Looks like Heritage was moved back to the 2-A class, which should open up another spot in the 3-A class. Let’s update this.
Let’s just breakdown the North Coast Section 3-A class, which is all of a sudden a stacked division. Alphabetically for now, let’s look at who has a chance at getting to the playoffs: Alameda (5-1, 2-1 ACCAL), American (3-3, 1-2 MVAL), Arroyo (3-3, 1-2 HAAL), College Park (5-1, 4-1 DFAL), Freedom (3-3, 2-3 BVAL), Newark Memorial (6-0, 2-0 MVAL), Pinole Valley (5-0-1, 2-0-1 ACCAL), San Ramon Valley (5-0-1, 3-0 EBAL), Tennyson (3-3, 2-1 HAAL), Washington (4-1-1, 2-1 MVAL).
Wow, that is six teams with no losses or just one loss. Remember, the bracket fills up with just eight spots. Let’s go ahead and mark in our locks to get into the playoffs: San Ramon Valley, Newark Memorial, Pinole Valley and Alameda. These squads are my 99.9-percent lock teams. That leaves four spots.
Here is a list of probable teams: College Park and Washington. The only reason Washington isn’t a lock right now is because they probably are going to be forced by NCS to forfeit the first two games of the season _ both wins _ against Tennyson and Arroyo for using an ineligible player. But Washington should still finish with just one more loss max this season _ that coming to James Logan on Oct. 20.
My teams that will crack the bubble: Heritage is now out which means Arroyo, American and Freedom are in a fight for the last spots. I give the edge to Arroyo and then the other spot is a toss up.
1. San Ramon Valley- Should be EBAL champs.
2. Newark Memorial- Only way they get No. 1 is by beating James Logan.
3. Pinole Valley – ACCAL champs again. Tie to Berkeley costs them a higher seed.
4. Alameda – 3-point loss to Pinole Valley puts them just behind the Spartans.
5. College Park – This squad could be No. 4 and Alameda No. 5.
6. Washington- A tie to SRV should make them higher, but forfeit losses drop them way down. You never know, NCS could be weird about these forfeits and drop them out all together or put them right behind Newark at No. 3. Washington lost to Newark 6-3.
7. Arroyo—The Dons have two solid losses to San Leandro and Washington. Its third loss was to Mt. Eden (also a decent loss), but the team was without its starting QB that game.
8. American/Freedom – Either way, playing SRV in the first round won’t be fun.