LA Times poll shows Clinton leading Sanders

If Bernie Sanders is to emerge victorious from the Democratic primaries, he’ll likely need to trounce Hillary Clinton in California and several more upcoming states. It doesn’t look good for him A new poll by the LA Times and USC released found Clinton leading Sanders in the Golden State.

Among respondents, the former first lady held an eight point lead. The lead grew to 11 points among likely voters.

Clinton Sanders

To read the full LA Times story, click here.



Trump leading Cruz ahead in LA Times Poll

The LA Times and USC released polling data today on California’s Republican primary (The Democratic data will be released tomorrow).  As you can see below, Trump has a strong lead among all Republican voters, but it’s basically a draw among likely voters.


LA Times Poll

As was the case in a recent poll released earlier this month by GOP strategist Wayne Johnson, the LA Times poll found Trump competitive across the state, but trailing in the Central Valley.

To read the LA Times story, click here.


George Shultz praises Clinton speech, but isn’t endorsing her

still for hill
rom website Still4Hill.com

When Hillary Clinton gave her big speech on terrorism Wednesday that doubled as a full frontal assault on Ted Cruz and Donald Trump, Republicans were quick to return fire.

Trump attacked her on Twitter and Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus said she and President Obama “have been wrong about ISIS at every turn.”

But one prominent Republican had kind words for Clinton. “I thought she made a good speech,” said Ronald Reagan’s former secretary of state George Shultz.

He should know. The 95-year-old Hoover Institution fellow and San Francisco high society poobah was in attendance at the Bechtel Conference Center.

Does that mean he’s switching sides to Clinton? “No,” said Shultz who endorsed both Mitt Romney and John McCain, but has stayed out of this year’s campaign.

“I’ve been on (Stanford’s) campus for over 40 years,” he said. “When something comes, I go.”


Poll: Lefties less likely to vote

It’s no secret that conservatives vote more consistently. But today’s poll by the Public Policy Institute of California sheds some light on how much more liberal California might be if everyone actually went to their ballot boxes.

Here are a few questions asked by the poll broken down by “All adults” and “Likely voters.”

President Obama’s Job Performance

Approve        Disapprove
All adults           59%                  38%
Likely voters     53%                  46%


Should government reduce income disparities:

Yes                      No
All adults           68                       29
Likely voters     58                       39


Want big government/lots of services or small government/few services

Big Gov             Small Gov
All adults           57                        34
Likely voters     44                       51


Trump scores with California women — and everybody else

FILE - In this March 11, 2016 file photo, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks in St. Louis. A possibly decisive presidential primary June 7 is going to take Republican candidates where they haven't been before, if they intend to collect as many delegates as possible toward the party's nomination. (AP Photo/Seth Perlman, File)

(AP Photo/Seth Perlman, File)

Lots of coverage today on the Public Policy Institute of California’s new poll that shows Donald Trump jumping out to a sizable lead over Ted Cruz and John Kasich. Here’s my story.

And here is the report: ppic report

First a disclaimer: The poll is focused primarily on statewide issues so when it gets down to just Republicans the margin of error increases. For the Republican primary results it was plus or minus 7.3 percent. The sample size decreases further when you get into Republican subgroups. That said, Trump was favored by every single subgroup measured by the poll, especially women.

Here’s the break down:

Candidate          Female     Male
Donald Trump 43%           35%
Ted Cruz           18%            33%
John Kasich     15%             14%

Candidate          18-54     Over 55
Donald Trump 41%         37%
Ted Cruz            28%        25%
John Kasich      12%         17%

Candidate         Yes          No
Donald Trump 36%       40%
Ted Cruz           24%       28%
John Kasich     18%       12%

Candidate         <$80k   >$80k
Donald Trump 46%          34%
Ted Cruz           26%          28%
John Kasich     12%           15%

Candidate           Very      Somewhat
Donald Trump  40%        39%
Ted Cruz            35%         34%
John Kasich      13%         10%




One minimum wage initiative qualifies for Nov. ballot

An initiative to increase the statewide minimum wage to $15 by 2021.

The Fair Wage Act of 2016 would raise California’s minimum wage from $10 to $11 in 2017 — and keep raising it $1 per year until it hits $15 in 2021. After that it would be adjusted to keep up with inflation.

The measure is backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West.

But there is a competing measure being circulated by another union to get to a $15 minimum wage one year earlier (2020). Voters will likely get to choose.