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PFW forecast Russell’s demise

Today marks a year since the Raiders released quarterback JaMarcus Russell, marking the end of an error after three years and $39 million.

Perhaps they would have avoided the mistake entirely with the kind of research done by Pro Football Weekly’s Nolan Nawrocki, whose assessment of Russell in his 2007 draft guide was eerily acccurate. Nawrocki is the same guy who eviscerated Carolina quarterback Cam Newton, criticizing his “fake smile,” calling him disingenuous and having an “enormous ego and sense of entitlement.”

We’ll know in three years whether Nawrocki, who admitted he never spoke to Newton, was off base.

But if he is even as close to being on the mark as he was with Russell, the Panthers have reason to be worried.

Here was Nawrocki’s assessment in the 2007 Pro Football Weekly draft report:

Positives: Has all the physical ability in the world and is one of the most naturally gifted throwers ever to play the game. Has rare size and arm strength and can really power the ball down the field. Effortless thrower who flicks the ball with ease. Has a 100 m.p.h. fastball and can zing it into tight coverage. Is tough to bring down and not easily sacked. Stands tall in the pocket, can brush off the pass rush and deliver after taking a hit. Shows some agility on the move once he gets going.

Negatives: Showed up overweight at the Combine and has a flabby body that looks like it has not seen a weight room. Relies too much on his arm and natural ability and does not like to work. Has a lackadaisical approach to the game, nearly lost his job in a competition prior to his junior season and needs to take the game more seriously. Struggled to put points on the board vs. the speed of Auburn’s and Florida’s defenses, and when he is forced to make quick reads, he struggles. Does not find second and third receivers as fast as he has too. Does not have a consistent throwing motion, and the ball tends to come out at different places every time. Does not protect the football well. Does not show great timing or anticipation. Telegraphs his passes and rarely looks off the high safety (see Florida game). Will require very tough coaching from a strong, authoritative figure, or he will get away with everything he can and may never develop. Acts as if he has made it already and does not realize how far he has to go.

Summary: Has as much potential as any quarterback to enter the draft, but the team that drafts him better have an experienced and patient veteran coaching staff in place to provide the tough coaching he will need to develop. For as much upside as he has — and it’s off the charts — his downside is just as great, and he could be out of the league just as fast as he is in the Pro Bowl. A very high-risk, high-reward pick, Russell is the type of player who could lose his motivation after a big payday. Whoever drafts him better make sure they properly evaluate his mental makeup and character, or they could set back their franchise at least three years. Strikingly similar to Vikings 1999 11th overall draft pick and current Dolphins QB Daunte Culpepper, whose only success has come under the demanding Scott Linehan, but Russell is not as athletic nor does he have Culpepper’s scrambling ability.

DR. MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. PARK DEDICATION

More than, 1000 children, community residents and celebrities are scheduled to be in attendance Saturdya at the dedication of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Park.

The park was funded through grants with support of the Raiders and will have fields for football and soccer as well as a track, picnic areas and new landscaping. It will include synthetic sports turf.

The opening is scheduled between 11 a.m. and 1 p.m. at 360 Harbour Way South, Richmond. Raiders legend Jim Otto is scheduled to attend as well as addtional team employees.

SHOW YOUR RAIDERS SCHOOL SPIRIT

A visit from Raiders coach Hue Jackson is the prize as schools grades kindergarten through high school compete in a “Show Your Raiders School Spirit” contest as sponsored by the club.

Schools, classes or other educational groups may enter online at raiders.com. Information can also be found at raidersforkids.com.

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Jerry McDonald - NFL Writer

  • guest123

    JB Says:
    May 9th, 2011 at 11:17 am
    What about Capt. Kirk (Morrision) URFA competing for WLB. We know he can tackle and cover. That’s where he belonged all along. Might be a good option.

    _______________

    I’d not be against it if he can push Ricky Brown off the roster.

  • Violent Hands

    JacobyFord12 Jacoby Ford
    Headed to workout and get better!!

    ———————

    lol

  • Bauce Rules

    Trevor scott i like but he wont be 100 pct this year….its an acl injury

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    People like “Guest123″ will defend sports owners no matter how much they’ve ripped him off through the years.

  • J Hill

    Groves was much better at the end of the year at OLB. It was his first year playing LB. I think he’ll be better this year.

  • YoungAmerican

    # guest123 Says:
    May 9th, 2011 at 11:16 am

    YA

    I think Al Davis likes Trevor Scott too much to give the WLB to Goethel/Groves. Possibly a down/distance platoon.

    ———–

    Hopefully Scott makes a full recovery from his ACL injury. Good option as a situational pass rusher.

    I thought Groves looked better as the season went on. Considering he only started playing OLB in his final year with Jacksonville, and even then was only used as a reserve player, it’s entirely possible that he can get better.

    I think Goethel is their guy, though. Wouldn’t surprise me to see him be the Day 1 starter. Just a shame that he’ll miss out on valuable time to develop at the position in the offseason.

  • Bauce Rules

    Fisher to the morgue….he done

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    Guest123, you are a dumb ass. It’s Al Davis who believes in easy practices. It’s something he and Shanahan clashed over. The reason Shanahan uses high tempo offenses against the Raiders is because he knows they don’t practice hard, and that they’ll be sucking wind by the second quarter. That’s why his winning percentage against the Raiders is somewhere around .900.

  • J Hill

    LOL @ the Kobe propaganda.

    Yeah, he’s done.

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    That’s also why Gruden put us to sleep with short plays in the Super Bowl. After he left Raider players called their training camp “camp wuss”. You don’t think that got back to him? He knew that now that he was gone, the Raiders weren’t practicing. Sure, Gannon would have the offense working, but Gannon can’t do anything about the defense. Gruden just put us to sleep with short players, had our defense running sideline to sideline instead of vertically. They were gassed by half time.

  • RaiderRockstar

    You must have a monday morning hangover. Man that is a bleak forecast.

    Totally disagree with you about the O-line continuity thing. Cable’s weak ZBS is out the door. The guys that are coming in are going to be in the power blocking system. And I don’t think it’s unreasonable to think we could resign Mario Henderson back

    I hear Jason Campbell is getting the boys together for drills and workouts

    ***

    G123,

    #1 – I don’t drink. Haven’t even had a beer in like 5 or 6 years

    #2 – You’re welcome to think that continuity means nothing for an O-Line. new coaches + new players + shortened offseason = trouble. Give me the name of 1 other team in the NFL with a brand new HC, new OL coaches and 4 new starters on the O-Line projected to make a playoff run. You can’t do it bro. Sorry. And as for Mario Henderson being re-signed, I would rate him WORSE than Walker & Barnes as a player … plus the dude got arrested this offseason.

    #3 – Gotta link to what you stated about JCamp & crew?

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    “short plays”, not “short players”

  • guest123

    People like “Guest123″ will defend sports owners no matter how much they’ve ripped him off through the years.

    ________________

    Not true. I just want my football fix back. The fight between the owners and the players is like pacquiao vs mosley last Saturday Night. mosley (players) just triffling through the fight knowing that they have no shot in hell of winning, just trying not to get knocked out. pacquiao (owners) loading up the KO punch, but can’t get it in. Makes for a boring fight. That’s not un-like the current stalemate between the players and owners.

    I just want this lock-out to end. I am going to choose whichever party I think is the strongest and hope they can bust the other side. In this case, I side with the owners out of convenience.

    I just want my damn football back!

  • priesttj

    I’d lay 3-1 odds on Goethel that kid is so natural in his drops his instincts and coverage and physicality until I wonder just how in the hell he lasted until the 6th rnd it boggles my mind sometimes how that happens. But he was a bigger find than Chaz I think he has as much ability as Rod Martin of yesteryear. He will be a starter for this team for the next several years.

  • J Hill

    Will Kobe be great next year when Dwight Howard comes to the Lakers?

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    Guest, that’s a clever analogy. Just keep forking your money over to the owners and defending them. they love people like you.

  • priesttj

    Bauce if you notice they wont let him take a reduced role because Odon wont step up Gasol is soft as hell and Bynum is not quite ready. Kobe would welcome a reduced role if tehy had gotten Mello you’d see him acquiesgue. But he can’t afford to.

  • guest123

    G123,

    #1 – I don’t drink. Haven’t even had a beer in like 5 or 6 years

    **********
    Good for you! Don’t take what I was saying literally. j/k.

    #2 – You’re welcome to think that continuity means nothing for an O-Line. new coaches + new players + shortened offseason = trouble. Give me the name of 1 other team in the NFL with a brand new HC, new OL coaches and 4 new starters on the O-Line projected to make a playoff run. You can’t do it bro. Sorry. And as for Mario Henderson being re-signed, I would rate him WORSE than Walker & Barnes as a player … plus the dude got arrested this offseason.

    *********

    I am glad that Barnes and Walker are done. It’s an upgrade by default. However, I think that Henderson provides some depth/continuity. He can stabilize the line until a better FA OL can come in and push him. But we can’t have that many new faces on our opening day OL.

    ************

    #3 – Gotta link to what you stated about JCamp & crew?

    http://www.silverandblackpride.com/2011/5/9/2160179/2011-nfl-lockout-oakland-raiders-are-working-out

  • priesttj

    If they get Howard and a legit PG you’ll see Kobe take a step back but with these guys he simply cannot.

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    Guest123 is a homer. Don’t waste your time. He’s accusing fans with questions of being gloom. He’s defending the owners in the contract dispute. What more could he do other than tea bag Al’s old grey sack?

  • RaiderRockstar

    This is not totally true. Last season we had 2 new starters in LT Veldheer and RT Walker. Gallery missed a few weeks, and Loper performed fairly in replacement.

    ***

    BCZ,

    Langston Walker has played RT all but 1 year since we drafted him in 2002. He was a Raider last year, even though he played guard

    Veldheer allowed 7.5 sacks, with 8 false starts & 5 holds and he didn’t start at LT until Week 7 at Denver (the jury is still out. It’s not like he had a rookie season that made other teams worried)

    Loper had 5 years of NFL experience before he came to Oakland. He only started 4 games last year and gave up 2 sacks … Gallery only gave up 2 sacks in 12 starts!

  • Silverandblack666

    RAIDER

    In case you have not heard the players got 60% of the pie last year compared to the owners 40%.

    So I would guess we are forking over the majority of our money to the players bloated salaries.

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    Fisher’s going to the Kings. Kings have most cap space in the league. Maloofs are going to get their arena now so they’re going to spend again like when they first got here. Kings are back. They’ll be a top tier team next year, and the Lakers won’t have Phil and Shaq this time around. Purple reign 2012.

  • priesttj

    I think you guys are way too dismissal of the players that are here and are our FA’s these rookies are good players from what I’ve seen of them I really likke barksdale but don’t sell Henderson and barnes so short. That is good vet talent that will prove to be very helpful asd the season wears on. You need guys that have DONE IT!!

  • RaiderRockstar

    G123,

    I have a hard time taking any article from silverandblackpride.com seriously.

    that site is going to be biased, wouldn’t you think?

    That’s like asking Al Davis for an honest evaluation of DHB!

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    666, players do not get 60% of all profits. Nice skew job there, minion.

  • guest123

    Steve Smith’s contract has two years remaining: $7 million in 2011 and $7.75 million in 2012.

    Are we really talking about him as a Raider, having to give up at least the 3rd round pick on top of all that for a 32 year old dude who is 3 years removed from his last probowl.

    When we likely already have a younger version of him in Jacoby Ford?

    No way Smith is a Raider.

  • YoungAmerican

    Even if Henderson and Barnes were any good, they don’t seem interested in coming back to a team that either considers them reserves, or has already drafted their replacements.

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    Guest123 referred to an article at a site called silver and black pride.com to back up his point? HA HA HA HA HA HA!!!!!

  • Silverandblack666

    I am not taking sides I am just pointing out that if they cant find a way to divide a 9 Billion dollar pie then greed and ego must be involved.

    The fact that we the tax payers are now footing the bill for this to be decided on a court of law is a big slap in the face to us loyal fans.

  • RaiderRockstar

    Hopefully Scott makes a full recovery from his ACL injury. Good option as a situational pass rusher.

    I thought Groves looked better as the season went on. Considering he only started playing OLB in his final year with Jacksonville, and even then was only used as a reserve player, it’s entirely possible that he can get better.

    I think Goethel is their guy, though. Wouldn’t surprise me to see him be the Day 1 starter. Just a shame that he’ll miss out on valuable time to develop at the position in the offseason

    ***

    YA has the WLB position down pat. If you need advice about it, ask him.

    Casey Matthews would have been a wasted pick. Print That!

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    666, you’re trying to skew numbers to make the owners look like the victims. You’re a useful idiot. Just keep forking your money over to them and defending them. They might give you a free t shirt in the end.

  • guest123

    RAIDER Says:
    May 9th, 2011 at 11:41 am
    666, players do not get 60% of all profits. Nice skew job there, minion.

    ________________

    Open your eyes and read the truth:

    Last year
    $9 billion total
    $4.2 billion to owners ($1 billion plus 40% of the remaining $8 billion)
    $4.8 billion to players (60% of the $8 billion)

    Owner’s proposal
    $9 billion total
    $5.7 billion to owners ($2.4 billion plus 50% of the remaining $6.6 billion)
    $3.3 billion to players (50% of the $6.6 billion)

  • Silverandblack666

    “666, players do not get 60% of all profits. Nice skew job there, minion.”

    Ok little Einstein then show us exactly how the pie was divided if you know so much!

  • RaiderRockstar

    Steve Smith’s contract has two years remaining: $7 million in 2011 and $7.75 million in 2012.

    Are we really talking about him as a Raider, having to give up at least the 3rd round pick on top of all that for a 32 year old dude who is 3 years removed from his last probowl.

    When we likely already have a younger version of him in Jacoby Ford?

    No way Smith is a Raider.

    ***

    G123 and I agree on this. well written. Co-Signed and receives the RRS stamp of approval :P

  • priesttj

    What makes you think they aren’t interested? where did you read that? who has said the team considers them reserves and the players they drafted are rookies. If you’re afraid to compete with a rookie I don’t want you. Which I don’t think they are this is a very compettitive business going elsewhere gaurantees them nothing.

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    666, the owners imposed this lockout. That’s the reason this is in court. That’s the reason this is “dragging on”. The players are locked out. This wasn’t their decision. Enjoy your free Raider’s t shirt, or whatever your reward will be for defending wealthy businessmen who rip you off year after year.

  • RaiderRockstar

    Even if Henderson and Barnes were any good, they don’t seem interested in coming back to a team that either considers them reserves, or has already drafted their replacements

    ***

    If YA is shooting free throws, so far he’s 2 for 2!

  • Silverandblack666

    why are you so angry little guy, I got my numbers from ProFootballTalk not from my feeble minded skull like you.

    You are such a big man with such great football knowledge then show us minions your BIG BRAIN!

    Show us the real numbers smart guy!

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    Guest, those are not the total profits. Those numbers were put together by ownership. The owners haven’t even shown the books. You want us to believe the owners made said amount of money just because they said so? No, I’m not stupid like you.

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    profootballtalk.com. lol.

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    Yeah, let’s refer to the sports media. We know they’re not biased. lol. Especially a site called profootballtalk.

  • Silverandblack666

    I am not taking sides if you were actually smart enough to read you would have seen what I wrote.

    9 Billion dollars should not be a problem to divide between sides unless greed and ego are involved.

    Instead of solving it themselves they are using our tax dollars to have a court of law decide it for them.

    Both sides are taking your tax dollars smart guy.

    By me explaining that to you….you somehow twist it into I am taking sides.

    Again try reading first before reacting and you wont sound so feeble minded and child like in your blog tantrums.

  • YoungAmerican

    # priesttj Says:
    May 9th, 2011 at 11:47 am

    What makes you think they aren’t interested? where did you read that? who has said the team considers them reserves and the players they drafted are rookies. If you’re afraid to compete with a rookie I don’t want you. Which I don’t think they are this is a very compettitive business going elsewhere gaurantees them nothing.

    ———-

    We’ve been over this, Priest. Corkran reported that Barnes and Henderson had received offers but turned them down. Barnes has been a reserve for the past two seasons – according to Corkran he doesn’t seem himself has being a swing tackle and 3rd TE.

    There’s a chance that, if Henderson received an RFA tender, he’ll sign it once a CBA is reached. I’ve seen nothing from Henderson that would lead me to believe he’s a starting-caliber player, and if Hue does continue to shift the scheme towards power-blocking, Henderson is a questionable fit at best.

  • Silverandblack666

    Wow, you just spew anger without any logic tied to it.

    Please explain why PFT would take sides in this labor dispute and I might listen to your next uneducated, angry, non fact based rant.

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    LOL. This is about tax dollars with you? This pales in comparison to what tax payers spend on stadiums. You are a joke, 666.

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    You are an even bigger idiot than I thought if I have to explain to you just what interest the sports media has in protecting the owners. I don’t have time to argue with a kid who doesn’t know how the world works. So we’re going to be cutting this off pretty soon.

  • RaiderRockstar

    Sure rookie offensive linemen are bound to struggle at one point or another, but if you think another year of Satele – Carlisle – Walker/Henderson on the right side of the line would be a long-term solution for the Raiders, you’re dreaming. Those guys have gotten the Raiders as far as they can go – the line needs new blood, more talent, young players who haven’t already hit their ceiling.

    ***

    YA,

    I get what you’re saying. This is the best argument anybody has presented regarding the O-Line. nice work.

    The Raiders were 8-8 last year and Tom Cable was fired. We all know that and despite what other personal issues TC may have had, we all know that the only thing that matters to Al Davis is wins & losses. 2 or 3 more wins last year and Cable would have received a contract extension and Davis would have compared the guy to John Madden. Those early losses to Arizona, Houston & San Fran were too much to overcome.

    How does this relate to the O-Line, well when you introduce new players and expect some struggle up front, that affects your W/L column. Hue Jackson has to get to 9-7 or better this season imo to impress Coach Davis. He’s taking a playoff bound team and if he goes 8-8 and losses a bunch of AFC West games he could be toast after 1 season. Davis gives a new HC about 2 years to be making noise in the playoffs and young players don’t usually grow up until Year #3 or 4

    OL Coaches are important, too. For all we know Wylie & Wiz could be the next Slater & Eatman. Do you guys remember what the OL looked like and played like before Tom Cable showed up? I do, and it wasn’t pretty

  • Silverandblack666

    Ok so now that tax payers spend millions on stadiums its quite fine digging into their pockets for more money to solve a Billionaire vs Millionaire ego battle?

    Where did you go to school?

    Is this the NEW MATH they have been teaching?

  • http://www.cnn.com RAIDER

    lol. Goodbye, 666 and Guest. I hope you two get nice gifts for defending the wealthiest, and clearly the most dishonest party in this dispute. Hopefully a couple of coffee mugs and t shirt. Good day.