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NCS Division-II breakdown

Here is my stab at the D-II playoff picture. Not as many common opponents as D-I makes it foggier, lot of key games still to be played. Biggest game this week is probably Cardinal Newman and Rancho Cotate.


NEAR LOCKS (5):

Petaluma (7-0) — Only undefeated team, wins over Case Grande, Cotate and Maria Carillo.

Concord (6-1) — Blowout of Clayton Valley, close loss to San Ramon indicate Concord a contender for the NCS D2 title.

Casa Grande (6-1) — Only loss is to Petaluma (40-14), and is 3-1 vs the Division.

Eureka (5-2) — In its 4-team league, Eureka plays every team twice. Three blowouts the first time through. Somebody gets a roadtrip to play the Loggers when they finish 8-2.

Montgomery (5-2) — One of Montgomery’s losses came to Grant, which is like losing to DLS, it doesn’t really factor in to the final record as far as the committee will be concerned. Key win: Cardinal Newman, yes you read that right. With Santa Rosa, Maria Carrillo and Piner ahead, Monty is looking at an 8-2 record.

PROBABLES (5)

Clayton Valley (6-1) — The Uglies have beaten just one team with a winning record (Mt. Diablo) and were torched by Concord. With YV, College Park and Northgate left, they could be anywhere from 6-4 to 9-1 to end the year, I’m leaning toward 9-1 and a playoff berth.

Pinole Valley (5-1) — Key win: Oakand Tech, which beat Mt. Diablo. Key loss: Alameda, one of only 2 NCS DII teams they play. Big game this week with El Cerrito if they win they are looking at an 8-2 record.

Ygnacio Valley (6-1) — Wins over Hayward, Northgate and Mt. Diablo mean YV is likely in, but it finishes with Clayton, Concord and College Park.

Windsor (6-1) — Lone loss is to one of NorCal’s best (Inderkum, 29-0), but of the six wins, only last week’s overtime win against D3 Healdburg was against a team with a winning record. Windsor finishes with Casa Grande, Petaluma and Analy (5-3).

Hayward (5-2) — There was a time, not too long ago, when being the runner-up in the HAAL was quite the accomplishment. Hayward will probably finish the year 8-2 with no wins against winning teams. Key loss: Ygnacio Valley. Key win: Ummmm … O’Dowd? Did you just laugh? I did.

BUBBLE (7)

Cardinal Newman (3-4) —
Scheduling tough out of league finally caught up with the Cardinals: Central Catholic, Del Oro and Palma are a combined 18-2-1. In the division, you have to figure CN is still among the elite, even with the 9-0 loss to Montgomery. (Never though I’d see CN get shut out, in league no less). Cotate, Ukiah and Carrillo remain, pencil them in for 5-5 or 6-4 and the low seed no one wants to play.

Rancho Cotate (4-3) — A win against Cardinal Newman this week is possible. If that happens, Cotate will go on to finish 7-3 with its losses to Monty, Petaluma and Carrillo. If it loses to Newman, 6-4 will make it tougher to get in. 2-point loss to Petaluma should help in the coaches ranking.

Alameda (3-3-1) — Wins against Pinole and San Lorenzo are very important. The Hornets will finish 3-0 against NCS D2 teams – two losses came to D1 teams (Newark, Berkeley) – a loss (Encinal) and a tie to NCS D3 teams. Consider the Hornets firmly on the bubble.

Northgate (4-3) — The Broncos have a shot, but the playoffs aren’t likely. With Concord, Mt. Diable and Clayton Valley to end the season they probably end at 4-6 or 5-5. That won’t cut it. No key wins to speak of and a loss to 2-5 Las Lomas.

Maria Carrillo (3-4) — In a tough spot, could end up 5-5, 4-6 is more likely. Do have a win over Cotate, but losses to Petaluma, Case Grande, Windsor and to 1-6 Santa Rosa hurt.

Mt. Diablo (4-3) — Mt. D was looking good after its 4-0 start, but with College Park, Northgate and Concord left a 4-0 to 4-6 season is definitely possible, if not probable.

San Lorenzo (4-3) — Losses to Mt. D and Alameda are big. Wins against Moreau, Castro Valley, Tennyson and O’Dowd aren’t. If SL wins its last three (Mt. Eden, Arroyo and Hayward) it has a chance. 6-4 (loss to Hayward) probably won’t cut it with no key wins.

Las Lomas (2-5) — Win out against Miramonte, Dublin and Campo and the Knights get to 5-5. But does a 5-5 Las Lomas team get in over a 5-5 Cardinal Newman team or a 6-4 Cotate team? Probably not.

Kyle Bonagura

Kyle Bonagura is a Pleasanton-based prep sports writer for the Bay Area Newsgroup-East Bay.

  • bhsfan

    hey jimmy what happened to this weeks box scores.
    hey concord fans what was the stats for those ” cream of the crop ” wide outs one of yall was talking bout 36-30 sounds like a good good though

  • seemslike

    I can agree with one thing Minuteman, some of the Concord players pranced and preened around the field before gametime like they were visiting royalty. I’ve never seen so many varsity players walking around in little groups during the JV game, sauntering back and forth around the end zone on the field many times during the JV game in their sandals, leisurely taking everything in. I thought it showed disrespect to both JV squads doing battle on the field. It’s a tough age to try to teach some humility (as if Hamilton has that lesson ANYWHERE in his textbooks, it’s certainly not in his character).

    In my experience, when the team bus arrives before varsity gametime, there is work to be done. It should be a business trip. These guys showed up WAY too early and just sort of milled around. I doubt they do that on a Friday night, I don’t know why they did it on a Saturday morning… You typically won’t even see a varsity player on the field at an away game until early outs, all taped up, gear on, ready to hit.

    I also agree that this loss will likely serve them well into the future. They know they’ll have to step up their game now in the playoffs and take nobody for granted. If there is a silver lining to losing the DVAL title, it might be that they go deeper into the playoffs.

  • YV WATERBOY

    MINUTEMEN,PLEASE NO EXCUSES TALKINGA BOUT 2 OF CONCORD’S LINEMEN WERE OUT,FOR THAT BEING THE REASON THEY LOST.

    JUST ADMIT THAT YV WAS THE BETTER TEAM,AND YOULL FEEL MUCH BETTER TRUST ME LOL.
    OVERATED CONCORD GOT WHAT THEY DESERVED.PLUS ONE REASON WHY GALINDO DROPPED COUPLE OF PASSES WAS CAUSE OF THAT ONE CATCH HE MADE,THEY SMACKED EM AND HE FUMBLED.SO HE WAS SMART FOR THAT,HE WASNT TRYING TO GET SMAKED AGAIN HAHA.

    PATRONE AND STEVEN WERE TOO MUCH FOR CONCORDS D.
    I JUST LIKE HOW PEOPLE TRY TO COME UP WITH EXCUSES AFTER THEIR TEAM HAS LOST.

  • FootballSmart

    Typical response from from a sore loser like YoMama… “did YV loose to Tech?”

    Who the hell cares? ALL that matters is that that successful program of Concord’s lost to YV. A league title at that… a game with far more meaning than a non-league mid-season lost to a team that also has more losses than YV… YoMama please shut up!

    YoMama Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 3:34 pm
    Concord looks to have a successful program this year. YV has made a statement. Did YV loose to Tech?

    MINUTEMEN, YOU’RE AT LEAST BRAVE ENOUGH TO COME ON NOW. I GIVE YOU CREDIT FOR THAT. BUT IF YOU WERE ACTUALLY AT THE GAME THE SCORE WAS NO WHERE NEAR INDICATIVE OF HOW THE GAME ACTUALLY WENT. CONCORD GOT THEIR LAST TD BECAUSE YV’S PLAYERS LOST IT FOR A MINUTE AND GOT A 30 YARD PENALTY THAT BASICALLY PUT THEM IN SCORING POSITION.

    HOW MUCH OF THOSE 30 POINTS DID CONCORD ACTUALLY EARN? THE ZEBRAS DID ALL THEY COULD TO KEEP YOUR BOYS IN THE GAME AND IT STILL DID WORKOUT FOR YOU. REMEMBER THE PICK THAT GOT TAKEN AWAY BECAUSE OF A BOGUS PI CALL? GAME WOULD HAVE BASICALLY BEEN OVER AT THAT POINT BUT YV EVEN OVERCAME THAT CRAP AND RAN THE BALL RIGHT DOWN YOUR THROATS AFTER THAT ONE TOO.

    JUST ADMIT THAT CONCORD GOT WHOOPED AND STOP USING “THE SCORE” AS AN INDICATION OF HOW THE GAME ACTUALLY WENT…

    ANYONE THAT ACTUALLY WAS AT THE GAME WILL TELL YOU CONCORD GET OUT HIT, OUT PLAYED AND OUT COACHED.

    2 OF CONCORD BEST LINEMEN WERE HURT… BOO FREAKIN WHO!!!

    LOSERS MAKE EXCUSES AND I GUESS IT’S EASIER TO MAKE EXCUSES THAN ADMIT YV IS A GOOD TEAM AND BETTER THAN CONCORD.

    ALL THE TALK ABOUT HOW GREAT THEIR DEFENSE WAS TOO… THAT DEFENSE GAVE UP THE MOST POINTS ANYONE HAS SCORED ON THEM ALL YEAR.

    WHAT’S THE EXCUSE FOR THAT? HOW MANY PLAYERS DID YOU LOOSE ON THAT SIDE OF THE BALL?

    Minutemen Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 3:35 pm
    I wouldn’t say 36 30 is getting whooped but a loss is a loss.

    I think concord came into this game overconfident.

    Lloyd was exposed to what he cannot do, throw outside of the pocket. He has great pocket presence but when he is forced to roll out of the pocket he has problems which forces him to throw interceptions. example: San roman and YV.

    I’m not sure whether it had to do with 2 of Concords best linemen were hurt or if YV’s d line is that good. I think it was a mix of the 2.

    Either way concord played a very bad game, Starnes dropped about 5 passes. Galindo had a couple drops also.

    Pica actually had a good game. But really any game where he doesn’t fumble is good for him. He had one really good run where he cut back across the field. But sometimes I think he should run like his brothers and run more north and south.

    But all in all I think we both have great teams. I’m interested to see where the 2 teams are seeded in NCS play.

    I think this loss will have a positive affect on Concord. Maybe this will game will show them they aren’t unstoppable.

    THEY SHOULD HAVE COME INTO THE GAME THINKING THAT… MAYBE THEY WOULDN’T HAVE A TARGET ON THEIR BACK THEN. ALL THAT SWAGGER AND BS WITH THROWING DOWN A SLEDGE HAMMER ON ANOTHER TEAMS HOME FILED DOESN’T HELP EITHER. I WAS AT THE CV GAME TOO. I NOTICED THEY DIDN’T PULL THAT CRAP AT YV. THE GAME PROBABLY WOULD HAVE NEVER BEEN PLAYED BECAUSE THEY WOULD HAVE BEEN RUNNING FOR THE BUS.

    If these sound like I’m just giving excuses I really believe YV is great team. A great running back duo and an amazing safety.

  • yomamma

    a win is a win, their was this one ref that favored concord alot, making p.i calls when it wasnt..okay y.v lost to tech but concord lost to yv so the tech game wouldnt matter as much would it. and concord came like at 1030 when the game started at 130 they where walking around yv like if they owned it. no respect what so ever. ill tell you one thing i know for a fact that concord where so cacky and cackyness kills a team no matter how good they are. they where also talking so much smack to yv freshman team when they played at ch… i hope yv doesnt get cacky when they play cp next friday at 330

  • FootballSmart

    I think you mean to say COCKY instead of CACKY right?

    Don’t worry, YV has no reason to be COCKY. YV is a school used to winning and being competitive on a consistent basis. That’s the difference between YV and Concord. YV teams don’t loose their freakin minds and go around acting like they’re ALL that after tasting a little bit of success after years of being a doormat

  • FootballSmart

    Bhsfan Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 3:44 pm
    hey jimmy what happened to this weeks box scores.
    hey concord fans what was the stats for those ” cream of the crop ” wide outs one of yall was talking bout 36-30 sounds like a good good though

    Here’s what those cream of the crop WRs did…

    Buford 6 for 90 yards
    Galindo 5 for 58 yards. A 22yd TD and a 2 yd TD pass after YV was penalized 30 yards for unsportsmanlike conduct for too much celebrating after going up by 2 scores. They subsequently had to kick off on the 10 or 20 yard line and put Concord in position to score a late TD.
    Childs had 3 for 41, Starnes 2 for 21 and Hightower 2 for -2 yards

  • yomamma

    Minutemanmom Says:
    October 31st, 2009 at 10:03 am
    CONCORD is the best team, they have really talented wide receivers, and a great QB, and RB in F.hightower.
    Ricky has great accuracy with his throws, but he doesn’t even need it with, the talented receivers who can catch in traffic. THROW RICky THROW!

    okay two of their lineman where injured but like minutemanmom say (they have really talented wide receivers, and a great QB, and RB in F.hightower.
    Ricky has great accuracy with his throws, but he doesn’t even need it with, the talented receivers who can catch in traffic. THROW RICky THROW!) never mention the o line so it didnt matter because they do have a great QB with great accuracy witch he throw 5 inters and have talented receivers who cant i mean can catch in traffic lol not.. throw ricky throw lol to yv’s d lol… footballsmart lets call 911 because i think minutemanmom jumped off the golden bay bridge send a search party for her and maybe theyll find some pinksocks lol where did he go????

  • YV WATERBOY

    FOOTBALL SMART,DAT COMMENT U LEFT

    Typical response from from a sore loser like YoMama… “did YV loose to Tech?”

    Who the hell cares? ALL that matters is that that successful program of Concord’s lost to YV. A league title at that… a game with far more meaning than a non-league mid-season lost to a team that also has more losses than YV… YoMama please shut up!

    YoMama Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 3:34 pm
    Concord looks to have a successful program this year. YV has made a statement. Did YV loose to Tech?

    MINUTEMEN, YOU’RE AT LEAST BRAVE ENOUGH TO COME ON NOW. I GIVE YOU CREDIT FOR THAT. BUT IF YOU WERE ACTUALLY AT THE GAME THE SCORE WAS NO WHERE NEAR INDICATIVE OF HOW THE GAME ACTUALLY WENT. CONCORD GOT THEIR LAST TD BECAUSE YV’S PLAYERS LOST IT FOR A MINUTE AND GOT A 30 YARD PENALTY THAT BASICALLY PUT THEM IN SCORING POSITION.

    HOW MUCH OF THOSE 30 POINTS DID CONCORD ACTUALLY EARN? THE ZEBRAS DID ALL THEY COULD TO KEEP YOUR BOYS IN THE GAME AND IT STILL DID WORKOUT FOR YOU. REMEMBER THE PICK THAT GOT TAKEN AWAY BECAUSE OF A BOGUS PI CALL? GAME WOULD HAVE BASICALLY BEEN OVER AT THAT POINT BUT YV EVEN OVERCAME THAT CRAP AND RAN THE BALL RIGHT DOWN YOUR THROATS AFTER THAT ONE TOO.

    JUST ADMIT THAT CONCORD GOT WHOOPED AND STOP USING “THE SCORE” AS AN INDICATION OF HOW THE GAME ACTUALLY WENT…

    ANYONE THAT ACTUALLY WAS AT THE GAME WILL TELL YOU CONCORD GET OUT HIT, OUT PLAYED AND OUT COACHED.

    2 OF CONCORD BEST LINEMEN WERE HURT… BOO FREAKIN WHO!!!

    LOSERS MAKE EXCUSES AND I GUESS IT’S EASIER TO MAKE EXCUSES THAN ADMIT YV IS A GOOD TEAM AND BETTER THAN CONCORD.

    ALL THE TALK ABOUT HOW GREAT THEIR DEFENSE WAS TOO… THAT DEFENSE GAVE UP THE MOST POINTS ANYONE HAS SCORED ON THEM ALL YEAR.

    WHAT’S THE EXCUSE FOR THAT? HOW MANY PLAYERS DID YOU LOOSE ON THAT SIDE OF THE BALL?

    Minutemen Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 3:35 pm
    I wouldn’t say 36 30 is getting whooped but a loss is a loss.

    I think concord came into this game overconfident.

    Lloyd was exposed to what he cannot do, throw outside of the pocket. He has great pocket presence but when he is forced to roll out of the pocket he has problems which forces him to throw interceptions. example: San roman and YV.

    I’m not sure whether it had to do with 2 of Concords best linemen were hurt or if YV’s d line is that good. I think it was a mix of the 2.

    Either way concord played a very bad game, Starnes dropped about 5 passes. Galindo had a couple drops also.

    Pica actually had a good game. But really any game where he doesn’t fumble is good for him. He had one really good run where he cut back across the field. But sometimes I think he should run like his brothers and run more north and south.

    But all in all I think we both have great teams. I’m interested to see where the 2 teams are seeded in NCS play.

    I think this loss will have a positive affect on Concord. Maybe this will game will show them they aren’t unstoppable.

    THEY SHOULD HAVE COME INTO THE GAME THINKING THAT… MAYBE THEY WOULDN’T HAVE A TARGET ON THEIR BACK THEN. ALL THAT SWAGGER AND BS WITH THROWING DOWN A SLEDGE HAMMER ON ANOTHER TEAMS HOME FILED DOESN’T HELP EITHER. I WAS AT THE CV GAME TOO. I NOTICED THEY DIDN’T PULL THAT CRAP AT YV. THE GAME PROBABLY WOULD HAVE NEVER BEEN PLAYED BECAUSE THEY WOULD HAVE BEEN RUNNING FOR THE BUS.

    If these sound like I’m just giving excuses I really believe YV is great team. A great running back duo and an amazing safety.

    I REALLY DO AGREE WITH YOU ON EVERYTHING U SAID.