Comments on: Garamendi leads in new CD10 poll

By: EastBayDem

EastBayDem — Wed, 06 May 2009 22:36:44 +0000

Looks like Garamendi’s pollster was a little loose with the truth:

http://www.theprogressiveconnection.com/diary/213/garamendi-poll-riddled-with-errors

By: EastBayDem

EastBayDem — Wed, 06 May 2009 07:04:53 +0000

24% is an underwhelming number for Garamendi, especially for someone who claims to have “served” the 10th District for decades upon decades (although judging by his announcement video and subsequent remarks, he seems to think the district includes Altamont Pass, the Oakland hills and Fremont). A statewide elected official having name ID is not surprising — let’s see if he can build solid, on-ground-support. My guess is no.

By: Elwood

Elwood — Wed, 06 May 2009 01:22:14 +0000

Garamendi has been called lots of things, particularly by the Marky Mark supporters on here, but glandhander is a new one.

By: Becca

Becca — Tue, 05 May 2009 23:42:40 +0000

Early polling numbers are not all that reliable and with a +/- of 5% I don’t put a whole lot of stock in these polls.

I have no doubt that the Lt. Gov. has higher name recognition than a one term Assembly member and a State Senator. If he didn’t then that would be sad. That being said, again, early numbers mean nothing. This campaign will be all about who has the strongest ground game.

Tony is right, the only numbers that matter are on election day.

By: Rich

Rich — Tue, 05 May 2009 16:25:48 +0000

Garamendi is a shallow, glib glandhander who has got about as much substance as a Harlequin romance novel. Contra Costa county has long produced distinquished legislators like George Miller, Ellen Tauscher and Tom Torlakson. Going back we had State Senator George Miller – he created the master plan for education in our state. Former Jack Knox was responsible for all the landmark enviromental legislation. I think State Senator Mark Desaulnier is in keeping with this tradition of highly skilled legisaltors. Garamendi, compared to this group, looks like Elmer Gantry. He’s an outsider bringing his tent show into Contra Costa County. These poll numbers – which reflect name regognition only – will be the highwater mark for Garamendi.

By: Cadem

Cadem — Tue, 05 May 2009 15:19:27 +0000

This is actually a bad result for john. If they are reporting the “informed” ballot ( after descriptions) then the Garamendi lead is weak. What is more likely is that this is the initial question, meaning that the informed ballot question was worse.

That is the problem with these selective releases. They have some truth, but not the whole truth. I would bet this iPhone I am typing on that this initial matchup was followed by a series of bios on the candidates and a followup matchup – with Buchanan ahead.

But unless they release the whole poll, nobody will know.

By: Tony Suh

Tony Suh — Tue, 05 May 2009 13:20:04 +0000

Don’t I recall that in initial races that Obama & McNerney were fairly behind the incumbents &/or the “well-knowns” of earlier races ? On the other hand – it did take very considerable efforts for the comparatively “new kids” ( across the whole district(s)) to win in the end – and by surprising margins as compared to the odds they had at the very beginning. So, the results of work ahead will be the real poll – i.e. – the final result is the only poll that counts !