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Boys Soccer: Seeding Predictions, Rankings, Standings, Stats

By Matt Smith
Saturday, February 9th, 2013 at 10:04 am in Boys soccer.

There are two games tonight, but it probably won’t effect what I have come up with. If so, I’ll update it later. Without further adieu, here are my seeding predictions.

Remember, the committee has no idea who I am and I have no pull with them. These seedings are based on strength of schedule, quality wins and overall record, mixed in with my opinion on how the team is playing now, combined with how they’ve played over the course of the season. If I have a team on the outside, that doesn’t mean they won’t get in.

Division I

1. De La Salle
2. Monte Vista
3. Berkeley
4. San Ramon Valley
5. California
6. Richmond
7. Pittsburg
8. Foothill
9. Newark
10. College Park
11. Amador Valley
12. Freedom
13. Deer Valley
14. Logan
15. Antioch
16. Dougherty Valley

I feel like the top 15 schools are safely in, and my formula agrees. The fight for the 16th spot was close both with my formula, and with my common sense. I see almost no separation between Dougherty Valley, Mt. Eden or Irvington. I couldn’t decide which one I would choose if faced with having to pick one, so I picked the one the formula liked the most (It was very close). Don’t be surprised to see Mt. Eden or Irvington in. Very, very possible.

Division II

1. Acalanes
2. Ygnacio Valley
3. Campolindo
4. Hayward
5. St. Mary’s
6. Concord
7. Bishop O’Dowd
8. Northgate
9. Kennedy-Fremont
10. Hercules
11. San Lorenzo
12. Alhambra
13. Pinole Valley
14. Albany
15. Piedmont
16. Dublin

De Anza is the 17th qualified team, but strength of schedule and quality wins separate Albany, Piedmont and Dublin from them, I think. However, don’t be surprised if I am wrong. The team I don’t see being left out is Piedmont, because they 6-1-0 in their last seven games.

Rankings

The top five are unchanged, with some slight changes in the bottom part of the top ten. Hayward and Foothill make nice jumps while Pittsburg drops a few spots.
Newark Memorial jumps up two spots to No. 12 while Cal, YV and Campo each drop a couple spots.
On the consideration list, just outside the top 15, Northgate and Bishop O’Dowd see jumps, while Irvington makes the list for the first time this season.

1. Acalanes (20-0-3)
2. De La Salle (15-3-5)
3. Berkeley (19-2-3)
4. Monte Vista (16-3-4)
5. San Ramon Valley (15-6-3)
6. Hayward (17-4-3)
7. Richmond (15-4-5)
8. Foothill (11-6-6)
9. Pittsburg (12-3-6)
10. Concord (12-2-5)
11. California (16-6-2)
12. Newark Memorial (14-3-7)
13. St. Mary’s (14-2-3)
14. Ygnacio Valley (14-4-4)
15. Campolindo (15-7-2)

Others considered: College Park (11-8-4), Northgate (12-5-6), Bishop O’Dowd (11-7-2), Amador Valley (11-9-4), Kennedy-Fremont (10-7-2), Hercules (16-5-2), Freedom (12-9-2), Deer Valley (9-8-4), Antioch (9-5-6), Irvington (7-7-8)

Standings

BVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Pittsburg (12-3-6, 6-1-3) 21
Freedom (12-9-2, 6-3-1) 19
Antioch (9-5-6, 5-3-2) 17
Deer Valley (9-8-4, 5-3-2) 17
Liberty (5-8-3, 2-6-2) 8
Heritage (2-14-3, 0-8-2) 2

DFAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Acalanes (20-0-3, 10-0-2) 32
Campolindo (15-7-2, 7-4-1) 22
Dublin (8-8-4, 6-5-1) 19
Dougherty Valley (9-8-2, 5-6-1) 16
Miramonte (6-7-5, 4-5-3) 14
Alhambra (9-8-5, 2-7-3) 9
Las Lomas (1-12-6, 1-8-3) 5

DVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Ygnacio Valley (14-4-4, 9-2-1) 28
College Park (11-8-4, 8-2-2) 26
Concord (12-2-5, 7-1-4) 25
Northgate (12-5-6, 6-4-2) 20
Berean Chr. (6-10-3, 3-7-2) 11
Mt. Diablo (1-10-2, 1-9-2) 5
Clayton Valley (1-20-2, 1-10-1) 4

EBAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

De La Salle (15-3-5, 10-1-3) 33
Monte Vista (16-3-4, 10-2-2) 32
San Ramon Valley (15-6-3, 8-4-2) 26
California (16-6-2, 7-6-1) 22
Foothill (11-6-6, 5-5-4) 19
Amador Valley (11-9-4, 3-8-3) 12
Livermore (4-14-5, 2-9-3) 9
Granada (4-13-5, 1-11-2) 5

MVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Newark Memorial (14-3-7, 10-0-4) 34
Kennedy (10-7-2, 7-5-2) 23
Logan (9-8-7, 6-3-5) 23
Irvington (7-7-8, 6-4-4) 22
Moreau Catholic (4-9-5, 4-6-4) 16
Washington (5-7-9, 3-5-6) 15
Mission San Jose (6-10-8, 3-6-5) 14
American (3-13-4, 1-11-2) 5

OAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Oakland Tech (5-3-2, 5-0-1) 16
Skyline (2-0-1, 2-0-1) 7
Castlemont (0-3-0, 0-3-0) 0
Fremont (0-2-0, 0-2-0) 0
Oakland (0-2-0, 0-2-0) 0

TCAL Rock
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Richmond (15-4-5, 8-0-2) 26
St. Mary’s (14-2-3, 8-1-1) 25
Albany (8-11-4, 4-5-1) 13
El Cerrito (6-14-1, 4-5-1) 13
Salesian (4-5-4, 2-5-3) 9
St. Joseph Notre Dame (3-16-1, 0-10-0) 0

TCAL Stone
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Hercules (16-5-2, 9-0-1) 28
Pinole Valley (10-6-1, 7-2-1) 22
De Anza (8-6-2, 6-2-2) 20
Kennedy (4-9-0, 4-6-0) 12
Swett (2-10-0, 2-8-0) 6
St. Patrick-St. Vincent (0-12-0, 0-10-0) 0

WACC Foothill
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Berkeley (19-2-3, 15-0-1) 46
Bishop O’Dowd (11-7-2, 10-5-1) 31
Alameda (8-11-5, 7-8-1) 22
Mt. Eden (7-11-6, 5-5-6) 21
Castro Valley (5-11-6, 5-8-3) 18
Arroyo (5-12-5, 4-9-3) 15

WACC Shoreline
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Hayward (17-4-3, 12-2-2) 38
San Lorenzo (10-5-2, 9-5-2) 29
Piedmont (8-9-1, 7-8-1) 22
San Leandro (5-11-4, 5-7-4) 19
Tennyson (3-17-3, 3-11-2) 11
Encinal (1-15-0, 1-15-0) 3

Stat Leaders

Name School Goals
Montes, Richmond 35
Ayala, YV 24
Cendejas, Free 23
Gala, Dougherty 22
R. Castillo, Hayward 20
Romero, Hercules 19
Berumen, Pitt 17
Al. Marques, Hercules 16
Solomon, Berkeley 15
Fink, BOD 15
Reiter, CP 14
Gray, Hayward 14
Greenberg, MV 14
Orozco, SL 13
Grixti, Cal 12
Clark, FH 12
Sandoval, Newark 12
Sandoval, Pinole 12

Name School Assists
Murgia, Pitt 20
Damian, YV 18
Alvarez, Richmond 16
Gomez, Hayward 14
Clark, FH 13
Bramvila, Richmond 13
Montes, Richmond 13
Croze, Acalanes 12
Cendejas, Free 12
Baringer, Pied 12
Espinoza, SM 11
Mendoza, Hayward 10
Ortega, Hayward 10
Torres, Moreau 10
Lindgren, Acalanes 9
Hamdouni, Berkeley 9
Gratsch, MV 9
Xu, Pied 9
Aguilar, YV 9

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  • The Sweeper

    Cal up 3-0 with 32 left.

  • http://cctimes.com SRVdad

    This was my only other upset(not really an upset) prediction. First was Freedom over Berkeley. Yea, tooting my horn.

  • http://cctimes.com SRVdad

    Wait, is the fat lady singing yet? NG came back…

  • HS Soccer Fan

    anything from Hercules-Campo?

  • HS Soccer Fan

    meant Hayward- Campo

  • The Sweeper

    MV scores to make it 3-1 Cal with 18 left.

  • Matt Smith

    0-0 20 minutes in. Campo having the run of play at the moment.

  • ThereCanOnlyBeOne

    NG vs YV is my game of the season. Never seen a team fight that hard in the last few minutes. Nobody excepted them to come back from 3-0 in those last few minutes, stunning energy when they did.

    @Stewie “Big Max” looked injured at start?, a YV forward came in and kicked him. He was groping his hand all game, it didn’t seem to affect his play though. Right before PKs though he collided with another player and was limping. Don’t know if that one changed how he did, but definitely didn’t help.

    NG played their hearts out, the most amazing comeback I’ve ever seen and a great game all around. Bravo.

  • Matt Smith

    0-0 about 10 before half.

  • The Sweeper

    Cal wins 3-1.

  • Matt Smith

    Play has evened out here. Back and forth. Physical.

  • Matt Smith

    Campo 1-0. Kilwien with a very nice strike to the bottom left corner.

  • Matt Smith

    Campo makes it 2-0. Hayward couldn’t clear after a long throw, ball bounces around and gets punched in.

  • Matt Smith

    Rigo PK. 2-1.

  • Matt Smith

    2-1 half.

  • SoccerFan32

    Emotions ran high at the YV-NG game today. Very well fought by both sides. Although YV won in PK’s, You have to give the Northgate boys credit from coming back from a 3-0 deficit in stoppage time. Great game.

  • CR7

    For Northgate the first goal was score by George Burrows #7\ assist by Bolender #3
    Other 2 were scored by Bolender #3 in last 2 minutes of the game to tie the game! Was an intense game!

  • http://cctimes.com SRVdad

    Matt, where you going next?

  • Matt Smith

    Still 2-1 10 minutes into second half.

  • Matt Smith

    @SRVdad Just one game for me today. Would love to be in Richmond!

  • Jose

    Any updates on DLS against Newark?

  • Matt Smith

    DLS up 1-0.

  • Matt Smith

    DLS up 2-0.

  • http://cctimes.com SRVdad

    Matt, thanks for your updates! On my way to Richmond…

  • Matt Smith

    Hayward nearly equalizes. Campo responds with goal number three.
    3-1 with 22 left.

  • Jose

    Thanks matt! Keep us posted please! Thanks.

  • Matt Smith

    Newark scores. 2-1.

  • Matt Smith

    3-1 DLS.

  • DLSwireless

    DLS 3 NM 1

    Half

  • Jose

    Do you know who scored for Newark?

  • Matt Smith

    Campo wins 4-1.

  • Matt Smith

    @Jose Not sure, but heard it was a great goal.

  • Jose

    @matt well if you find out i would love to know! Thanks.

  • The Sweeper

    Crowd at Richmond is less than last year or the match against Berkeley, but they are still rolling in. We are underway…

  • HalaMadrid

    Yv northgate good game bad refs…. Yv bombarded could of had more goals need to finish,
    Yv didnt get cocky the ref was making bad calls, a throw in goes in without any one touching it and its a goal, then yv keeper had the ball in his hands, then a ng player punches it out of his hands and scores, wheres the hand ball call ref! But “ot” was calm calls were better yv hit the cross bar 3 times ng had a shot forcing the keeper for the save, pks were nice yv made and stopped the first then everyone scored the rest.

  • The Sweeper

    SRV up 1-0.

  • The Sweeper

    #9 equalizes for the Oilers.

  • eL Pata

    But sweeper, he only scores against weaker opponents and isn’t d1 ready …..

    /sarcasm

  • The Sweeper

    Montes rolled his right ankle on a 50:50 ball at midfield and left with 14 left.

  • The Sweeper

    el Pata,

    You did not hear that from me. That was some MV guy.

  • DLSwireless

    DLS 3 NM 2

    Final

  • The Sweeper

    SRV scores on a misplayed corner to take back the lead 2-1 in the closing minutes of the half. Montes did not return but seemed amused by comments from the stands. Hopefully, he returns in the 2nd half.

  • eL Pata

    I know ya didn’t. Sorry it came across that way. :D

  • The Sweeper

    Montes is not on the field to start the 2nd half.

  • The Sweeper

    Still 2-1 with 18 left and no Montes.

  • eL Pata

    Pitt/Freedom news?

  • ilovesoccer

    How about scores from Acalanes or Concord? Thanks!

    FWIW, the game at YV today was among the most exciting I’ve ever seen. Very chippy at times, but amazing soccer skills by YV and heart by NG.

  • The Sweeper

    Still 2-1 with 10 left

  • Scoreboard

    According to Freedoms athletics twitter-2-0 Freedom lead with 10 to go. Should be over by now but they have yet to update.
    100

  • John

    Any update on SRV v Richmond?