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Archive for July, 2008

National analysts inch toward favoring McNerney

Political analysts Bob Novak and Tim Carney of the Evans-Novak Political Report gave the edge to Rep. Jerry McNerney in the freshman’s re-election campaign over Republican Dean Andal, largely due to the Democrat’s substantial fund-raising lead.

Here’s what Novak/Carney wrote in their report published on the conservative web site called www.HumanEvents.com:

California-11: One of the biggest Democratic coups of 2006 was unseating conservative property-rights champion Rep. Richard PomboJack Abramoff corruption scandals. The scourge of liberal, pro-government environmentalists, Pombo fell under the weight of massive independent expenditures. This makes Rep. Jerry McNerney (D) a top target for the GOP this year. (R) by tying him to the

This valley district east of the Bay tilts Republican, but not overwhelmingly—Bush garnered 53% and 54% in 2000 and 2004. To compensate for the tilt of his district, McNerney has roped some local GOP politicians into his campaign. He also has a heavy fundraising advantage, thanks to his being one of very few vulnerable Democratic incumbents this year. McNerney now sits on a two-to-one cash-on-hand edge over former state bureaucrat and former state Assemblyman Dean Andal (R).

McNerney realizes he needs to work hard to win this seat, but he has the edge early on. Leaning Democratic Retention.

Stu Rothenberg, author of the Rothenberg Political Report, slightly shifted his prediction of the outcome of the McNerney race from Pure Toss-Up to Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic, a slight move in the Democrat’s direction. Rothenberg cites Andal’s lackluster fundraising thus far and says “McNerney is starting to look like a survivor this time.”

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Posted on Thursday, July 31st, 2008
Under: 2008 November election, Congress, Uncategorized, congressional district 11 | No Comments »

Concord’s Helen Allen dishes on KSFO

Posted on Thursday, July 31st, 2008
Under: Contra Costa County, Contra Costa politics | No Comments »

Lee praises Bush for signing new global AIDS law

Posted on Thursday, July 31st, 2008
Under: Barbara Lee, President Bush, Tom Lantos | No Comments »

Responses to Schwarzenegger’s pay cuts, layoffs

Posted on Thursday, July 31st, 2008
Under: Arnold Schwarzenegger, Assembly, California State Senate, Don Perata, General, John Chiang, Karen Bass | 1 Comment »

McNerney introduces military pay hike bill

Posted on Thursday, July 31st, 2008
Under: 2008 November election, Congress, congressional district 11 | No Comments »

Tauscher shares a little vino with Hillary

Posted on Thursday, July 31st, 2008
Under: Contra Costa politics, women in politics | No Comments »

Vorderblog: Iron and wine?

Posted on Thursday, July 31st, 2008
Under: 2008 presidential election, Vorderblog | No Comments »

Contra Costa launches “Stop the Cuts” tour

Posted on Wednesday, July 30th, 2008
Under: California Legislature, California budget | No Comments »

Report: Paid sick days a public-health bonanza

Posted on Wednesday, July 30th, 2008
Under: Alberto Torrico, Assembly, California State Senate, Fiona Ma, General, John Laird, Sandre Swanson | No Comments »

Budget impasse spills onto Oakland streets

Posted on Wednesday, July 30th, 2008
Under: Arnold Schwarzenegger, Assembly, California State Senate, Don Perata, General, Guy Houston, Sandre Swanson | 4 Comments »