Part of the Bay Area News Group

Who’s In & Who’s Out, Rankings, Standings, Stats

By Matt Smith
Sunday, February 5th, 2012 at 11:11 am in Boys soccer.

The last week before the North Coast Section playoffs. Who’s going to get in?

Division I

In: Berkeley, California, Clayton Valley, De La Salle, Logan, Monte Vista, Mt. Eden, Newark Memorial, Pittsburg, Richmond, San Ramon Valley.

Should Get In: College Park, Dougherty Valley, Granada.

Work to do: Alameda, Amador Valley, American, Antioch, Castro Valley, Deer Valley, Freedom, Heritage, Irvington, San Leandro.

There are 11 teams that are guaranteed to get in. There are three that probably will. Let’s take a look at their situation.

College Park: The Falcons just need to beat or draw with Mount Diablo. They beat Mount Diablo 3-0 earlier this year.

Dougherty Valley: The Wildcats need to avoid going 0-2-0, or 0-1-1 in their final two games. One win, or two draws, will do the trick. They play Las Lomas and Alhambra.

Granada: The Matadors have a little bit of work left. They have to win one of their last two games, or get draws in both. Considering they play San Ramon Valley on Tuesday, it could come down to needing a win against rival Livermore to get in the playoffs. You never know in a rivalry game, and the two teams have already drawn this year.

This gives us 14 teams that are probably going to get in. There are 10 teams still mathematically alive for the final two spots. Nobody is grabbing the bull by the horns for these final two spots, so let’s see what each team needs to do to get eligible. Not all 10 will. In fact, it will probably be more like three or four, meaning getting eligible doesn’t mean you’re getting in.

Alameda: Needs to beat Pinole and Berkeley to become eligible.

Amador Valley: The most deserving team has to go 2-0 and has to play Livermore and Foothill. Both winnable games, but it could come down to the rivalry game with Foothill, and the Falcons would love to spoil the Dons season.

American: Needs a win, or two draws, to be eligible. That should happen, but would need to overcome schedule strength to get in. American probably needs a lot of other teams not to be eligible for itself to get in.

Antioch: Needs to go 2-0, or 1-0-1 against Pittsburg and Liberty. This team is one of the top 16 teams in Division I and it would be deserved if they got in.

Castro Valley: Still alive, but needs to go 3-0 to close the year to get eligible.

Deer Valley: Needs to beat Freedom and Heritage to be eligible.

Freedom: Needs to go 2-0 or 1-0-1 against Deer Valley and Pittsburg.

Heritage: Needs to beat Liberty and Deer Valley to be eligible.

Irvington: Needs to go 2-0 or 1-0-1 against Washington and Newark. Would need most other teams to not be eligible to get in.

San Leandro: Two wins, or going 1-0-2 in their final three games, will make the Pirates eligible. I think this team has a decent shot of getting in.

Division II

In: Acalanes, Albany, Bishop O’Dowd, Campolindo, Concord, Dublin, Hayward, Piedmont, Pinole Valley, St. Mary’s, Ygnacio Valley.

Should Get in: Alhambra, Kennedy-Richmond, Tennyson.

Work to do: Encinal, Hercules, Mt. Diablo, Salesian, St. Joseph Notre Dame.

Looks like there are 14 teams that will get in. Let’s see what the teams who should get in need to do.

Alhambra: This team is pretty much in. Just needs to not go 0-2. They won’t go 0-2.

Kennedy-Richmond: One win or two draws and this team is in.

Tennyson: A win or a draw and this team should be in.

Let’s look at the teams with work to do.

BSAL Schools: Encinal, Salesian and St. Joe’s are all around .500 in league, but I don’t think I have all of their results, so I can’t make an accurate prediction of what they need to do. Don’t be surprised if one of them ends up over .500 in league.

Hercules: Needs to go 2-0 or 1-0-1 against Berkeley and Richmond. Probably not gonna happen.

Mount Diablo: Would need to go unbeaten against YV, Clayton and College Park. Probably not.

Rankings

I’ve never seen a year that has been so top heavy. There is hardly any room for teams to jump in the last few weeks because the top teams either don’t lose, or in the rare instance they do it’s to a top three team, or they draw against a very good team. Hard to move teams too far down. This leaves Clayton Valley, Campolindo, California, Concord and Hayward very little room to move up.
After that, all the teams at the bottom of the rankings and just outside the rankings, will are losing and drawing against good teams, so I can’t move them down too much but I have to, leaving me with the dilemma of only moving them down a spot or two because of who they’ve played, but I need teams who move into the rankings, hence jumping Dublin, Bishop O’Dowd and Alhambra into the top 15.

1. De La Salle (17-3-1)
2. Ygnacio Valley (15-2-2)
3. San Ramon Valley (14-5-3)
4. Richmond (18-4-0)
5. Newark Memorial (18-3-1)
6. Acalanes (11-1-7)
7. Monte Vista (12-2-8)
8. Clayton Valley (15-4-3)
9. Campolindo (16-2-3)
10. California (16-3-2)
11. Concord (13-0-4)
12. Hayward (14-3-2)
13. Dublin (13-5-3)
14. Bishop O’Dowd (9-2-9)
15. Alhambra (9-7-5)

Others considered: Berkeley (11-7-3), Pittsburg (12-7-3), Dougherty Valley (8-7-4), Logan (11-4-6), Pinole Valley (8-8-4), Albany (9-4-6), Mt. Eden (12-7-3), Tennyson (8-6-3), Piedmont (8-5-4), Granada (8-7-5).

Standings

ACCAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS
Richmond (18-4-0, 10-0-0) 30
Berkeley (12-7-3, 5-3-2) 17
Pinole Valley (8-8-4, 4-4-2) 14
Hercules (5-7-4, 4-4-2) 14
Alameda (9-10-1, 4-6-1) 13
El Cerrito (6-6-9, 2-3-5) 11
De Anza (0-10-1, 0-10-1) 1

BSAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS
Albany (9-4-6, 7-0-3) 24
Piedmont (8-5-4, 7-1-3) 24
St. Mary’s (6-2-5, 5-2-3) 18
Kennedy (4-10-6, 3-0-6) 15
Encinal (4-6-0, 4-5-0) 12
Salesian (4-9-0, 4-5-0) 12
St. Joseph Notre Dame (4-8-2, 3-5-1) 10
St. Patrick-St. Vincent (2-8-0, 2-7-0) 6
Swett (0-13-0, 0-10-0) 0

BVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS
Pittsburg (12-7-3, 6-0-2) 20
Antioch (8-8-3, 3-3-2) 11
Freedom (4-7-6, 3-3-2) 11
Heritage (3-3-7, 1-2-5) 8
Deer Valley (1-7-8, 1-2-5) 8
Liberty (2-9-3, 1-5-2) 5

DFAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS
Acalanes (11-1-7, 7-0-3) 24
Campolindo (16-2-3, 6-1-3) 21
Dublin (13-5-3, 4-4-2) 14
Alhambra (9-7-5, 3-3-5) 14
Dougherty Valley (8-7-4, 4-4-2) 14
Miramonte (5-11-4, 2-6-2) 8
Las Lomas (5-9-5, 1-9-1) 4

DVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS
Ygnacio Valley (15-2-2, 8-0-1) 25
Concord (13-0-4, 7-0-3) 24
Clayton Valley (15-4-3, 7-2-1) 22
College Park (10-9-4, 4-6-1) 13
Mt. Diablo (4-6-1, 4-5-0) 12
Northgate (5-13-3, 2-8-0) 6
Berean Chr. (4-14-0, 0-11-0) 0

EBAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS
De La Salle (17-3-1, 11-0-1) 34
Monte Vista (12-2-8, 7-1-4) 25
California (16-3-2, 8-3-1) 25
San Ramon Valley (14-5-3, 8-3-1) 25
Granada (8-7-6, 2-6-4) 10
Amador Valley (9-11-2, 2-8-2) 8
Foothill (5-13-4, 1-9-2) 5
Livermore (2-14-3, 0-9-3) 3

HAAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS
Hayward (14-3-2, 12-1-1) 37
Mt. Eden (12-7-3, 8-4-2) 26
Bishop O’Dowd (9-2-9, 7-2-5) 26
Tennyson (8-6-3, 6-5-3) 21
San Leandro (6-10-1, 6-6-1) 19
Castro Valley (5-14-1, 5-7-1) 16
Moreau Catholic (4-9-5, 3-7-3) 12
San Lorenzo (4-7-5, 2-5-5) 11
Arroyo (0-14-3, 0-11-3) 3

MVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS
Newark Memorial (18-3-1, 9-0-1) 28
Logan (11-4-6, 7-1-3) 24
American (6-9-2, 5-4-1) 16
Irvington (5-12-2, 4-4-1) 13
Mission San Jose (2-15-3, 2-4-3) 9
Washington (2-13-1, 1-7-1) 4
Kennedy (1-13-2, 1-9-0) 3

OAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS
Oakland Tech (3-2-1, 2-1-0) 6
Skyline (1-2-0, 1-0-0) 3
Fremont (0-0-0, 0-0-0) 0
Castlemont (0-1-0, 0-1-0) 0
Oakland (0-1-0, 0-1-0) 0

Stat Leaders

Name School Goals
Montes, Richmond 25
Mendoza, Richmond 24
Romero, Pinole 23
Ayala, YV 22
Sandoval, Newark 19
Alejandro, Alhambra 18
Castillo, Hayward 18
Gomez, Clayton 17
Alvarez, Albany 16
Grixti, Cal 16
Lopez, Pitt 15
Roth, SRV 15
Glascock, Acalanes 14
Borges, Albany 14

Name School Assists
Montes, Richmond 27
Damian, YV 16
Borges, Albany 14
Gomez, Hayward 13
Ayala, Richmond 12
Mendoza, Richmond 12
Maguire, Acalanes 11
Gomez, Clayton 11
Dougherty, Newark 11
S. Palano, Campo 10
Moreno, EC 10
De La Pena, Newark 10
Chaussy, SRV 10

[You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.]

  • Matt Smith

    Nice Shot! Awesome, keep us posted bro!

    Vaporking, the computer ranking I posted is just straight off the numbers. My final seeding predictions will factor in head-to-head, common opponents, league finish, league strength and how they finished the season. My formula is just a basis to get me started.
    The committee won’t use any type of formula. They overemphasize league finish, and they love the EBAL and DFAL.

  • Nice Shot

    Berkley 1 El Cerrito 1

  • Matt Smith

    How much time left? Let me know when it goes final.

  • clubcoach1

    Matt,
    Hercules has submitted an application according to the ncs website
    http://cifncs.org/sports/soccer/files/verification(b)Winter.html

  • Nice Shot

    Berkley scores off of free kick. 2nd half

  • Nice Shot

    El cerrito comes back to tie it

  • Matt Smith

    Wow, El Cerrito really wants that playoff spot!

    Interesting about Hercules. Everything I know about their overall, league and division record says they aren’t eligible. I’ve got them at 3-4-4 in Division II games. Maybe I’m missing one. Ineligible teams have applied before, however.

  • SoccerFan11

    Let’s all give our seeding predictions!
    Division 1
    1. DLS
    2. Richmond
    3. Cal
    4. Newark
    5. MV
    6. Clayton
    7. SRV
    8. Pittsburg
    9. Granada
    10. Berkley
    11. Logan
    12. Mt. Eden
    13. Amador
    14. Antioch
    15. Dougherty
    16. CP

    Division 2
    1. YV
    2. Acalanes
    3. Campo
    4. Hayward
    5. Albany
    6. Concord
    7. Dublin
    8. Alhambra
    9. Bishop O’ Dowd
    10. Pinole Valley
    11. Piedmont
    12. St. Mary’s
    13. Tennyson
    14. Kennedy
    15. Mt. Diablo
    16. Salesian

  • Tack

    SoccerFan11- can you explain having campo at 3rd, followed by Hayward at 4?

  • High school eyes

    Hopefully Damian and Romero meet in NCS I also her that YV and Pinol Valley have played each other the last two years but this year they did not face each other also I checked the scores and YV won both Years 1-0 both years an assist from Damian the two times they faced each other

  • Vela

    @Baller9
    Oh I definitely agree with you. But I know that a kid led the league in scoring last year and was second in assists and did not recieve neither MVP nor offensive player. It would be great to see a player like Alejandro win, as his play helped Alhambra to a strong season despite not winning league.

  • SoccerFan11

    Tack
    In past years it seems as though the committee ranks the DFAl teams very high. Last year Campo and Acalanes were seeded 1 and 2, so with Campo coming 2nd in league I believe that they will be seeded high. Also, it seems the committee places a big emphasis on how teams placed in league. I feel like Hayward will be seeded 4th because they won the HAAL with a very good record. They are having a year like San Lorenzo last year who won the HAAl and they were seeded 3rd. What are your predictions for division 2.

  • Baller#9

    For sure vela it’s unknown and will see what happens it would be a disappointment to not see him win it given what he’s done also I read somewhere before he was playing left back can you imagine that ? It is just amazing that he changed his position and was able to notch 20 goals with a decent amount of assist.

    I guess will wait and see what happens my vote is for Alejandro !

  • TheCamera

    Is Romero really that good of a player to be compared to Damian?

  • The Sweeper

    In D1, don’t be surprised if the NCS selection committee puts Cal, SRV and MV on the same side of the bracket, and possibly leaves Granada out completely. Would like to see Richmond and Cal on the same side, with DLS on the opposite side. Generally speaking, league teams should not have to play each other in the first round, but the committee has often ignored line of thinking. It is in the hands of what I call “the blind trust,” may the soccer gods grace them with a modicum of wisdom.

  • Matt Smith

    What’s happening in El Cerrito, Nice Shot?

  • Matt Smith

    Berkeley won 5-3.

    I’m posting my seeding predictions in a new post right now.

  • Tack

    SoccerFan11-well said. I understand your points completely, although I do differ in my predictions.

    1.YV
    2.Acalanes
    3.Dublin
    4.Concord
    5.Campo
    6.Hayward
    7.Albany
    8.Alhambra
    9.Bishop O’ Dowd
    10.Piedmont
    11.Pinole Valley
    12.St. Mary’s
    13.Tennyson
    14.Kennedy
    15.Mt. Diablo
    16.Salesian

  • Matt Smith

    The new post is up.

  • The Sweeper

    Rouge Warrior #433: “…SRV still seems to have a sync problem as the game plan does not boot up correctly.”

    There is nothing wrong with SRV’s game plan as the Wolves routinely control play, produce more quality opportunities and out-shoot their opponent. Their problem is two-fold: finishing their attacks on offense and clearing loose balls from the area on defense. But the game plan itself is very sound. It is up to the players to finish at both ends of the field. MV was totally on its heels the last 15 minutes Thursday night and was relieved to get out with 3 points. Just my 2 cents.

  • The Sweeper

    Hey Matt, WAKE UP!!! Class is almost over and we are 470+ posts and counting. We are pushing 500! Come on mates, let’s heat up those keyboards and spew out those opinions, just like the SCOTUS.

  • Matt Smith

    A SCOTUS reference on the blog. Love it.

  • Nice Shot

    5-3 Berkley, Final

  • The Sweeper

    For D2, it seems less clear after seeding YV #1. We may see something that looks like numbers pulled out of the committee’s………………………………….hat.

    I do not see seeds #1-4 all getting to the semis, no matter who is selected.

    Alhambra and Dublin are two squads that have shown the ability to play a solid road match late this season, so beware the comforts of a home match.

  • Baller#9

    I think Dublin will make noise in NCS Alhambra it depends on what team shows up ! But I are alcalanes and campo taking early exits.

  • The Sweeper

    Matt,

    The truck is filled with gas, and I have interrupted my usual Saturday night social calendar to make that long 2 mile trek to post your D1 and D2 seeding recommendations you know where. Keep the iPhone line open in case I need to get bailed out.

    I will submit the mileage reimbursement on an expense report next week.

    Cheers, and see you…you know where!

  • Cal Fan

    It probably doesn’t matter if Cal is #2 or 3 seed. Either way I think it will be Cal and DLS in final.

    For defensive player of the year, my vote is Matt Goodman#8. Two of the three games Cal lost he was out with injury. He not only anchors their defense he helps the offense in many ways. Matt has sprinter speed and can stay with anyone in EBAL.

  • High school eyes

    No I don’t see anything special about Romero well we can say anything till they meet face to face on the pitch but Damian is just one special kid and his on another level he has lead his high school too seed 1 what is Pinole seedded?

  • Cal Fan

    Sweeper
    Do you have candidate for defensive player of the year? You have seen a lot of them.

  • Shinguard

    Alhambra has been playing some consistent soccer and the GK seems to be playing very well. Biggest concern for dogs is to hold the mid line and keep the backs working together. Because if the GK is getting peppered all night at some point 1 or 2 will get in.

  • MIDFIELDER

    I

  • MIDFIELDER

    500! must keep posting….

  • Baller#9

    Keep it rolling until 500 we can do it !!!

  • http://www.fjphotoguy.com Chris G. the FJ Photoguy

    Comment 484 – Thanks 477 for the kind words on FJ Jr!

    16 more…

  • bueller

    New to the site; enjoying the comments. Without being too blatant, I wonder how folks come to notice very good players on teams that aren’t otherwise showing up on the radar. Seems a shame for them to get passed over.

    (and I’m helping you hit 500 posts…)

    Cheers

  • mudhen

    .485….LOL

  • Baller#9

    Who’s gonna win D2 NCS title ???

  • PK? No Way!

    To help you get to 500…

    Matt, I just started reading your blog last week. Thank you for this forum, it is very interesting reading. :)

  • The Sweeper

    Cal Fan,

    As a former defender (‘A long time ago in a galaxy far, far away…’), I very much enjoy Cal #8′s play. He is in my mind a “steady Eddie” type, and is a d-anchor. I saw him struggle one match while the whole team struggled through the team injury blight, and he shifted to a different roll and adapted very well. And then he was under doctor’s orders for a few weeks and is now back contributing. He is on my all-EBAL short list, and his dad is on my all-NCS photoguy list (gee, who could that be?).

    BTW, in my sweeper days, I received our coaches accolades, but our steady Eddie back got much-deserved all league honors, so I appreciate a rock solid defender that allows a sweeper to focus appropriately.

    I also like the stopper on Acalanes (#17?) well rounded and quietly very physical; the sweeper at Dublin (not big but cool, calm and collected with a variety of creative free kicks); SRV’s tall left back (9?) who is similar to #17 above but less subtle; and the Richmond forward that floats back to stopper and then strikes back (#18?) AND he is one of my “dominant at either end” players. When healthy, in DI the DLS d-unit and the Cal d-unit stand out like no other, and in DII the Campo d-unit and the Acalanes d-unit are top notch, but not at this time due to injuries.

  • Shinguard

    @Sweeps I have to agree on Cal & DLS D squads one or two players stand out on each team but as a D unit with GK both Cal & DLS are simply outstanding, very good athlets who can read the attack and adjust accordingly. Not sure if you have ever noticed how the back four and GK from DLS moments prior to start have own private huddle. But good backfields also need that solid play from midfield that starts to weaken the attack.

  • Rouge Warrior

    DI and DII it will be the depth of bench, and and what surprise player truly steps up and lights up the pitch.

  • Lonewolf

    Spartans have depth,they are healthy,the coaches seem relaxed and in a positive mood as mid week approaches.
    But do the players have the fire & passion to take the game to another level and dominate the pitch?
    Or will a Richmond come out from the start where passion and fire will be the creed that carries them through? Can San Ramon play 80 min and eliminate those tiny moments that just seem to slip away from total control of a game? What about Newark they had a taste last year can they repeat and close the deal? This years NCS has all the drama and possible great performances ever to be seen in Bay Area HS soccer.

  • Cal Fan

    Sweeper and Shinguard

    Couldn’t agree more with your comments about defensive play and like the list of players on 489. For DLS I would throw in the #4 player Depolo. He doesn’t have as much size as the others but makes up for it with quickness and grit.

  • Lonewolf

    Alhambra has some hidden stars, they need to step-up and add some additional shine. Don’t 2nd guess just dominate and be relaxed and not panic /rush your individual skills side of the game.

  • Shinguard

    #494 You hit the nail on the head..as Poacher would say Do it..JUST Do It…game on.

  • Jsoccer

    Is antioch and freedom in ncs for d1

  • Rouge Warrior

    DII YV will go all the way. None of the DII teams play at the speed of the top 8 DI teams. So if you feel the need for speed go to DI game..Some great individual skills ball go to DII game. Bulldogs are a contender watch out for the bite.

  • Baller#9

    489 looks like we won’t make 500 post what a Shame :(

  • NoMoJo

    Clayton Valley has no MOJO they will do the typical sputter and exit stage left.

  • Barcelonaman

    No words of wisdom or witty comments with this post, just trying to get it to 500.