San Francisco event is one of several nationwide marches, sponsored by the 18 Million Voices / Rise Hillary Rise grassroots organization, to be held simultaneously with nineteen other cities around the country, and in conjunction with the main march at the Democratic Convention in Denver, Colorado.

    The group hopes to unite those who campaigned and voted for Hillary Clinton in the primaries as well as men and women who want to advance women’s equality by building a new movement in support of women’s rights and gender equality.

    Clinton ran an historical campaign that marked a milestone for women in politics. On June 7, 2008 Clinton suspended her campaign and remarked,

    “In the future, it will be unremarkable for a woman to win primary state victories, unremarkable to have a woman in a close race to be our nominee, unremarkable to think that a woman can be the president of the United States. And that is truly remarkable.”

    Mae Rose Tengsico, California State Organizer of the event, said, “We want to mark the 88th anniversary of women receiving the right to vote by honoring the milestone achievement of Hillary Clinton, who has gone further than any woman in campaigning for the Presidency.”

    The marchers also want to point out that those who stooped to using sexism during the primary campaign have instigated a stronger and more united effort to end discrimination based on gender.

    “We saw a great deal of misogyny directed at Hillary Clinton and her supporters by the media and others,” said Ms. Tengsico. “We want to make a statement that this has united women who want to work for changes in the political process. As Hillary said when she suspended her campaign: ‘There are no acceptable limits, and there are no acceptable prejudices in the 21st century.’”


    This nationwide march is sponsored by18 Million Voices / Rise Hillary

    Rise, a true grassroots movement to celebrate Senator Clinton’s historic achievements,
    and to advocate for Women’s Rights worldwide.

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