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Who’s it going to be?

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[Updated at 7 p.m. Wednesday. See below.]

One and a half hours until the polls close in California, so how is it looking in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination? Will Barack Obama, pictured above, complete his come-from-behind surge, or will Hillary Clinton hold him off?

Early exit polls show Clinton with a slight lead, but then this piece in Slate tells us to disregard exit polls in California because they’re skewed by the large number of absentee voters.

One poll released just before voting started today showed that Obama had not only erased Clinton’s lead, which was in the double digits a couple weeks ago, according to some polls, but was in position for a convincing win.

We’ll see. Democratic insider and famed trial attorney Joe Cotchett told us Friday for our election preview that he’s seeing a big shift to Obama by Edwards supporters, especially trial lawyers. He pointed to Assemblyman Keith Jones, D-Sacramento, who is head of the Judiciary Committee, by way of example.

Incidentally, we’re hearing that voter turnout is insane tonight. San Mateo County Elections Manager David Tom is now predicting turnout as high as 65 or 70 percent.

UPDATE: Well, so much for Obama’s surge. Clinton dispatched him with relative ease. Tomorrow we’ll take a close look at Tuesday’s result and empty the old notebook, so come on back.

Posted on Tuesday, February 5th, 2008
Under: 2008 Presidental Race, Aaron Kinney, Assembly, Barack Obama, Democratic Party | No Comments »

See Rudy plunge

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When Rudy Giuliani paid a visit to Broadway Grill in Burlingame last spring, he was the frontrunner in the race to capture the Republican nomination and riding high in the polls. (This poll from April 2007 gives a sense of his status at the time.)

As of Wednesday, he was out of the presidential race, his campaign having suffered a collapse of historic proportions.

There are lots of theories as to what happened, chief among them Giuliani’s unusual strategy of focusing on Florida rather than some of the earlier contests.

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Posted on Thursday, January 31st, 2008
Under: 2008 Presidental Race, Aaron Kinney, Barack Obama, Burlingame, Republican Party | No Comments »

Johnny Edwards and the California campaign

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The Insider paid a visit to the Green Building Exchange Tuesday, not only to buy some pervious concrete and cork flooring for the Chateau d’Insider, our secluded compound, but also to check out a new effort, spearheaded by PG&E and Sustainable San Mateo County, to help people go “green.”

And who should we run into but our old friend* Jeffrey Anderson, co-chair of the John Edwards for President campaign here in California.

Anderson said he stopped by to say hello to his buddy, Bill Coleman, president of the Green Building Exchange and former chief operating officer of Planktos Inc., a Foster City company that aims to reduce carbon dioxide levels by expanding the growth of the ocean’s phytoplankton.

“This is a chance to see old friends and meet new ones,” said Anderson, adding that the Edwards campaign is deeply invested in energy and environmental issues.

So what did the California co-chair think of Edwards’ performance at the San Mateo County Democratic Straw Poll (which the former vice presidential candidate won with 29 percent of the vote)?

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Posted on Friday, November 16th, 2007
Under: 2008 Presidental Race, Aaron Kinney, Barack Obama, Democratic Party, Environment, Political Campaigns, Redwood City | 1 Comment »