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Boys Soccer: Seeding Predictions, Rankings, Standings, Stats

There are two games tonight, but it probably won’t effect what I have come up with. If so, I’ll update it later. Without further adieu, here are my seeding predictions.

Remember, the committee has no idea who I am and I have no pull with them. These seedings are based on strength of schedule, quality wins and overall record, mixed in with my opinion on how the team is playing now, combined with how they’ve played over the course of the season. If I have a team on the outside, that doesn’t mean they won’t get in.

Division I

1. De La Salle
2. Monte Vista
3. Berkeley
4. San Ramon Valley
5. California
6. Richmond
7. Pittsburg
8. Foothill
9. Newark
10. College Park
11. Amador Valley
12. Freedom
13. Deer Valley
14. Logan
15. Antioch
16. Dougherty Valley

I feel like the top 15 schools are safely in, and my formula agrees. The fight for the 16th spot was close both with my formula, and with my common sense. I see almost no separation between Dougherty Valley, Mt. Eden or Irvington. I couldn’t decide which one I would choose if faced with having to pick one, so I picked the one the formula liked the most (It was very close). Don’t be surprised to see Mt. Eden or Irvington in. Very, very possible.

Division II

1. Acalanes
2. Ygnacio Valley
3. Campolindo
4. Hayward
5. St. Mary’s
6. Concord
7. Bishop O’Dowd
8. Northgate
9. Kennedy-Fremont
10. Hercules
11. San Lorenzo
12. Alhambra
13. Pinole Valley
14. Albany
15. Piedmont
16. Dublin

De Anza is the 17th qualified team, but strength of schedule and quality wins separate Albany, Piedmont and Dublin from them, I think. However, don’t be surprised if I am wrong. The team I don’t see being left out is Piedmont, because they 6-1-0 in their last seven games.

Rankings

The top five are unchanged, with some slight changes in the bottom part of the top ten. Hayward and Foothill make nice jumps while Pittsburg drops a few spots.
Newark Memorial jumps up two spots to No. 12 while Cal, YV and Campo each drop a couple spots.
On the consideration list, just outside the top 15, Northgate and Bishop O’Dowd see jumps, while Irvington makes the list for the first time this season.

1. Acalanes (20-0-3)
2. De La Salle (15-3-5)
3. Berkeley (19-2-3)
4. Monte Vista (16-3-4)
5. San Ramon Valley (15-6-3)
6. Hayward (17-4-3)
7. Richmond (15-4-5)
8. Foothill (11-6-6)
9. Pittsburg (12-3-6)
10. Concord (12-2-5)
11. California (16-6-2)
12. Newark Memorial (14-3-7)
13. St. Mary’s (14-2-3)
14. Ygnacio Valley (14-4-4)
15. Campolindo (15-7-2)

Others considered: College Park (11-8-4), Northgate (12-5-6), Bishop O’Dowd (11-7-2), Amador Valley (11-9-4), Kennedy-Fremont (10-7-2), Hercules (16-5-2), Freedom (12-9-2), Deer Valley (9-8-4), Antioch (9-5-6), Irvington (7-7-8)

Standings

BVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Pittsburg (12-3-6, 6-1-3) 21
Freedom (12-9-2, 6-3-1) 19
Antioch (9-5-6, 5-3-2) 17
Deer Valley (9-8-4, 5-3-2) 17
Liberty (5-8-3, 2-6-2) 8
Heritage (2-14-3, 0-8-2) 2

DFAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Acalanes (20-0-3, 10-0-2) 32
Campolindo (15-7-2, 7-4-1) 22
Dublin (8-8-4, 6-5-1) 19
Dougherty Valley (9-8-2, 5-6-1) 16
Miramonte (6-7-5, 4-5-3) 14
Alhambra (9-8-5, 2-7-3) 9
Las Lomas (1-12-6, 1-8-3) 5

DVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Ygnacio Valley (14-4-4, 9-2-1) 28
College Park (11-8-4, 8-2-2) 26
Concord (12-2-5, 7-1-4) 25
Northgate (12-5-6, 6-4-2) 20
Berean Chr. (6-10-3, 3-7-2) 11
Mt. Diablo (1-10-2, 1-9-2) 5
Clayton Valley (1-20-2, 1-10-1) 4

EBAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

De La Salle (15-3-5, 10-1-3) 33
Monte Vista (16-3-4, 10-2-2) 32
San Ramon Valley (15-6-3, 8-4-2) 26
California (16-6-2, 7-6-1) 22
Foothill (11-6-6, 5-5-4) 19
Amador Valley (11-9-4, 3-8-3) 12
Livermore (4-14-5, 2-9-3) 9
Granada (4-13-5, 1-11-2) 5

MVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Newark Memorial (14-3-7, 10-0-4) 34
Kennedy (10-7-2, 7-5-2) 23
Logan (9-8-7, 6-3-5) 23
Irvington (7-7-8, 6-4-4) 22
Moreau Catholic (4-9-5, 4-6-4) 16
Washington (5-7-9, 3-5-6) 15
Mission San Jose (6-10-8, 3-6-5) 14
American (3-13-4, 1-11-2) 5

OAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Oakland Tech (5-3-2, 5-0-1) 16
Skyline (2-0-1, 2-0-1) 7
Castlemont (0-3-0, 0-3-0) 0
Fremont (0-2-0, 0-2-0) 0
Oakland (0-2-0, 0-2-0) 0

TCAL Rock
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Richmond (15-4-5, 8-0-2) 26
St. Mary’s (14-2-3, 8-1-1) 25
Albany (8-11-4, 4-5-1) 13
El Cerrito (6-14-1, 4-5-1) 13
Salesian (4-5-4, 2-5-3) 9
St. Joseph Notre Dame (3-16-1, 0-10-0) 0

TCAL Stone
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Hercules (16-5-2, 9-0-1) 28
Pinole Valley (10-6-1, 7-2-1) 22
De Anza (8-6-2, 6-2-2) 20
Kennedy (4-9-0, 4-6-0) 12
Swett (2-10-0, 2-8-0) 6
St. Patrick-St. Vincent (0-12-0, 0-10-0) 0

WACC Foothill
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Berkeley (19-2-3, 15-0-1) 46
Bishop O’Dowd (11-7-2, 10-5-1) 31
Alameda (8-11-5, 7-8-1) 22
Mt. Eden (7-11-6, 5-5-6) 21
Castro Valley (5-11-6, 5-8-3) 18
Arroyo (5-12-5, 4-9-3) 15

WACC Shoreline
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Hayward (17-4-3, 12-2-2) 38
San Lorenzo (10-5-2, 9-5-2) 29
Piedmont (8-9-1, 7-8-1) 22
San Leandro (5-11-4, 5-7-4) 19
Tennyson (3-17-3, 3-11-2) 11
Encinal (1-15-0, 1-15-0) 3

Stat Leaders

Name School Goals
Montes, Richmond 35
Ayala, YV 24
Cendejas, Free 23
Gala, Dougherty 22
R. Castillo, Hayward 20
Romero, Hercules 19
Berumen, Pitt 17
Al. Marques, Hercules 16
Solomon, Berkeley 15
Fink, BOD 15
Reiter, CP 14
Gray, Hayward 14
Greenberg, MV 14
Orozco, SL 13
Grixti, Cal 12
Clark, FH 12
Sandoval, Newark 12
Sandoval, Pinole 12

Name School Assists
Murgia, Pitt 20
Damian, YV 18
Alvarez, Richmond 16
Gomez, Hayward 14
Clark, FH 13
Bramvila, Richmond 13
Montes, Richmond 13
Croze, Acalanes 12
Cendejas, Free 12
Baringer, Pied 12
Espinoza, SM 11
Mendoza, Hayward 10
Ortega, Hayward 10
Torres, Moreau 10
Lindgren, Acalanes 9
Hamdouni, Berkeley 9
Gratsch, MV 9
Xu, Pied 9
Aguilar, YV 9

Matt Smith