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Nora Campos says her poll shows her leading Beall

Nora Campos

Assemblywoman Nora Campos and state Sen. Jim Beall are having their first election year tiff this week – over a poll Campos commissioned before deciding to challenge her fellow San Jose Democrat for his Senate seat.

Campos’ campaign touted the survey it commissioned finding that she had an 8 percentage point lead after recipients were told information about both candidates.

But the campaign was silent on initial tally before the pollsters started testing how voters responded to information provided about both candidates.

“If they’re not going to release the initial numbers, it’s likely they didn’t come out very well for Nora Campos,” Beall’s campaign consultant Michael Terris said. Beall hasn’t done any polling yet.

Ed McGovern, a Campos campaign consultant, said the initial numbers did show Beall with “very slight” lead, but he added that the polling firm, Godbe Research, tested positive and negative information about both candidates.

“We didn’t want to give her a poll that would give her unrealistic results,” he said. “She had to see a path to victory.”

The candidates will have a better sense of where they stand after the June 7 primary, and then lots more time to make their pitch to voters in November.

“Hang on to your hats,” McGovern said. “It’s going to be a long ride.”

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Khanna to start town halls in Milpitas

khanna honda

 

Taking a page out of Pete Stark’s playbook, Ro Khanna is going to host an a series of open forums across the South Bay congressional district he is trying to wrest away from Rep. Mike Honda. Unlike Stark, Khanna probably won’t respond to any hecklers by saying, “I wouldn’t dignify you by peeing on your leg.”

For Khanna the open forums are a chance to raise his profile and draw distinctions with Honda, who he says doesn’t take random audience questions during local public events.

The town hall will be from 6 p.m. to 8 p.m. Monday at the Milpitas Community Center, 457 E Calaveras Blvd, Milpitas CA. 95035

 

 

 

 

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Steve Glazer backs minimum wage bill

Orinda mayor and senate candidate Steve Glazer gives his speech before supporters during an special election night party at a restaurant in Orinda, Calif., on Tuesday, March 17, 2015. Glazer is racing against two major candidates, Assemblywoman Susan Bonilla and former Assemblywoman Joan Buchanan to fill the State Senate seat vacated by Mark DeSaulnier, D-Concord, who was elected to Congress last year. ( Ray Chavez/Bay Area News Group)

( Ray Chavez/Bay Area News Group)

I covered the Steve Glazer vs. Susan Bonilla death match for state Senate last year. Bonilla’s camp accused Glazer of essentially being a Republican — and all sorts of other things. No doubt Glazer courted Republican support. But when it came to the minimum wage vote, Glazer stuck with the Democratic majority — and his friend Jerry Brown. Here is Glazer’s statement from Thursday:

Sacramento – I voted today to support Senate Bill 3, a balanced plan that will lift millions out of poverty with a minimum wage increase while providing long-term stability and predictability for employers.

“The California minimum wage was established in 1916. There have been 27 increases over the past 100 years. Big spikes were followed with pauses, which has resulted in unpredictability and turmoil for businesses and workers.

“These minimum wage jobs are difficult and strenuous, and taking home a paycheck that cannot even cover rent, food and medicine is an unacceptable status quo.

“No bill is perfect, and we will need to carefully oversee its six-year phase-in to be sure it is achieving the desired results.”

SB 3 phases in gradual increases from the current $10 an hour rate to $15 by 2022. It provides an annual cost of living cap at 3.5 percent starting in 2024.

Other Democrats were a little more ebullient. Here is statement from Lt. Governor Gavin Newsom:

“This is a great day for California’s low-wage workers and their families, and I applaud SEIU-UHW’s leadership role helping make this happen,” said Newsom. “Gov. Jerry Brown and state legislators have stepped up to the plate on behalf of working people to make California the national leader for economic equality.”

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LA Times poll shows Clinton leading Sanders

If Bernie Sanders is to emerge victorious from the Democratic primaries, he’ll likely need to trounce Hillary Clinton in California and several more upcoming states. It doesn’t look good for him A new poll by the LA Times and USC released found Clinton leading Sanders in the Golden State.

Among respondents, the former first lady held an eight point lead. The lead grew to 11 points among likely voters.

Clinton Sanders

To read the full LA Times story, click here.

 

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Trump leading Cruz ahead in LA Times Poll

The LA Times and USC released polling data today on California’s Republican primary (The Democratic data will be released tomorrow).  As you can see below, Trump has a strong lead among all Republican voters, but it’s basically a draw among likely voters.

 

LA Times Poll

As was the case in a recent poll released earlier this month by GOP strategist Wayne Johnson, the LA Times poll found Trump competitive across the state, but trailing in the Central Valley.

To read the LA Times story, click here.

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George Shultz praises Clinton speech, but isn’t endorsing her

still for hill
F
rom website Still4Hill.com

When Hillary Clinton gave her big speech on terrorism Wednesday that doubled as a full frontal assault on Ted Cruz and Donald Trump, Republicans were quick to return fire.

Trump attacked her on Twitter and Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus said she and President Obama “have been wrong about ISIS at every turn.”

But one prominent Republican had kind words for Clinton. “I thought she made a good speech,” said Ronald Reagan’s former secretary of state George Shultz.

He should know. The 95-year-old Hoover Institution fellow and San Francisco high society poobah was in attendance at the Bechtel Conference Center.

Does that mean he’s switching sides to Clinton? “No,” said Shultz who endorsed both Mitt Romney and John McCain, but has stayed out of this year’s campaign.

“I’ve been on (Stanford’s) campus for over 40 years,” he said. “When something comes, I go.”