CBS affiliate KPIX-TV Channel 5 released a poll tonight that shows Rep. Jerry McNerney, D-Pleasanton, beating GOP challenger Dean Andal of Stockton by 11 percentage points, or 52 to 41.
The poll of 650 likely voters was conducted by SurveyUSA on Tuesday and Wednesday and has a margin of error of 3.9 percent, according to KPIX.
It’s the only independent poll conducted in the race so far.
I was actually at McNerney’s Dublin campaign headquarters when I heard the poll news and when McNerney arrived a few minutes later, he was happy. But he cautioned his supporters gathered for phone banking, “We can’t take anything for granted. We still have three weeks to.”
One of the poll’s most interesting findings was the gender gap. McNerney was leading by only 2 points among men but 18 points with women.
It may be a sign that hit pieces on Andal are working.Democrats have hit Andal hard in a series of campaign flyers that attempt to paint the Stockton conservative as a sexist knuckle-dragger.
Some of the Dems’ claims are thinner than ice in the Mojave but that doesn’t always matter. Voters say they don’t like hit pieces but they sure do remember them.