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Boys Soccer: Seeding Predictions, Rankings, Standings, Stats

By Matt Smith
Saturday, February 9th, 2013 at 10:04 am in Boys soccer.

There are two games tonight, but it probably won’t effect what I have come up with. If so, I’ll update it later. Without further adieu, here are my seeding predictions.

Remember, the committee has no idea who I am and I have no pull with them. These seedings are based on strength of schedule, quality wins and overall record, mixed in with my opinion on how the team is playing now, combined with how they’ve played over the course of the season. If I have a team on the outside, that doesn’t mean they won’t get in.

Division I

1. De La Salle
2. Monte Vista
3. Berkeley
4. San Ramon Valley
5. California
6. Richmond
7. Pittsburg
8. Foothill
9. Newark
10. College Park
11. Amador Valley
12. Freedom
13. Deer Valley
14. Logan
15. Antioch
16. Dougherty Valley

I feel like the top 15 schools are safely in, and my formula agrees. The fight for the 16th spot was close both with my formula, and with my common sense. I see almost no separation between Dougherty Valley, Mt. Eden or Irvington. I couldn’t decide which one I would choose if faced with having to pick one, so I picked the one the formula liked the most (It was very close). Don’t be surprised to see Mt. Eden or Irvington in. Very, very possible.

Division II

1. Acalanes
2. Ygnacio Valley
3. Campolindo
4. Hayward
5. St. Mary’s
6. Concord
7. Bishop O’Dowd
8. Northgate
9. Kennedy-Fremont
10. Hercules
11. San Lorenzo
12. Alhambra
13. Pinole Valley
14. Albany
15. Piedmont
16. Dublin

De Anza is the 17th qualified team, but strength of schedule and quality wins separate Albany, Piedmont and Dublin from them, I think. However, don’t be surprised if I am wrong. The team I don’t see being left out is Piedmont, because they 6-1-0 in their last seven games.

Rankings

The top five are unchanged, with some slight changes in the bottom part of the top ten. Hayward and Foothill make nice jumps while Pittsburg drops a few spots.
Newark Memorial jumps up two spots to No. 12 while Cal, YV and Campo each drop a couple spots.
On the consideration list, just outside the top 15, Northgate and Bishop O’Dowd see jumps, while Irvington makes the list for the first time this season.

1. Acalanes (20-0-3)
2. De La Salle (15-3-5)
3. Berkeley (19-2-3)
4. Monte Vista (16-3-4)
5. San Ramon Valley (15-6-3)
6. Hayward (17-4-3)
7. Richmond (15-4-5)
8. Foothill (11-6-6)
9. Pittsburg (12-3-6)
10. Concord (12-2-5)
11. California (16-6-2)
12. Newark Memorial (14-3-7)
13. St. Mary’s (14-2-3)
14. Ygnacio Valley (14-4-4)
15. Campolindo (15-7-2)

Others considered: College Park (11-8-4), Northgate (12-5-6), Bishop O’Dowd (11-7-2), Amador Valley (11-9-4), Kennedy-Fremont (10-7-2), Hercules (16-5-2), Freedom (12-9-2), Deer Valley (9-8-4), Antioch (9-5-6), Irvington (7-7-8)

Standings

BVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Pittsburg (12-3-6, 6-1-3) 21
Freedom (12-9-2, 6-3-1) 19
Antioch (9-5-6, 5-3-2) 17
Deer Valley (9-8-4, 5-3-2) 17
Liberty (5-8-3, 2-6-2) 8
Heritage (2-14-3, 0-8-2) 2

DFAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Acalanes (20-0-3, 10-0-2) 32
Campolindo (15-7-2, 7-4-1) 22
Dublin (8-8-4, 6-5-1) 19
Dougherty Valley (9-8-2, 5-6-1) 16
Miramonte (6-7-5, 4-5-3) 14
Alhambra (9-8-5, 2-7-3) 9
Las Lomas (1-12-6, 1-8-3) 5

DVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Ygnacio Valley (14-4-4, 9-2-1) 28
College Park (11-8-4, 8-2-2) 26
Concord (12-2-5, 7-1-4) 25
Northgate (12-5-6, 6-4-2) 20
Berean Chr. (6-10-3, 3-7-2) 11
Mt. Diablo (1-10-2, 1-9-2) 5
Clayton Valley (1-20-2, 1-10-1) 4

EBAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

De La Salle (15-3-5, 10-1-3) 33
Monte Vista (16-3-4, 10-2-2) 32
San Ramon Valley (15-6-3, 8-4-2) 26
California (16-6-2, 7-6-1) 22
Foothill (11-6-6, 5-5-4) 19
Amador Valley (11-9-4, 3-8-3) 12
Livermore (4-14-5, 2-9-3) 9
Granada (4-13-5, 1-11-2) 5

MVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Newark Memorial (14-3-7, 10-0-4) 34
Kennedy (10-7-2, 7-5-2) 23
Logan (9-8-7, 6-3-5) 23
Irvington (7-7-8, 6-4-4) 22
Moreau Catholic (4-9-5, 4-6-4) 16
Washington (5-7-9, 3-5-6) 15
Mission San Jose (6-10-8, 3-6-5) 14
American (3-13-4, 1-11-2) 5

OAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Oakland Tech (5-3-2, 5-0-1) 16
Skyline (2-0-1, 2-0-1) 7
Castlemont (0-3-0, 0-3-0) 0
Fremont (0-2-0, 0-2-0) 0
Oakland (0-2-0, 0-2-0) 0

TCAL Rock
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Richmond (15-4-5, 8-0-2) 26
St. Mary’s (14-2-3, 8-1-1) 25
Albany (8-11-4, 4-5-1) 13
El Cerrito (6-14-1, 4-5-1) 13
Salesian (4-5-4, 2-5-3) 9
St. Joseph Notre Dame (3-16-1, 0-10-0) 0

TCAL Stone
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Hercules (16-5-2, 9-0-1) 28
Pinole Valley (10-6-1, 7-2-1) 22
De Anza (8-6-2, 6-2-2) 20
Kennedy (4-9-0, 4-6-0) 12
Swett (2-10-0, 2-8-0) 6
St. Patrick-St. Vincent (0-12-0, 0-10-0) 0

WACC Foothill
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Berkeley (19-2-3, 15-0-1) 46
Bishop O’Dowd (11-7-2, 10-5-1) 31
Alameda (8-11-5, 7-8-1) 22
Mt. Eden (7-11-6, 5-5-6) 21
Castro Valley (5-11-6, 5-8-3) 18
Arroyo (5-12-5, 4-9-3) 15

WACC Shoreline
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Hayward (17-4-3, 12-2-2) 38
San Lorenzo (10-5-2, 9-5-2) 29
Piedmont (8-9-1, 7-8-1) 22
San Leandro (5-11-4, 5-7-4) 19
Tennyson (3-17-3, 3-11-2) 11
Encinal (1-15-0, 1-15-0) 3

Stat Leaders

Name School Goals
Montes, Richmond 35
Ayala, YV 24
Cendejas, Free 23
Gala, Dougherty 22
R. Castillo, Hayward 20
Romero, Hercules 19
Berumen, Pitt 17
Al. Marques, Hercules 16
Solomon, Berkeley 15
Fink, BOD 15
Reiter, CP 14
Gray, Hayward 14
Greenberg, MV 14
Orozco, SL 13
Grixti, Cal 12
Clark, FH 12
Sandoval, Newark 12
Sandoval, Pinole 12

Name School Assists
Murgia, Pitt 20
Damian, YV 18
Alvarez, Richmond 16
Gomez, Hayward 14
Clark, FH 13
Bramvila, Richmond 13
Montes, Richmond 13
Croze, Acalanes 12
Cendejas, Free 12
Baringer, Pied 12
Espinoza, SM 11
Mendoza, Hayward 10
Ortega, Hayward 10
Torres, Moreau 10
Lindgren, Acalanes 9
Hamdouni, Berkeley 9
Gratsch, MV 9
Xu, Pied 9
Aguilar, YV 9

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  • The Sweeper

    SRV up 3-1 with 2 to play.

  • Scoreboard

    2-0 Freedom! Cinderella? It’s a final.
    100

  • Maverick

    St Mary’s does it again 1-0

  • Matt Smith

    St. Mary’s wins 1-0

  • Ozzy

    Scores for concord
    And for Acalanes

  • The Sweeper

    SRV wins 3-1

  • Bean town

    Re NG YV game – YV coach threatened!!! a player (we are coming for you to take you out) and evicted with red card.
    YV player flips off the NG students.

    Game won, honor lost.

  • HalaMadrid

    Sorry acalanes throw ins dont win u games nor set plays, specially when u cant finish… Sad tho… Only loss of the season eliminates them from ncs

  • Matt Smith

    Concord wins 1-0

  • HalaMadrid

    Messi 100 goals per season no world cup
    Montes 35 goals a season no ncs ring

    For all those who mouthed acalanes richmond hayward and bishop o’dowd wish u could take ur worths back huh?? This is soccer its beautifull

    Heart only does so much
    To an evening full of upsets ^_^

  • JogaBonita

    And the possiblity of a d2 Dval Ncs final increases.

  • HalaMadrid

    @bean town honor??? Yeah well u see when a player is tackled and injured when he doesnt have the ball… And then the same player sees him and tramples on him well things get out of hand…. If a player plays like that… Thats a brute… And the ref does nothing… Then a coaching staff from the opposing team goes and trys to fist fight the coach and the bench…. Yeah honor huh?

  • Mark Long

    Wow, EBAL once again…could have been an all EBAL semi if not for the MV vs. Cal game. Only 1 loss to a non ebal team in playoffs.

  • Mark Long

    any others think ebal league isn’t the hardest to play in?

  • The Sweeper

    All in all a great day. I figured out the secret to making the phone last 3 matches and an OT, flight mode when not posting.

    For now The Sweeper is out of juice, but enjoying a beverage or three. Will post more comments when I report back to the warden…

  • maverick

    Will be interested to hear others analysis of St Mary’s vs Acalanes. St Mary’s scored with less than a minute left before halftime on a corner kick. They defended their lead well in the second half weathering Acalanes’ pressure. Both teams had trouble possessing the ball but it seemed like St Mary’s had a greater sense of urgency throughout the game. Quite frankly it was a workmanlike professional effort on St Mary’s part winning an away game against a formidable foe. They adopted Acalanes’ fool proof winning formula of scoring first and defending like heck after that.

    St Mary’s may not have enough to go all the way but they are built for NCS. Very strong defense , excellent goalkeeping, just enough technical skill, a bonafide goal scoring threat, and confidence bursting at the seams. Good luck Panthers!

  • Dfal1

    Northgate fans and players have no class. YV kept dominating the game and had a 3-0 lead when #10 from Northgate decided to hurt one of the YV players. resulting in this player getting hurt and being out for the rest of the playoffs. #10 was just there to hurt the YV players. I seen him play in previous games and he did really well. I lost my respect for this kid after he kept trying to hurt the YV players. Northgate coaches have no control over this team.

    The 2nd goal was a throw in and no contact was made and goal was allowed. 3rd goal YV keeper had ball in hand and it was kicked away from him again with no call. The ref was terrible and shouldn’t be allowed to ref anymore games. Some refs were there watching the game and they were all going crazy on how bad this center ref was.He should be suspended for all his mistakes just like the YV coach and player will have to sit out the semis.

  • Observer42

    @Dfal1

    You want to talk about class? Obviously you were on the YV side of the game. You obviously didn’t hear about the YV players sticking their fingers up the NG players butts during the game. Obviously you didn’t see #10 get hit late multiple times after the ref had blown the whistle. Obviously you didn’t hear the YV coach threaten #10, saying that if he came back onto the field he was going to send his players out to hurt him. That’s class isn’t it? If that doesn’t do it for you Ii have got more. You didn’t see The YV player who flipped off the entire NG crowd and began yelling profanity at them. For my perspective #10 for NG was playing his hardest he possibly could, and although he had some hard fouls, his intentions were not so.

  • The Sweeper

    After seeing and hearing reports about on-field and off-field antics today in boys and girls matches, my #1 conclusion is that coaches need to do a better job controlling and guiding their players (PERIOD), or pull them for dangerous play. Otherwise, you risk the dreaded “quick red.”

    The head official at YV used every discretion to not hand out red cards in the first half to both sides (I gave him a “B” grade except for the last goal in regulation). In the end the discretion may have been his mistake, but the PLAYERS raised the bar in the second half by abusing the privilege on dangerous play and taunting. The result, 3 deserved red cards, and 8+ yellows. I thought we were playing “52 card pickup.”

    The coaches have the ultimate responsibility and influence to control their players, unless they want to see the dreaded “quick red” that should not have to happen.

    I predict at least one “quick red” in a boys’ semi-match AND a girls’ semi-match. Otherwise the finals could be a fiasco.

    Respect the game or don’t play, and the fans need to be kept in check.

    No rant, just fact.

  • SAUCY

    The concord field is not a field where an ncs game should be played. The field is horrible. Might as we’ll play in cement. The field is so hard. It reminds me of how the old Richmond high soccer field use to be. There should be rules about the fields.

  • Dubs up

    like i said St marys is VERY underrated!! and Acalanes hasnt scored a single goal against them in 160 minutes of play…very impressive from the St. marys side. they played great D to hold the lead after halftime. a lot of back and forth play but Acalanes had no answer for the boys in red. great game and the #1 team goes down again to the same opponent.

    as for the the YV vs Northgate game, Northgate’s #10 was out to hit all the YV players and got away wit too many fouls and had very poor sportsmanship. YV dominated the game and Northgate couldnt match the skill and speed from the YV side. Northgate fans did get the finger and YV side was taunted multiple times so that evens out for me. the center ref however was horrible and Northgate was LUCKY to even get the goals they did for their so called “comeback”. a throw in untouched which was called a goal and also player kicking the ball out of the goalies hand to score. in my opinion the better and more deserving team won today but a very exciting game in all! well done to both sides!

  • NCS DII

    The Concord goalkeeper Jimenez was flat out classless tonight. He was doing everything offensive he could to make the other team mad. He was shouting at the other bench and taunting them throughout the game. I boiled over at one point when Hercules’ player was fetching the ball for Concord’s goalkeeper so that he would take the goalkick and stop wasting time. When the player handed the ball to Jimenez though he picked it up and threw it as far away as he could (that of course earned him a yellow and off the field).

    Congrats to the rest of the team though, the players performed well. Their field might have assisted them but they looked on the ball today.

  • NCS DII

    Also can we stop the NG vs YV posts? It’s very clear that just one person from YV is posting the same thing over and over about the game. You won your game, go home and study and stop clogging up the blog.

  • The Sweeper

    Matt,

    Is 621 a record? BTW, I posted several “questionable” posts to Matt Schwabs blog tonight, but those do not count.

    What is the posting record? Let’s hit it this week!

  • CR7

    First of all the goals were well deserved the second goal wasn’t from a throw in, someone threw the ball in the guy right next to him, he vollied the ball and it went right everybody, I know this because i volley the ball into the goal. And the 3rd goal was shot at the keeper, the keeper tried catching it but fumbled it in front of the goals, which i tapped in. They were 3 legitimate goals in 7 minutes. Sad that the YV fans have to make excuses for that enbarressment of giving up a 3 goal lead in 7 minutes. Taunting was nothing compared to what the YV player and coach did that got the m carded. The player was being yelled at by crowd and he did taunt a little, but was nearly As bad as being flipped off. Don’t talk about a game you weren’t even in or watched.

  • The Sweeper

    CR7,

    You are spot on regarding the first 2 DG goals. Whether the keeper fumbled the ball on the 3rd ball is the question. I saw both hands on the ball while the kick was made at 00.00.

    However, the end result was not an injustice….

  • Shinguard

    Great game at Owen Owen’s Field last night. Good example of Sportsmanship and effort by both Squads. Newark and De La Salle were both focused and ready to play. Ref crew was good and was on top of any chippy from the get go and the flow of the game was not impeded. Newark if they found a path to the goal whither it was from 30 or 10 out they would attempt to get a shot off and that paid off with 2 great goals, those shots had to be placed in a sweet spot to get past De La Salles GK Konstantino. The Spartans were relentless on the attack, relentless to gain mid-field advantage and combined with a great team effort Sparty came out on top with 3. Team capt Nic Bob clearly was on his game as a leader and player.
    Just a super evening of HS soccer.

  • Stewie

    Concord field …been said and re-said and repeated That field should not be used for NCS play it it not maintained and is horrible. Not sure if the NCS gets it??
    Oompa Loompa, do-ba-dee-doo,
    I’ve got a perfect puzzle for you.
    Oompa Loompa, do-ba-dee-dee,
    If you are wise you’ll listen to me. and maybe we will find a field for thee
    :)

  • Mudhen

    Well, I was at the YV // Northgate match, and as far as I am concerned the fault for bad Spectator behavior lies on the shoulders of the administrators from both schools. The fans should have been warned that taunting and other unsporting behaviors would result in their ejection from the stadium.
    Apparently, the big loud guy who came over to the YV side was a principal from Northgate, who not only inflamed the situation further, but had NO STANDING to approach the referees.
    Here’s the way it works folks; if one of the referees did NOT hear what was supposedly said, then it nothing more than HEARSAY and no sanction can be given .If the center ref was acting on what the big loud man was saying , without corroboration from one of his crew, then he made a serious error in dismissing the YV coach.

  • ReCap

    Great game last night at De La Salle. Well played by both teams.

    Regarding YV Campo game…Campo needs to simply out play, stay on game Wed. It will be a hostile environment but Cool heads will prevail and just prove it on the field.

  • http://cctimes.com SRVdad

    @CR7, Great game! Probably greatest comeback in NG’s playoff history! Your mom and dad are proud of you. See you at Tice.

  • Mudhen

    And oh yeah, what did I say about Acalanes sleeping on the job against St. Mary’s ?

  • ReCap

    YV coach is a loose cannon…hope the red card is up-held for the next game. He should not be near the field or even in the parking lot.

  • HalaMadrid

    @ncs dII ….its a blog…. Thats what it is for…. No one is forcing u to be here or even read em if ur butthurt over ur team losing im sorry bro…. This is the bittersweetness of a blog.

  • Stewie

    Acalanes not so much as sleeping but St. Marys did some homework and the plan worked. Now if the NCS will step-up and move the Concord ST. Mary’s game to a decent field.

  • HalaMadrid

    How was the concord game?? Back and fourth or concord scored and parked the buss?… Thats lame lol i think parking the buss is a smart tactic but has no class.

    Wether the field is cement or not it shouldnt matter a good team goes and gets wins on where ever they play shouldnt be restricted by holes on the ground hahaha and besides u play a whole season for higher seeding wether the ncs higher ups messed up or not i think concord deserved the seeding and all the home games they gotten so far.

  • HalaMadrid

    @recap just when u see the game and you notice that yv is taking more shots and they are dominating the wings and all the midfield… Just notice which teams starts playing dirty and who the ref starts favoring then the enviroment will be hostile… I guess your not used to fans getting involved with their screaming, and hostile…. Bro its a soccer game at a highschool no one is getting shot or stabbed like at a niners and raiders game…. Hahahahahaha

  • Dfal1

    The only suspension that will and should happen is to the Northgate principal. He was acting like a maniac. A threat is one thing but to actually have your players hurting the opponent on purpose because they were far superior to you is a different thing. I was on The Northgate side and hurt everything that was going on.(Cursing at players all game)

    Moving on to Acalanes vs St. Mary’s game.

    I feel bad for Acalanes as they played good all year long and are now out. St. Mary’s sat back in the 2nd half and held the 1-0 lead. They have a great defense and kept the Dons from creating any good chances all 2nd half. Good luck to the rest of the teams remaining.

    Maybe next year Acalanes :(

  • http://cctimes.com SRVdad

    Sweeper, You need to keep far away from the girls side of the blogs. Those mom’s are relentless. :)

  • Bigfan

    Great game @ MV yesterday. Cal dominated the whole game. There midfield play was amazing. I guess I was wrong to count them out so early. They look like the real deal

  • http://cctimes.com SRVdad

    Cal is the team they were at the beginning of the season. Did MV have their impact middies? My upset team, Freedom, is still in it and will give DLS a run. Cal and SRV game will be epic. No predictions…

  • NCSfan

    Cal came out and scored two early goals and were able to manage the game brilliantly. They gave MV very few scoring chances. Their center midfield dominated Monte Vista’s. Expecting an awesome semifinal between Cal and SRV on Wednesday.

  • old soccer head

    Where is our friend Matt Smith? I miss him. Hopefully, he has recovered from yesterdays 2-2 Everton loss!

  • Matt Smith

    @Sweeper The record is 1,035 from last year, so we won’t get that this week. But this is pretty good!

    @Everyone I understand that the game of soccer is an emotional one, and it sounds like that YV/Northgate game had all the drama of a heated playoff game. Let’s remember to try and keep it as friendly as possible and not call out individual players when analyzing games. I have to allow you your rights to say what you want, but as a favor, I would ask that we try to be mindful of what the blog is for and that’s to promote the beautiful game.
    Analysis, critique, opinion, etc… is all great. But let’s promote the individual young men when we talk about them in specific, and not make them worried about what they might read about themselves on the blog.

  • http://cctimes.com SRVdad

    @halaMadrid, I still want the origin of shirotenzen. :)

  • old soccer head

    Hard to predict anything really accurately as its a long soccer season. In fact, it”s prolly really two seasons, first one is to make the playoffs; second is the playoffs (just look at NFL Ravens – they were a 4 seed out of 6). Maybe that’s how some at Cal High have approached it i.e. make the playoffs,get healthy, and then start playing for real? We’ll see how it goes at SRV; should be a great match. Anyway, a question: are all league, POY and all star selections based on regular season play or do they include playoff performances?

  • Matt Smith

    @Old Soccer Head My selections for POY and All-Star selections consider everything. All-league is selected before the playoffs start.

  • Maverick

    With all the drama at certain boys and girls games I imagine the Richmond boys saluted the SRV fans after a tough loss. Pure class which I know is being copied by other programs.

  • hootie

    @Maverick ….. well said

    the SRV – Richmond game was very intense, but for the most part it was a clean game and fans did appreciate the effort of both teams. It was nice to watch some soccer and not a ‘kickball’ match.

  • NCS DII

    @Hala I was talking about Concord

    The match was high-paced especially in the second half, the keeper for Hercules made some good saves to keep them in the game. At one point some commotion allowed the ball to get in and Concord was ahead. After that they seemed to park the bus but still maintained some good ability up top, they came close to getting more goals. My only quarrel is like I said earlier with Concord’s goalkeeper.