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FRIDAY FORECAST: Shadelands Redemption

By contracostatimesprepsportsstaff
Friday, October 7th, 2005 at 1:07 pm in Prep Sports.

Mmmm…humble pie. I finished off a pretty good slice of it last week after going 2-3. But in the end, no harm was done and I’m still trailing by one single-dingle dang ‘ol point.
I have a good chance to get that point back this week, so as the Shawshank Redemption’s Andy DuFresne may have said if he was a fan of the Forecast, "It’s time to get busy pickin’, or get busy dyin’."
Anyway, with that said…
(5) Ygnacio Valley over Liberty: This five-pointer is far from comfortable. The Warriors are certainly on a roll and they’re dominant against the run. However, they could struggle against the passing attack of Lions’ QB Jason Smith. It could be a close one, but I still give the edge to YV.
(4) Alameda over El Cerrito: It’s pretty much how Bill put it. There are just too many things stacked against the Gauchos this week.
(3) Las Lomas over Miramonte: It’s a great, big, huge DFAL game. Both teams are actually very similar. They both have very fast defenses and effective running games. I like the Knights because they are at home.
(2) Mission Viejo over De La Salle: It’s the No. 2 team in the nation playing on its own campus. I know DLS travels well and always steps up in big games, but this just might be an order it can’t fill.
(1) California over Foothill: May Matt Sweeney strike me down, but I think the Grizzlies are too well-coached to let the Monte Vista loss turn into an EBAL losing streak. I would be shocked not to see Cal fire on all cylinders and win this one by at least a touchdown. But then again, I’ve made it my one-point game, so you can tell my confidence is soaring.
SWING GAME — San Ramon Valley over Granada: The Wolves showed me something by pushing Foothill to the limit last week. In comparison, Granada will seem like a walk in the park.

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  • benenos

    Alright, I posted this once and it timed out. Technology sucks. So, I’ll be shorter this time and hope that my haste will bring me some much needed victories.

    (5) YV over Liberty
    This week, Liberty doesn’t get to hit the Video Poker in the local supermarket after the game like they did last week in Carson City. That said, if you look at YV’s season and do what any good handicapper does by
    putting a line through the CV game, you get these guys winning again tonight.

    (4) Las Lomas over Miramonte
    The Knights have been uber solid over the last couple years. That said,the Mats have karma on their side after donating money to Richmond to help get their equipment back. But, I think karma goes only so far and the
    Knights take it home tonight.

    (3) Alameda over El Cerrito
    Last year, Alameda was able to rely on Jeff Murphy and the air attack to defeat the Gauchos. This year, Murphy is injured and the pass game may be a bit sporadic. But, the Alameda coaching staff is good at making
    adjustments and the Gauchos are on the imate short week this week. The Hornets Nest will be buzzing this week.

    (2) Foothill over California
    Yes, I went down in the blaze of glory that was three of us picking Cal last week at MV. Not this week. Foothill’s D is the difference here.

    (1) DLS over Mission Viejo
    I vowed never to pick against the Spartans and this week certainly makes me think twice about that vow. But, MV didn’t come into Concord and dominate last year and the Spartans are better this year. I can’t call
    this a huge upset, or can I?

    Swing Game: Berean Christian over CSD
    Berean needs a few wins to build some momentum before their big matchup with Salesian in two weeks. That said, CSD is not going to be a pushover because they proved last week that they can hit the occasional big play. That kind of unpredictability will keep them in this game tonight at Acalanes. But, the Eagles will prevail ultimately.