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Politico’s ‘Scorecard’ reports on CD10 poll

By Lisa Vorderbrueggen
Thursday, March 26th, 2009 at 3:07 pm in Congressional District 10, Joan Buchanan, Mark DeSaulnier.

Assemblywoman Joan Buchanan, D-Alamo

Assemblywoman Joan Buchanan, D-Alamo

Politico.com is reporting details of a poll commissioned by Assemblywoman Joan Buchanan, D-Alamo, in congressional District 10, which shows her narrowly beating state Sen. Mark DeSaulnier, D-Concord. (Click here to read the poll memo.)

I wonder if this poll has anything to do with the timing of today’s endorsement of DeSaulnier by Reps. Ellen Tauscher and George Miller? Tauscher has accepted an undersecretary post in the U.S. State Department but she will likely remain in office for months as she winds through the lengthy U.S. Senate confirmation process.

The poll also mentions as potential GOP candidates San Ramon Mayor Abram Wilson, who was Buchanan’s Assembly opponent, and former Assemblyman Guy Houston, who unsuccessfully sought a county supervisor race. Neither man has yet publicly expressed interest in the seat.

Click here for the full Politico.com posting but here’s a snippet:

State Assemblywoman Joan Buchanan commissioned a poll showing her narrowly leading DeSaulnier in a crowded election field that includes two unannounced Republican candidates.

The poll shows Buchanan leading DeSaulnier 21 to 18 percent, with Republican San Ramon mayor Abram Wilson at 14 percent and former GOP Assemblyman Guy Houston at 13 percent.

Neither Republican has yet expressed interest in the race.

Despite DeSaulnier’s experience representing the area in the state legislature, both Democrats have comparable name recognition, according to the poll. Buchanan is recognized by 34 percent of voters, while 31 percent offer an opinion on DeSaulnier.

Buchanan defeated Wilson to win her Assembly seat last year; she had previously served for two decades on the San Ramon Valley School Board.  If she jumped in the race, she would likely receive support and funding from EMILY’s List, which backs female Democratic candidates who support abortion rights.

The poll, commissioned by the Democratic firm Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin and Associates, was conducted between March 22-23. It surveyed 400 likely district-wide voters, and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

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  • Elwood

    Isn’t it amazing how polls usually come out favoring the candidate who paid for them?

  • Rich

    Buchanan will be unable to get any orginized labor backing for this seat, which will be the deathnell for her candidacy. Getting the backing of labor = votes, just ask Joe Canciamilla. If labor sours on you, like they soured on Canciamilla you are doomed if you are a Democrat trying to win a legislative or Congressional seat.
    Additionally, if she runs for this seat she will provoke Miller and Pelosi, which would not be too bright if she is serious about a long term political career – they got a lot of power. Buchanon has been in the legislature a week and a half, she’s a little premature in her desire to go to DC. She needs to get some experience and wait her turn.

  • Lauren Unruh

    I wonder why Lisa didn’t call me. I am interested in running too.

    I have been very active as a blogger in politics, live in the district and am still registered as a Democrat, even though my politics swing to the left of center.

    I have been working on legalizing marijuana for years and could probably generate a lot of support. Lisa knows I am interested.

  • Lisa Vorderbrueggen

    Actually, Lauren, I didn’t know you were interested. Send me an email with your contact information to lvorderbrueggen@bayareanewsgroup.com.

  • RR

    Hey Lauren, organize the drug dealers! They’ll support you!

  • David Richardson

    An off-the-wall, way out in right field comment if I ever read one!!!

  • RR

    I’ve read some of Lauren’s blog entries; she’s about as mainstream as Timothy Leary (dec’d).