The Public Policy Institute of California’s latest poll shows that as interest has grown in the May 19 special election, opposition has grown to the ballot measures with five of the six headed for defeat:
“The voters who are really tuned in are really turned off,” PPIC president, CEO and survey director Mark Baldassare. “They see the state’s budget situation as a big problem, but so far, they don’t like the solution.”
PPIC found voters most likely to be following news of the special election very closely are older than age 55, men and those who disapprove of the governor and legislature.
That latter category would be most of you, apparently: The poll found the governor (34 percent) and legislature (12 percent) at almost-record-low approval ratings. Californians feel less trust in state government now than PPIC has ever seen: Just 16 percent of likely voters say they can trust the government in Sacramento to do what is right just about always (2 percent) or most (14 percent) of the time. Among Californians overall, 23 percent hold this view (4 percent always, 19 percent most of the time).
But it’s not all gloom and doom. For the first time since PPIC started asking in 2003, most Californians – 57 percent – and most likely voters here – 52 percent – think the nation is generally headed in the right direction. That’s a marked increase even from when January, when it was 32 percent of Californians and 31 percent of likely voters. (Apparently, yes he can!)
The findings are based on a telephone survey of 2,005 adult Californians interviewed from April 27 through May 4 in English or Spanish; the margin of error all adults is ±2 percent, and for the 1,080 likely voters, it’s ±3 percent.
More PPIC tidbits, after the jump…
“I want to know what you’re thinking, tell me what’s on your mind…”
Light at the tunnel’s end? Most Californians (53 percent) say California is in a serious economic recession, but that percentage has declined 10 points from its peak two months ago (63 percent). About six in 10 Californians are very concerned (39 percent) or somewhat concerned (22 percent) about falling behind on their mortgage or rent payments; that’s not much changed from March (39 percent very, 23 percent somewhat). But while nearly half say they are very (31 percent) or somewhat worried (16 percent) that they or someone in their families will lose a job in the next year, that’s way down from January, when it totaled 58 percent.
The specter of Arlen Specter? The PPIC found 74 percent of Californians say the president and Congress will be able to work together and accomplish a lot this year.
Go vote. Californians are slightly more likely to prefer paying higher taxes and getting more services (48 percent) over lower taxes and fewer services (43 percent). But among likely voters, that margin goes the other way: 49 percent for lower taxes/fewer services to 42 percent for higher taxes/more services.