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McNerney’s lead continues to widen

By Josh Richman
Wednesday, November 24th, 2010 at 11:29 am in 2010 election, Jerry McNerney, U.S. House, Uncategorized.

The latest ballot-tallying updates from the most populous part of the 11th Congressional District shows incumbent Rep. Jerry McNerney, D-Pleasanton, again has widened his lead over Republican challenger David Harmer.

Tuesday’s updates from the registrars of voters in San Joaquin County – which has the lion’s share of the four-county district’s registered voters – and Santa Clara County showed Harmer lost ground in the former and made none in the latter, leaving him 2,475 votes behind McNerney – just over 1 percent of the 237,808 ballots counted so far.

McNerney declared victory Nov. 10, when he was up by 1,681 votes or about seven-tenths of a percent; Harmer has yet to concede, and recently attended the GOP’s freshman orientation on Capitol Hill.

McNerney — now seeking a third term in the House of Representatives — leads Harmer — an attorney from San Ramon’s Dougherty Valley area — in Alameda County by about 15.5 percentage points and in Santa Clara County by 8.2 points.

Harmer leads McNerney by 0.15 of a point in Contra Costa County and by 3.6 points in San Joaquin County; that latter number decreased from a 4.3 percentage-point lead as of Nov. 10.

San Joaquin County is also where American Independent nominee David Christensen fared best, with almost 7.1 percent of the votes cast; districtwide, he took about 5.2 percent.

UPDATE @ 2:35 P.M.: The Associated Press has called the race for McNerney. I’ve still not heard back from Harmer’s people.

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  • ted ford

    It’s time for Harmer to concede, in fact it’s quite overdue.

  • Ralph Hoffmann

    The loser doesn’t need to concede. The SofS certifies the winner next Tuesday, I think.

  • Ralph Hoffmann

    Steve Weir’s the professional. For the best legal explanation I’ve ever seen, that a lay person can understand, read Steve’s comments on Josh’s blog of 11/10, 6:43pm.

  • John W

    Right, the loser doesn’t need to concede, even if it’s not a close race. It’s just a tradition. Makes the one doing the conceding look better in most people’s eyes. In Harmer’s case, he may be keeping his options open for a recount or even the outlandishly unlikely possibility that the new Republican majority in the House would seat him pursuant to Article I, Sec. 5 of the Constitution. Or perhaps this is buying him time to raise contributions to pay for a recount, which he could use for that purpose, or to pay off campaign debt, or to start a fund for another race in 2012.

  • John W

    Ted Ford — I think you should run against Mary Piepho for the BOS. See editorial in today’s 11/26 Times.

  • danvilledan

    “Turn out the lights, the party’s over”

  • ted ford

    John W., I did see the editorial. She really got slammed. I don’t live in her district. I’m Walnut Creek/Saranap. Gayle Uilkema is our Supervisor.

  • ted ford

    John W., I would expect that Guy Houston will go for that seat.

  • Ralph Hoffmann

    Regarding the comments on BOSIII: With redistricting next year, Dist. III boundaries are likely to change the most, and before the 2012 elections, when that seat’s up.

  • Ralph Hoffmann

    Statewide, redistrinting will help the GOP, hurt Dems, at all CA State levels.

  • Ralph Hoffmann

    Danvilledan, the 2012 elections began 11/03/10.

  • John W

    Ted Ford — Oh Wonderful – not! When I moved to CA, I knew the state was big on recycling. I just didn’t realize it pertained to politicians.

  • ted ford

    Mary has a strong following. She would be very tough to beat. I think Guy Houston spent something like $300k losing to her last time around. It is astounding and ridiculous that a county supervisor race could cost that much.

  • Jason B.

    If Contra Costa County Clerk/Registrar Steve Weir happens to be reading this, did your office certify the 11/2/10 election on Monday (the Elections Code sec. 15372 “certified statement of the results of the election”)? If so, where can the “final” results be found on your office’s website? [Or is the meticulous (or "tedious") write-in vote count still ongoing, continuing into Tuesday?]

  • steve weir

    Jason, we worked until 7:30 last night to try to certify.

    We’ll certify before noon on Tuesday, hopefully much before noon. Go to for results.

    We have completed all of our tasks and we are checking to balance precincts. (When we have multiple precincts in one location, ballots issued by one precinct board find their way into the scanners of another. Since we print the precinct on the ballot, we go through those precincts and return ballots to their correct home. We know which precincts to check because we count the signatures on the rosters and check that against precinct totals.)

  • steve weir

    Jason, my web site was edited out of the previous message, it is cocovote.us.

  • Ralph Hoffmann

    The http://www.cocovote.us website was updated on 11:25:13 AM. Official County results show McNerney 30210 votes, Harmer 30118 votes, Christensen 1808 votes, 44 Write-in. State certification is up to 4 days away.