Comments on: CoCo registrar’s Election Day notes

By: John W.

John W. — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 07:31:21 +0000

I blew that analysis big time. Back to pundit school for some remedial learning.

By: steve weir

steve weir — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 06:15:53 +0000

With precincts now reporting in, Harmer holds a slight lead over Garamendi (2,635 to 2,617) from election day precinct totals.

Looks like John W. has it right.

However, Garamendi holds a substantial lead in the VBM ballots…

By: steve weir

steve weir — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 05:13:14 +0000

I am not one to speculate. However, Garamendi has a 12,000 vote advantage with the vote by mail ballots. IF there are 28,000 additional ballots to count in the 10 CD (my best estimate), Harmer would need to take 20,000 and Garamendi take 8,000 to approach a close election.

Those 28,000 would be about 8,000 VBM turned in at the polls, and 20,000 ballots cast at 10th CD precincts today. (All of this is by way of estimates. Because we must go through specified procedures to certify the final results, we will not know absolute totals for several days.)

By: Ralph Hoffmann, Guest Columnist

Ralph Hoffmann, Guest Columnist — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 05:09:55 +0000

It’s over for David Harmer. If he had supported leaving Afghanistan as the other 4 candidates did, he would have had a better chance. As we used to say in Brooklyn, wait ’til next year, GOP!

By: John W.

John W. — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 02:57:18 +0000

Gonna be close, methinks. My guess is that late/non-mail votes break for the GOP. Repubs likely more energized to get out the vote on election day. Whether that’s true and whether that offsets more early Dem votes, who knows? We’ll see shortly.