I can’t believe it, but it’s already time for baseball playoffs! I love it. With the North Coast Section seeding meeting happening on Sunday (It will be blogged live right here by the way) I decided to give everyone a sneak preview on how the brackets might look. I will start with 2-A East Bay and get the 3-A East Bay soon after.
Let’s start dissecting this 12-team bracket. I count 14 teams qualifying for the 12 spots. In order to qualify for the playoffs you must meet one of the following: have over a .500 record in league or over a .500 record overall or over a .500 record against 2-A opponents.
LOCK ‘EM: St. Mary’s (15-5), Northgate (20-2), Campolindo (14-7), Alhambra (15-7), El Cerrito (15-6), Albany (14-8), Piedmont (15-6-1), Miramonte (14-8), Las Lomas (12-10), Encinal (11-8), Concord (10-10).
Bubble: Heritage (9-13), Hercules (6-12-1), Moreau Catholic (12-11)
Note: Dublin (9-14): Its 2-A record stands at 6-9 right now and the Gaels’ league record and overall record aren’t over .500. Dublin could have been a serious threat for the final spot if it qualified. Dublin has beaten Concord twice, Las Lomas and Miramonte _ all teams that will be in the playoffs.
Anyway, I believe the final spot will go to Moreau Catholic or Heritage. I have to think Moreau will earn the spot but you never know. Heritage plays in the BVAL, which is a very strong league. Thanks to your comment, Heritage fan, I now know that I missed Heritages 8-1 win over De La Salle. That is a huge one and could be the difference to put them in over Moreau Catholic. We will see if it is enough.
Predicted seeding: 1. St. Mary’s
5. El Cerrito
9. Las Lomas
12. Moreau Catholic/Heritage
The teams in the field aren’t too hard to predict, but the seeding is going to be tough. The mess with the DFAL teams makes it hard. They pretty much beat up on eachother and it will make it tough for the committee. I wouldn’t be shocked to be completely off in my predictions.
I also wouldn’t be shocked to see Miramonte with better than a No. 11 seed. They beat Alhambra twice, but then lose to Concord twice. And of course Alhambra has beaten Concord twice and has some good wins (Arroyo, Encinal). Very confusing stuff. I got a headache trying to figure it out. I am sure glad I am not on that committee on Sunday.