CNN poll: Boxer holds tiniest edge

Hot on the heels of yesterday’s poll showing Republican senatorial nominee Carly Fiorina with the slight edge in her statistical dead heat with incumbent U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer, D-Calif., comes another poll today showing Boxer with the slight edge.

A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation survey released today shows Boxer leading Fiorina 48 percent to 44 percent among registered voters; Boxer’s lead just barely exceeds the poll’s 3.5-percentage-point sampling error. Much like the Rasmussen Reports poll released yesterday, a mere 3 percent are undecided, an impressively low figure this long before Election Day. The poll surveyed 866 voters from Sept. 2 – the day after Boxer’s and Fiorina’s first, and perhaps only, televised debate – through yesterday.

Per CNN’s report:

“In a battle between two women, female voters will be a key constituency. Right now, 48 percent of women would pick Boxer compared to 43 percent for Fiorina. Six years ago, Boxer won 65 percent of the women’s vote,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

“The suburban vote has always been important in California, and it looks like that’s the home of the California swing voter this year as well,” adds Holland.”Boxer piles up a 19-point lead in urban areas and Fiorina has a 27-point advantage in rural California. Among suburban voters, the two are running fairly evenly, with 48 percent of the suburbs currently saying they would choose Fiorina and 44 percent picking Boxer.”

The same survey shows Republican gubernatorial nominee Meg Whitman leading Democratic gubernatorial nominee Jerry Brown by two points, 48 percent to 46 percent, which falls within the sampling error.

Josh Richman

Josh Richman covers state and national politics for the Bay Area News Group. A New York City native, he earned a bachelor’s degree in journalism from the University of Missouri and reported for the Express-Times of Easton, Pa. for five years before coming to the Oakland Tribune and ANG Newspapers in 1997. He is a frequent guest on KQED Channel 9’s “This Week in Northern California;” a proud father; an Eagle Scout; a somewhat skilled player of low-stakes poker; a rather good cook; a firm believer in the use of semicolons; and an unabashed political junkie who will never, EVER seek elected office.

  • Boxer just keeps slapping progressives in the face. On the one hand, she gives a dog-n-pony show at a “green jobs” company. And out of the other hand she announces that she’s supporting — personally, and with cash — money to roll back the non-partisan reapportionment proposition, Prop. 11, that the voters voted in a couple of years ago.

    Letting politicians set the legislative boundaries — pick their own voters — led to the gridlock we’ve had in Sacramento for ten years. Boxer wants the Dems to have “their turn” jiggering the elections in their favor. Let’s GET IT OUT OF THE POLITICIAN’S HANDS FOR ALL TIME.

    Boxer’s first allegiance is to the well being of HER PARTY — not you. Like most of the other California politicians. And I say that as a lifelong Democratic voter, now faltering in my conviction. Any good third parties out there?

  • John W

    Re: #2 Bob Dobbs

    Both Dem and Repub party insiders were against Prop. 11 in the first place, for obvious reasons. But I have not heard that Boxer has taken a position on repealing it. Do you have a source? I know Dem party insiders are opposed to the initiative that would extend Prop. 11 to Congressional districts. That’s a bit of a different situation. Although, in principle, I favor that, I understand why party officials and electeds oppose it. Unless Texas does it too (Texas having roughly the same number of Congressional districts, only drawn in GOP’s favor), California doing it amounts to unilateral disarmament. So, I’m undecided at this point.