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Boys Soccer: Playoff Picture, Rankings, Standings, Stats

The playoff races in Division I and Division II are heating up. Who’s looking like they will get in and who isn’t?

Division I

Locks: Amador Valley, Berkeley, California, De La Salle, Foothill, Monte Vista, Newark Memorial, Pittsburg, Richmond, San Ramon Valley

These 10 teams are mathematically eligible for the playoffs already, and based on their wins and the schedule they’ve played, I believe are already in the playoffs no matter what happens. (Richmond & Berkeley have already earned an automatic berth). This leaves us six spots.

Pretty Much In: Antioch, College Park, Mt. Eden

These three teams, barring any setbacks, are in. They have mathematically qualified already, but unlike the teams above, wouldn’t be safe if they were to lose out. However, a win or two or a draw here and there in their last four games should do the trick. I’d list CP, ME and Antioch, in that order, in terms of safety. This leaves three spots.

Inside the Bubble: Castro Valley, Deer Valley, Dougherty Valley, Logan

Castro Valley- As of right now, a game above .500 in league, they are inside the bubble. However, they finish against Bishop O’Dowd, Mt. Eden and Berkeley in three of their last four games. Going any combination of 0-1-3, 1-2-1, 1-1-2, etc… in their last four league games makes them eligible.

Deer Valley- A game over .500 overall and in league. This team is actually pretty safe based on schedule strength and remaining schedule. Almost a Pretty Much In team.

Dougherty Valley- Record-wise, Dougherty is close to qualifying. They’ve played a pretty decent non-league schedule that will help increase the chances.

Logan- Once a Pretty Much In team, they have had a rough week. I think this team is a lot like DV, pretty safe. But the Colts needs to get back on track.

I believe at least two of these teams get in, which really only leaves one spot for others to fight for.

On the Bubble: Alameda, Arroyo, Freedom, Irvington, Liberty, Mission San Jose, San Leandro, Washington

Alameda- Needs two more wins than losses in their last four league games to qualify.

Arroyo- Same as Alameda.

Freedom- Has a win against MV and a draw against Pitt, but is only 3-6-2 against Division I teams. Just one game under .500 overall and in league, but qualifying and getting in are two different things.

Irvington- Just a game under .500 in league and playing better.

Liberty- Two games under in league, so good play over the last two weeks is vital.

MSJ- A side with very solid results, so I’m not counting them out yet.

San Leandro- 4-4-4 in league, so exactly .500. Keep that pace and they’ll qualify. A few more wins strengthens the case.

Washington- Had a rough week. A game under overall and in league, was looking in decent shape before this, but should be able to turn it around and get qualified.

Division II

Locks: Acalanes, Campolindo, Concord, Hayward, Hercules, Northgate, Pinole Valley, St. Mary’s, Ygnacio Valley

These nine teams are mathematically eligible for the playoffs already, and based on their wins and the schedule they’ve played, I believe are already in the playoffs no matter what happens. (Hercules has already earned an automatic berth). This leaves us seven spots.

Pretty Much In: De Anza, Kennedy-Fremont

I believe these two have already mathematically qualified, and based on the lack of qualifying teams in Division II, I pretty much believe them to be locks. I’m gonna leave myself room for error in case I don’t have their records correct. This leaves five spots.

Inside the Bubble: Alhambra, Bishop O’Dowd, Dublin, San Lorenzo

Alhambra- Despite being tied for last in the DFAL, which isn’t as bad as it sounds because it’s such a tough league, this team looks like it will probably get in. Two games above .500 with a solid schedule and a win over YV equals playoffs to me, as long as they qualify.

Bishop O’Dowd- Getting hot right now and shouldn’t have any problem qualifying, or getting in. One more league win makes them eligible. This team is Pretty Much In.

Dublin- An up and down team that is tough to figure out, seems to be in a good position now. 5-4-0 in league and 5-4-3 against Division II teams means they just have to win once or twice to end the year to get in.

San Lorenzo- Had a rough week, but being two games over .500 both overall and in league gives them room to play with. This team will be fine and should get in.

I think all four of these teams are getting in, leaving us one spot.

On the Bubble: Albany, El Cerrito, Moreau Catholic, Piedmont, Salesian

Albany- Could have qualified with a win over Salesian in their last league game, this team will now have to win twice or go 1-0-1 in the TCAL Tourney. They are 5-6-1 in Division II games (remember, Oakland Tech counts as Division II) so winning a TCAL tourney game, then drawing one, or winning two would help. They could even win one and then lose against Richmond (DI) and get in.

El Cerrito- I’m not seeing the mathematical possibility, but I could be wrong. Overall is clearly not good enough, and 4-5-1 isn’t gonna work in league. They needed a win or draw in their last game. They are 5-8-1 in Division II games, so I guess winning the TCAL Tourney, as long as they play all DII schools on the way, could do it.

Moreau Catholic- Believe it or not, this team is probably in the best shape. They are playing much, much better, are only a game under .500 in league and are 2-0-2 against the four teams they have left.

Piedmont- The Highlanders are playing better right now, but need to go unbeaten (4-0-0, or 3-0-1) in their last four games to get in.

Salesian- 3-4-2 against Division II teams, so a win and a draw or a couple of wins in the TCAL tourney, will get them eligible.

Rankings

Even though they are still undefeated, a draw against Miramonte was enough for me to jump Berkeley over Acalanes and give the Yellowjackets their first No. 1 ranking in the history of these rankings. Any time a team wins 13 straight games, at any level, is an incredible feat, and deserves to be rewarded. The Jackets will have their hands full against Richmond tomorrow as No. 1 will be tested right away. Should be an exciting matchup and a great test for the new No. 1 team in the East Bay.
Acalanes stays at No. 2 despite the draw with Miramonte, while De La Salle and Pittsburg both jump two spots. San Ramon Valley now leads the EBAL by a point and is really hitting stride, breaking into the top five. This will be a big week as DLS and SRV square off. Winner likely goes into the final week with the best chance to win the league.
MV and YV both drop a few spots after losses to unranked teams, while Richmond jumps up to No. 8 after a good week. Campo creeps up one spot, as does AV.

1. Berkeley (15-1-3)
2. Acalanes (15-0-3)
3. De La Salle (11-3-5)
4. Pittsburg (10-2-4)
5. San Ramon Valley (13-4-2)
6. Monte Vista (12-3-4)
7. Ygnacio Valley (13-2-4)
8. Richmond (12-3-5)
9. Campolindo (13-5-2)
10. California (14-4-2)
11. Hayward (13-3-3)
12. Foothill (9-5-5)
13. Amador Valley (11-6-3)
14. Concord (9-1-5)
15. Newark Memorial (11-3-6)

Others considered: St. Mary’s (11-2-3), College Park (9-7-4), Kennedy-Fremont (9-5-1), Northgate (10-4-4), Hercules (15-4-2), Deer Valley (8-7-2), Logan (8-7-5), Mt. Eden (9-5-6), Bishop O’Dowd (7-6-2), Pinole Valley (10-5-1)

Standings

BVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Pittsburg (10-2-4, 5-0-1) 16
Antioch (8-4-4, 4-2-0) 12
Deer Valley (8-7-2, 3-2-1) 10
Freedom (8-9-2, 2-3-1) 7
Liberty (4-6-2, 1-4-1) 4
Heritage (2-10-3, 0-4-2) 2

DFAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Acalanes (15-0-3, 7-0-2) 23
Campolindo (13-5-2, 5-2-1) 16
Dublin (7-7-3, 5-4-0) 15
Dougherty Valley (8-5-1, 4-3-1) 13
Miramonte (3-8-4, 2-5-2) 8
Alhambra (8-6-4, 1-5-2) 5
Las Lomas (1-10-4, 1-6-2) 5

DVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Ygnacio Valley (13-2-4, 8-0-1) 25
College Park (9-7-4, 6-1-2) 20
Concord (9-1-5, 4-0-4) 16
Northgate (10-4-4, 4-4-1) 13
Berean Chr. (4-8-2, 2-5-1) 7
Mt. Diablo (1-8-0, 1-7-0) 3
Clayton Valley (0-17-2, 0-8-1) 1

EBAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

San Ramon Valley (13-4-2, 7-2-1) 22
De La Salle (11-3-5, 6-1-3) 21
Monte Vista (12-3-4, 6-2-2) 20
California (14-4-2, 5-4-1) 16
Foothill (9-5-5, 3-4-3) 12
Amador Valley (11-6-3, 3-5-2) 11
Livermore (4-12-3, 2-7-1) 7
Granada (4-10-4, 1-8-1) 4

MVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Newark Memorial (11-3-6, 7-0-3) 24
Kennedy (9-5-1, 6-3-1) 19
Logan (8-7-5, 5-2-3) 18
Irvington (4-6-7, 3-4-3) 12
Moreau Catholic (3-7-4, 3-4-3) 12
Washington (4-5-8, 2-3-5) 11
Mission San Jose (4-9-6, 2-5-3) 9
American (3-10-3, 1-8-1) 4

OAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Oakland Tech (3-3-1, 3-0-0) 9
Skyline (1-0-0, 1-0-0) 3
Castlemont (0-1-0, 0-1-0) 0
Fremont (0-2-0, 0-2-0) 0
Oakland (0-1-0, 0-1-0) 0

TCAL Rock
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Richmond (12-3-5, 8-0-2) 26
St. Mary’s (11-2-3, 8-1-1) 25
Albany (5-10-4, 4-5-1) 13
El Cerrito (5-14-1, 4-5-1) 13
Salesian (3-5-3, 2-5-3) 9
St. Joseph Notre Dame (3-15-1, 0-10-0) 0

TCAL Stone
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Hercules (15-4-2, 9-0-1) 28
Pinole Valley (10-5-1, 7-2-1) 22
De Anza (7-4-2, 6-2-2) 20
Kennedy (4-8-0, 4-6-0) 12
Swett (2-9-0, 2-8-0) 6
St. Patrick-St. Vincent (0-11-0, 0-10-0) 0

WACC Foothill
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Berkeley (15-1-3, 11-0-1) 34
Mt. Eden (9-5-6, 5-1-6) 21
Bishop O’Dowd (7-6-2, 6-4-1) 19
Castro Valley (5-7-5, 5-4-3) 18
Alameda (6-10-4, 5-7-0) 15
Arroyo (5-9-4, 4-6-2) 14

WACC Shoreline
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Hayward (13-3-3, 8-2-2) 26
San Lorenzo (6-4-3, 5-4-3) 18
San Leandro (4-8-4, 4-4-4) 16
Piedmont (5-9-1, 4-7-1) 13
Tennyson (1-14-4, 1-8-3) 6
Encinal (0-11-0, 0-11-0) 0

Stat Leaders

Name School Goals
Montes, Richmond 32
Ayala, YV 23
Gala, Dougherty 20
Cendejas, Free 20
Romero, Hercules 19
Berumen, Pitt 16
R. Castillo, Hayward 15
Al. Marques, Hercules 14
Solomon, Berkeley 13
Fink, BOD 12
Sandoval, Pinole 12
Helfrich, Acalanes 11
Grixti, Cal 11
Reiter, CP 11
Williams, Mt. Eden 11

Name School Assists
Murgia, Pitt 18
Damian, YV 17
Alvarez, Richmond 16
Gomez, Hayward 13
Bramvila, Richmond 13
Clark, FH 11
Montes, Richmond 10
Espinosa, St. Mary 9
Aguilar, YV 9
Raynor, Cal 8
Torres, Moreau 8
Foster, Ngate 8
Bolender, Ngate 8
Barringer, Pied 8
Berumen, Pitt 8
Dull, St. Mary 8

Matt Smith