Got you a wee bit hot under the collar, eh, GV?

Now we know you (GV Haste) ARE the latest alias for “Shillwell’s” campaign manager — no one else would respond THAT quickly (a mere 42 minutes) with that much heat and all of these “alleged” factoids.

Got news for you — you have no clue how “Joe and Jane Voter” really behave when they get ready to vote at the end of that very long workday — and most voters will not even know who to vote for beyond “President” unless they get “guidance” from what they receive in the mail or over the airwaves — and that takes “moola”, not mere “earned media”, and you ain’t got any of that, and you ain’t gettin’ near as much as what “Mr. Senile” will get when push comes to shove.

Get ready for it — “President Obama needs to finish the job for you! Give President Obama the Congress(man) he needs to finish that job!” — and remember: Grownups are watching this site — so take your swill and shill it somewhere else.

TC

“1) Obama/Romney is by far the biggest race, and in CD15″

In case you didn’t notice. The presidential election in November is alread done. Finished, decided..
In California. The outcome is not in question by anyone. Or do you think Obama and Mitt will be slugging it out to win California?
Unless something has changed, its winner take all for the electoral votes.

No, while the press may report the presidential election as a horse race, the importance of California is zero, since the race is already DONE. California is only good for cash, not votes.

That leaves us with what? Congressional race CD15, legislative race, Assembly District 20.
Probably a interesting County Supervisor special election race in Dist. 2,

Oh yes, and Brown and the others big tax proposals.
BTW, you really think Pete will get 80% of the Democratic vote? I think that is nearly impossible.
Did you examine the results over the hill, in Dublin, Pleasanton, etc.
Hayward is NOT representative of this district.
You have a incumbent who can no longer campaign in public. When he shows up, the past 5 months have shown the effect to be net-negative.
Look at the results of last week’s big event.
30 or 40 people at the event clapping with support.
Followed by 100,000 watching the ABC7 report at 6:00 pm and 11:00 pm, where Pete came off like some cranky old geezer complaining about the reporters asking bad questions, only to be finally dragged away by his handlers to a waiting car. The Great Escape.

So the well planned event score card = 100,000 to 50
Can’t wait for the next campaign event.

I’d say Pete is more Doberman than Irish Setter.

Now that you’ve (GV Haste) become the latest “moniker” (after Lars54 and Moderate Voter) used by the Swalwell campaign to try to shill his swill to us (Swillwell? I like it!), I thought it only fitting to remind you that none of this chattering is going to matter to “the typical 15th district constituent” (hint: correctly spelled BIG words are a dead giveaway that’s you’re a shill) — and what IS going to matter is just how interested they are in this “down card” race after they vote for the top of the card, so let’s look ahead to November.

1) Obama/Romney is by far the biggest race, and in CD15, where the split is 49D, 23R, and 28I, we have <a href="http://blog.sfgate.com/nov05election/2012/07/06/new-ca-field-poll-obama-viewed-more-positively-has-18-point-lead-over-romney/"this statewide view from Field that shows Obama crushing Romney statewide with an 18 point spread, and since CD15 leans more blue than the state as a whole, I could easily see Obama winning CD15 by 63% to 37%, a 26 point spread.

2) Since everyone from Obama on down the card (Feinstein, Boxer, Pelosi and the entire Bay Area Democratic contingent — see? I can do BIG words too!) has endorsed “Mr. Senile”, and he WILL have the moola to reinforce that with a message of “give Obama the Congress he needs!” to everyone of those hard-working CD15 voters — it means that all “Mr. Senile” needs to do is get a mere 80% of those Obama voters to agree to that message, and vote for him, since my math shows that 63% (Obama) x 80% (Senile, aka Stark, in case you couldn’t figure out the code) = 50.4 — or slightly better than “50% plus one”.

3) “Moola” matters, “Shillwellers”, and from I see, you ain’t got it, and ain’t gonna be gettin’ it, either — and ain’t gonna be able to overcome the massive ground game that the Alameda County and Contra Costa labor groups and official Democratic committees and clubs are gonna mount to push that “give Obama the Congress he needs!” message exclusively for “Mr. Senile” unless you want your “go-getter” to publicly become the Democrat he so studiously AVOIDS labeling himself as.

TC

How fortunate for you that you now have this opportunity.

The intellectual level of Stark and the setter are roughly comparable, but the setter has much better manners.

I was only commenting about the creative, but not illegal, financial funding arrangement during that 1996 election, the loans and loan paybacks and later funds from Pete’s campaign funds.

I think back then, he was running on the Stark name.
I think that is part of the reason he lost, as the public understood that. Something they failed to do with Nadia Lockyer, and her funding arrangement.

Having said the above, I think in the years since, that Jeff Stark has done his job well and from what I know is highly respected in the DA’s office and elsewhere.
I was only highlighting the issue of that election some 16 years ago when we were comparing the recent comments made about Swalwell’s inexperience in the DA’s office.

I brought up the issue only because in this election, Pete Stark’s supporters will be emphasizing the inexperience and youthfull nature of his opponent.
You see, back then, Pete didn’t have any qualms about supporting his own son, with similar levels of experience.

That is all. I trust Jeff Stark is doing a fine job.
If he had a interest in politics, he probably should have waited about 10 years to develop his own supporters. At this point I’ve not heard of any indication he ever wants to run for elected office.
As I said, that long ago funding issue was odd, and I didn’t like it, but it wasn’t illegal.

Certainly it wasn’t as massive as Bill Lockyers million dollars to Nadia’s campaign.
Nor equal to the $200,000 Mary Hayashi gave to her husbands judgeship campaign.
All of these episodes are part of the problem with excess cash flowing around.
It creates unfairness and a form of nepotism via cash advantage.

As for what I would be saying in two years if Pete decided to stick around. — Mother Nature will probably take care of that. If not, the pols won’t make the same mistake twice.

Yes, if it were legal, I would vote for an Irish Setter rather than hand the advantage of incumbency to somebody whose “empty suit” performance in Dublin in February fell so short of expectations and turned me off every bit much as Stark’s recent history has turned off most people. Difference is, the worst case with Stark is two more years. The worst case with Swalwell is being represented the rest of my natural life by somebody I can’t stand.

I realize my position is hard to accept. But, as you put it, “I like democracy.” One thing I like about it is that I get to vote as I please.

If he does that, and Ro once again defers to the local party insiders, staying out of the race, what then?
You’ll wait two more years?

I on the other hand, am more than willing to allow Swalwell to do the job for 2 years, and then face others in 2014. Seems like you’re afraid the voters in the district will end up liking him, and prefering him to Ro.
After all, Ro will have a minimum of 2.5 million dollars by then. If he can’t make a good case against Swalwell after seeing him in action for two years, then Ro doesn’t deserve to win.

I like democracy. You seem to prefer a clearly incompetent incumbent for two more years.
If Pete comes off so poorly in every public appearance, one can only imagine what he is like when not “ON” and doing his best.
The guy is “cooked”.. done. Everyone, knows that.
That is why we hear such absurd statements from the likes of Ro Khana “Pete is as sharp as ever”

Please…no really, please…

My point about Swalwell’s experience in the DA office is that he is a rank and file prosecutor, not a mover and shaker. I’m sure he works hard. Most prosecutors do because of understaffing.

FYI, the Alameda DA’s office has 150 attorneys according to their website. The pecking order is DA, several ADA’s who head up various sections, Senior Deputy DA’s and the worker bees — Deputy DA’s. There are about 100 Deputy DA’s. According to the salary data base, Swalwell is one of the lower paid members of the staff at $109k.

If you want to compare Swalwell as a courtroom attorney vs Khanna as not, that’s not a criterion for me. I’m more interested in what their legal background tells me about their mind and their depth concerning public affairs. Khanna’s experience as a top intellectual property attorney and his experience at Commerce, however ho-hum, suggest to me he has significantly more familiarity with business and economic issues than somebody who prosecutes street thugs. Don’t get me wrong, I value people who are good at prosecuting street thugs. But that doesn’t mean I’ll vote for them for Congress.

I never said “energy” is a negative; only that it doesn’t mean much in the absence of more concrete credentials and depth on issues. From Swalwell himself at the February forum in Dublin and from his supporters, all I’ve heard is about his energy and the fact that he’s not Stark. Not once have I seen anybody say, “I’d like to send this guy to Congress because I really like his position on (pick your issue).”

From what I’ve seen, Ro Khanna would, indeed, be more to my liking as a candidate. But that’s just from a distance. I’m a political junkie, not an insider. I’d be for anybody who had credentials worthy of the job.

For what it’s worth, Swalwell left a really terrible impression on me when I saw him at the Tri Valley Democratic Club forum in Dublin in February. And that took some doing, because I went to the meeting with an “anybody but Stark” attitude, fully expecting to come away as a Swalwell supporter. Anyway, you know what they say about first impressions.