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NCS Division III playoff projections

By Jimmy Durkin
Saturday, November 14th, 2009 at 7:27 pm in Uncategorized.

Here’s my breakdown of NCS Division III. We’ll see how close I come when the seedings are announced tomorrow.

The following are the eligible teams I consider locks:

ACALANES 5-5, 4-2 DFAL
ALHAMBRA 9-1, 6-0 DFAL
ANALY 6-4, 2-4 SCL
CAMPOLINDO 5-5, 3-3 DFAL
EL CERRITO 7-3, 5-1 ACCAL
ENCINAL 9-1, 7-0 BSAL
FORTUNA 7-3, 4-2 HDNL-Big 4
HEALDSBURG 6-4, 3-2 SCL
MARIN CATHOLIC 9-1, 7-0 MCAL
NOVATO 7-3, 6-1 MCAL
PIEDMONT 6-4, 4-3 BSAL
TAMALPAIS 7-2, 4-2 MCAL

I consider these three to be probable:
KENNEDY – FREMONT 4-6, 2-4 MVAL, 2-1 Div. III — Play mostly Div. I competition and nearly beat Logan last night
MIRAMONTE 4-6, 2-4 DFAL, 3-2 Div. III — Have a win over a Campo team that is in
BISHOP O’DOWD 3-5-1, 3-3 HAAL, 0 games against Div. III — Exclusively played games from higher divisions and still qualified.

And finally my bubble teams:

MOREAU CATHOLIC 4-6, 3-4 BSAL, 2-2 Div. III
TERRA LINDA 4-6, 2-4 MCAL, 4-3 Div. III
SONOMA VALLEY 4-6, 2-4 SCL, 3-2 Div. III
DEL NORTE 3-6, 2-4 HDNL-Big 4, 2-2 Div. III

My first task is to eliminate Del Norte with its 3-6 record.

MOREAU CATHOLIC 4-6, 3-4 BSAL, 2-2 Div. III
TERRA LINDA 4-6, 2-4 MCAL, 4-3 Div. III
SONOMA VALLEY 4-6, 2-4 SCL, 3-2 Div. III
DEL NORTE 3-6, 2-4 HDNL-Big 4, 2-2 Div. III

Then I eliminate Sonoma Valley because of its head to head loss to Terra Linda.

MOREAU CATHOLIC 4-6, 3-4 BSAL, 2-2 Div. III
TERRA LINDA 4-6, 2-4 MCAL, 4-3 Div. III
SONOMA VALLEY 4-6, 2-4 SCL, 3-2 Div. III

Finally, I judge between Moreau and Terra Linda. Terra Linda has a win over a playoff eligible team in Sonoma Valley, which is something Moreau cannot say. However, Terra Linda hasn’t beaten a team with a winning record, just like Moreau has not. The difference is all of Moreau’s losses came to teams with winning records, including the likely No. 1 seed in this bracket and the likely Nos. 2 and 6 seeds in Division IV. Moreau played a much tougher schedule than Terra Linda, which has bad losses to 2-win teams in Redwood and San Marin. That, I think, is what gets Moreau the final berth.

Here’s my crack at seedings:

1. Encinal
2. Marin Catholic
3. Alhambra
4. Novato
5. El Cerrito
6. Tamalpais
7. Piedmont
8. Healdsburg
9. Fortuna
10. Acalanes
11. Campolindo
12. Analy
13. Bishop O’Dowd
14. Miramonte
15. Kennedy-Fremont
16. Moreau Catholic

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  • KillerD

    Good report on Tamalpais.

    How about Fortuna, Healdsburg, Piedmont or Acalanes?

    How do they matchup?

  • All Day

    Oceanside any openings for 2010 on schedule? Maybe 2-year deal? Home and home

  • EBfootball

    encinal #1 marin #2
    http://www.cifncs.org/sports/football/files/RESULTS/2009/FB3BRACKET09.pdf

    it posted on the ncs site already

  • EBfootball

    #3 alhambra #4 novato #5 healdsburg #6 ec

  • http://www.ibabuzz.com/prepcorner/2009/11/14/ncs-division-iii-playoff-projections/ Bleacher Coach

    I was at the Piedmont vs Encinal game sat right next to the Defence coach with the head set. Piedmont has athletes they one thing that I have told all teams who have played the Jets this year is this there line is BIG decent speed on the line but they area block because of there size couple that with the crazy speed of the Jet back field and the Backs pop holes and are on the line backers before you can blink. So I mentioned this to a couple of teams one during the game Piedmont actually listed my suggestion was but the down line man in a 4 point stance and have them clogg the hole basically chop blocking the O line but the LB need to know what gap they are blocking it was more than the P defence could adjust to in one half

  • ManDown

    You seem to know alot about Encinal. I don’t know if you are exactly right but I hope you are right when your teams plays the Jets or else you just look like a fool.

  • Heavy Set Learner

    At the last game moreau versus encinal I heard a couple of parents telling the coaches to put the kid in that wears #4. I dont go to a lot of their games but if parents are saying it, I think the coaches should have done so. I think it could be an upgrade from what they have now, I know he can run the option better. They cant get any worse on that side of the ball.

  • http://aol yo mama

    Don’t listen and react to Murdoc. He was run off another blog for his racist/bigot comments. He has anger issues because of society. Not much knowlewdge of football and any level, in fact no knowledge of anything at any level. Anybody supporting that clown and can be identified as a coach is putting their program at risk for those type of comments.

  • http://www.ibabuzz.com/prepcorner/2009/11/14/ncs-division-iii-playoff-projections/ Bleacher Coach

    Mandown all I cant do is offer what I see to go with the game film the coahes of all the teams no there personel much better than I do ,but if I was a coach with out much team speed or size up front thats what I would do and if my best athletes on D where on the line I would pull them to line backer and put some other guys on the line to clogg the gaps. You cant stack the box because unlike Berkeley the Jets can Pass as well

  • Head in the Sand

    ALHAMBRA BY 17 OVER O’DOWD

  • All Day

    Head in The Sand, watch out BOD might be hitting on all cycles right about now. Not to take anything away from Alhambra.17 seem like alot, you might know something that I don’t.

  • Xs and O

    Stop 25, you stop Alhambra.

  • http://aol yo mama

    Who is Murdoc’s team?

  • http://ibabuzz.com MURDOC

    Bleacher Coach you sound a lot like that weasel Novato Fan Larry Reposa.

  • http://www.ibabuzz.com/prepcorner/2009/11/14/ncs-division-iii-playoff-projections/ Bleacher Coach

    I think he is a Jet coach

  • http://www.ibabuzz.com/prepcorner/2009/11/14/ncs-division-iii-playoff-projections/ Bleacher Coach

    the rumor is there is a Jet coach who uses 2or 3 different names to stir things up

  • http://www.ibabuzz.com/prepcorner/2009/11/14/ncs-division-iii-playoff-projections/ Bleacher Coach

    Murdoc I am sorry but you must have me confused with someone else but it sound like he is a smart guy and knows something about football maybe you should just read and learn for awhile and then when you are getting ready to post something dont lol

  • old former meddling coach.

    Bleacher Coach, Lets get something right here. No.1 The Jets been sending the whole team out for the flip as long as i been around the program the last 5 years and it’s about unity. No.2 There are no thugs on the team whatsoever. I seen these guys come in the door as freshmen and the one thing we don’t have is thugs. No.3 Yes we played one game with a lack of discipline but our superior play overcame that and trust me when i tell you that Coach corrected that little loss of focus. We Don’t cheapshot but i think people have a problem with spirited play. If this was 20 yrs ago you really might have a beef. Lastly,Gentlemen please remember… This is only High School Football. Jet Pride!

  • http://ibabuzz.com MURDOC

    Larry Reposa now your back huh. Lets start with your weak high school football career average at best. Secondly you played at Encinal & lived in Alameda til you got evicted now your trying to hate cuz you live in Novato in the burbs.

  • http://aol YoMama

    Good comments Old Former. Now who is Murdoc? Is he with you guys? If so, make him go away. If not, let’s see some Jet posts challenging this bigot. You sound fair and impartial, fans are reacting to some Jet comments from a couple of bloggers and some ex-comments about other programs and schools. Let’s not wait for Encinal to win D-3, which they should, and then make all the hate comments again. If the team is solid and classy, which it seems to be, I have attended a few games watching them, the bloggers shouldn’t be running other teams down.
    And for Mudoc, the Jets have some honks too, linemen and a couple of receivers that looked pretty good to me. They wouldn’t be in the rank that they are without those contributing positions. Nuff said.

  • http://www.ibabuzz.com/prepcorner/2009/11/14/ncs-division-iii-playoff-projections/ Bleacher Coach

    Old former I agree it is only a high school football game but come on spirted play this week against Moreau the poor Moreau QB threw the ball took two steps watching his pass a got blind sided from behind that goes way beyond spirted play or continuation of a play. I dont know about 20 years ago I wasnt around then but from the progams I have watched in much tougher areas than Alameda you dont see those kids doing those types of things. Take El Cerrito, Richmond ,San Pablo even Oakland you do not see that type of behavior or the amount of penalties for unsportsman like conduct. That is just another reason they the Jets would not get picked for a bowl berth could you see that happening on National TV the NCS doesnt want that kind of rep.

  • http://aol YoMama

    Now Murdoc is poking fun at people with down syndrom. Again, who is your team and where did you play- except for yourself.

  • renegades10

    murdoc reminds me of robert downey jr.’s character in tropic thunder.

  • renegades10

    murdoc is not from DLS as a week ago he made a comment that implied all people from DLS are racist.

  • Oceanside

    “Oceanside your a school full of suckas. Stay by the beach & run your weak Fly Sweep. We got speed for you Panta & we smack. So wipe that shit off the side of your cheek or recognize.”

    RECOGNIZE WHAT FOOL??? YOUR WEAK ASS OOC SCHEDULE?? WANNA SMACK A TEAM AROUND, COME PLAY THE BIG BOYS YOU COWARD…..YOU PLAYED SERRA GOT SMOKED LIKE A B1TCH, OCEANSISDE STEPS AND PLAYS LONG BEACH POLY….GAME RECOGNIZE GAME CHUMP…..SOUNDS LIKE YALL GOT LUCKY TO EVEN BEAT THOSE WHITE BOYZ FROM MARIN CATHOLIC LAST YEAR, WORD IS THEY GONNE STUFF THE BALL DOWN YOUR THROAT THIS YEAR……OCEANSIDE WOULD P1SS ALL OVER YOU 2 SMALL TIMERS

  • RollCall

    MUROC is an Encinal coach. He’s been jockin them hard for two years.

  • http://aol YoMama

    After the season, I have a job for Murdoc parking cars for my guests on my 2 acre estate in Blackhawk. After that, he can stand in the lawn as an ornament holding a sign that says no trespassing. After dinner, he can join me and my ex- Vietnam buddies on the hills of Mt. Diablo behind the house shooting our M-16′s at watermelons and cans. After that, I will give him a ride to the bus stop in Danville and he can catch a bus back to Alameda. Happy Holidays Buddy!

  • chs1012

    Renegade-

    More like Simple Jack.

  • http://www.ibabuzz.com/prepcorner/2009/11/14/ncs-division-iii-playoff-projections/ Bleacher Coach

    YoMamma that was to funny I am still laughing …..

  • old former meddling coach.

    Bleacher Coach #73, All I can say is,there is quite a few times that kids do those kind of things. it is not taught and is not tolerated. If you would’ve been at the St.Pats-Encinal game you would’ve seen St.Pats Doing quite a bit of late hitting and dirty play. It happens all over. I can say that these Young men Play hard and hit hard within the rules. And since you can see that Encinal has all kinds of kids,How can we have any racism among them? Lets not knock the whole program based on Blogers comments that don’t reflect on The School,Team or the Coaching Staff. Jet Pride!

  • http://ibabuzz.com nfl

    bleacher coach i’ve seen encinal there big n fast. you guys lost to marin catholic so what r u talkin bout? that lefty you got can’t throw. didnt novato lose to encinal last year? encinal has athletes good luck to them i think teams are just mad cuz ncs aint just the good ole boys like it was a couple of years ago. it’s obvious teams up north don’t want 2 play teams with brothers!

  • http://aol YoMama

    Old Former- good comments- however I did not see any dirty play at that game, but penalities for late hits, which can happen anytime, especially on crowded sidelines, etc. The only racist is Murdoc and Guru-Black. Just about everyone on this blog is against them, including brothers from Oceanside, are you with us?,

  • old former meddling coach.

    YoMama 87, I am Neutral But i don’t condone any racial remarks by anyone of a negative nature. It has no place in this society. Being a Child of the 60′s and 70′s I can say things are a lot better but in my opinion there are some people who can never be reached everywhere. Jet Pride!

  • http://acalanes.acalanes.k12.ca.us/webapps/portal/frameset.jsp?tab_id=_39_1 Acalanes Announcer

    Thank you, this helps a lot. Although I think Acalanes deserved a little more credit, luckily it worked out and we will be hosting Analy Friday.

  • Oceanside

    LOL@MURDOC..IM FROM FRISCO HOMIE STR8 FROM THE MOE FOOL…IM A 12 YR MARINE CORP VET WHICH IS WHY IM IN OCEANSIDE FOOL….BEEN TO AFGHANISTAN ONCE AND IRAQ TWICE AND YOU TRYIN TO CALL ME OUT HOMIE? IVE SEEN SH1T AND HORRORS YOU WOULDNT BELIEVE HOMIE SO HAVE ABOUT 25,000 OF BROTHERS HERE IN OCEANSIDE WHO ARE PROUD MARINES FIGHTING TO PROTECT WELFARE A$$ N1GGA$ LIKE YO SELF……LOVE TO SEE YO SISSY STROLL DOWN TO MY HOME AND TELL ME AND MY 25,000 BROTHERS ABOUT US CROSSDRESSING AND BEING YUPPIES, MY BROTHERS WHO DIED OVERSEAS WERENT DYING FOR $$$$$…YOU WOULD BE MY GUEST OF HONOR…LET ME GUESS YOUR ALL TALK AND NO SUBSTANCE, IGNORANT A$$ PROBABLY NEVER LEFT THE BAY AREA

  • mc415

    i think if Novato and Encinal meet in the semis its going to be one hell of a game! Oceanside thanks for serving our country,looks like Oceanside has one hell of a team this year and Coach Hoke at SDSU is counting on you guys to revitalize their program

  • choppers

    Oceanside is hella overatted to me anyways, that whole pac5 or pac 8 (please forgive me if I am worng ) is overated, all great schools, but stiff,

  • Concerned Parent

    Oh my Goodness – some of you should be ashamed of yourselves. If you are high school students posing as adults, that explains some of the comments. But if you are adults and exchanging the types of messages I am seeing here, you should be completely ashamed of yourselves. Especially the barely veiled racial slurs. Can the moderators please moderate and get these comments off of here. And the rest of you need to remember that this is high school sports – grow up. The players are showing more class than some of you!

  • Oceanside

    Choppers forgive me….but you have seen them play one time 2 years ago?

  • Perry

    oceanside —- thanks for your service!

  • the G.O.A.T.

    violence is the most primitive form of communication

  • http://aol YoMama

    Oceanside, you said it all to that punk Murdoc. Siempe Fei !

  • http://aol BigJoe

    Just for the record, De La puts some kids in the service too. Navy , Marines and Air Force. Just recently one was killed in the line of duty in Afgastain. Not all silver spooned kids at De La like the fool detractors think. Oceanside and your comrades, HAIL!
    Murdoc, the Marines, any place , any time. They protect what you take for granted- FREEDOM. Freedom is not free.

  • choppers

    Yess, I seeen orange play, lbp, I think the EBAL league in nor cal, and the WCAL is better then that league. And honestly I was roooting heavliy for you guys when u guys faced you crosstown rivalry a couple of years ago, and it was a let down, why didn’t that game happen last year?

  • http://ibabuzz.com Coach Tenorio

    OK I haven’t been on these blogs til now. I like just reading them unless something just has to be said. First is MURDOC is not a coach on my staff. Trust me my staff will blog with their real names there are no punks over here. Secondly Yo Mama is the biggest sucker & trash talker on these blogs so I don’t want to hear anything from him he came sideways at me out of no where earlier this year. Secondly Oceanside bring it there is no fear of So Cal. I doubt your even from there. Nobody just happens to surf the Net & be in the Bay Area site. Secondly if your from Frisoc there are no Frisco teams in our section. Your talking bad about us its nothing lets handle it on the field. Your probably just a fan though. I’m the Head Coach I schedule games. I’ll drop a league team on my schedule to play you. But your probably just a fan talking so have somebody blog from your area thats a shot caller.

  • people talk too much smack on these blogs
    Novato deserves more respect as does Alhambra.

  • Hood Boy

    Well looks like Coach T shut a lot of people up lol..gotta love it

  • Triton8

    Bleacher Coach…..are you serious? You think that the Jets purposely late hit and get penalties jsut to be punks? You honestly think that the coaching staff teaches their kids to start 1st and 20? And please stop with the State Bowl crap….its getting old! Big deal….Novato went to the State Bowl? That’s not the ultimate measure of a team. I think one of the true tests between teams is the head to head records???? EHS 1 Novato 0.