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Boys Volleyball: NCS Predictions, Rankings, Standings

Here are my predictions for the seeding in the three NCS divisions.

Division I

1. Deer Valley
2. College Park
3. Amador Valley
4. Foothill
5. San Ramon Valley
6. Dougherty Valley
7. Logan
8. De La Salle
9. Monte Vista
10. American
11. Mission San Jose
12. Heritage

Division I is interesting, to say the least. First of all, let’s start at the top. The top seed argument is one that could go either way, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see CP be the top seed, nor would I think they didn’t deserve it. I do think that the fact that Deer Valley’s three wins over teams that beat CP (Campolindo, Granite Bay, Whitney) is going to be enough to outweigh the head-to-head win at the DV Tournament. Not sure the committee will care, but to add to DV’s argument, they didn’t have Marcus Lee.
I think that SRV stays ahead of Dougherty on the strength of their recent head-to-head win, while Dougherty goes ahead of Logan. Dougherty is 3-0 against the MVAL, including a 3-0 win over American, they have beaten AV and MV, among other good wins.
De La Salle went 2-1 against MV while the early season MV win over American will be enough to keep them ahead. While American’s recent win over MSJ will put the Warriors at No. 11. I think Heritage will edge out Castro Valley and San Leandro for the final spot.

Division II

1. Campolindo
2. Washington
3. Northgate
4. Alameda
5. Las Lomas
6. Kennedy
7. Redwood
8. Acalanes
9. Clayton Valley
10. Concord

Campo is the easy choice for the No. 1 seed. Washington, despite a 15-17 overall, should be the No. 2 seed. They have played a very tough schedule, have some great wins and played in a very tough league. Northgate and Las Lomas split, but I think the Northgate win over Alameda and the Alameda win over LL will sor those teams 3-5.
Kennedy, despite going 1-9 in league (a very tough league) should still be seeded around No. 6 while Acalanes will get a home game. Clayton Valley and Concord appear to be in line for the No. 9 and No. 10 seeds, respectively.

Division III

1. St. Patrick-St. Vincent
2. Drake
3. Moreau Catholic
4. Bentley
5. Berean Christian
6. College Prep
7. Head-Royce
8. Contra Costa Christian
9. Chinese Christian
10. St. Joseph Notre Dame
11. Marin Catholic

First two seeds are pretty set. I think Moreau gets the No. 3 with a four-set win over Berean and beating College Prep. Bentley stays ahead of Berean with the five-set win.
Head-Royce is 8-6 against Division III teams, so should be in while CCC and Chinese Christian represent the BCL.

Rankings

One change as American and Moreau switch place. But, as we now know, it’s about the NCS seedings and not about the rankings.

1. Deer Valley (37-1)
2. Campolindo (36-2)
3. College Park (29-6)
4. Amador Valley (25-7)
5. Foothill (23-8)
6. San Ramon Valley (16-11)
7. Dougherty Valley (24-11)
8. Logan (19-8)
9. Bentley (21-4)
10. Berean Christian (21-8)
11. American (14-12)
12. Moreau Catholic (24-8)
13. De La Salle (13-11)
14. Monte Vista (17-14)
15. Mission San Jose (13-11)

Standings

BCL-E
Team W-L GB

College Prep (7-3, 7-1) –
Bentley (21-4, 6-2) 1
Valley Chr. (4-4, 4-4) 3
Head-Royce (8-10, 3-5) 4
Redwood Chr. (0-15, 0-8) 7

BVAL
Team W-L GB

Deer Valley (37-1, 10-0) –
Heritage (15-17, 7-3) 3
Pittsburg (7-9, 6-4) 4
Liberty (4-11, 4-6) 6
Freedom (3-20, 3-7) 7
Antioch (0-25, 0-10) 10

DFAL
Team W-L GB

Campolindo (36-2, 10-0) –
Dougherty Valley (24-11, 8-2) 2
Acalanes (10-13, 5-5) 5
Las Lomas (16-15, 5-5) 5
Alhambra (2-21, 1-9) 9
Miramonte (1-13, 1-9) 9

DVAL
Team W-L GB

College Park (29-6, 12-0) –
Berean Christian (21-8, 9-3) 3
Northgate (15-12, 9-3) 3
Clayton Valley (14-20, 6-6) 6
Concord (11-15, 4-8) 8
Ygnacio Valley (2-11, 2-10) 10
Mount Diablo (0-12, 0-12) 12

EBAL
Team W-L GB

Amador Valley (25-7, 13-1) –
Foothill (23-8, 11-3) 2
San Ramon Valley (16-11, 9-5) 4
De La Salle (13-11, 8-6) 5
California (13-19, 7-7) 6
Monte Vista (17-14, 6-8) 7
Granada (2-17, 1-13) 12
Livermore (9-19, 1-13) 12

MVAL
Team W-L GB

Logan (19-8, 8-2) –
American (14-12, 7-3) 1
Mission San Jose (13-11, 5-5) 3
Moreau Catholic (24-8, 5-5) 3
Washington (15-17, 4-6) 4
Kennedy (21-12, 1-9) 7

TCAL
Team W-L GB

St. Patrick-St. Vincent (31-2, 16-0) –
St. Joseph Notre Dame (14-13, 13-3) 3
De Anza (12-12, 9-7) 7
St. Mary’s (8-9, 8-8) 8
Richmond (8-10, 7-9) 9
El Cerrito (6-10, 6-10) 10
Hercules (6-13, 6-10) 10
Pinole Valley (6-11, 6-10) 10
Salesian (1-17, 1-15) 15

WACC
Team W-L GB

Alameda (19-7, 12-0) –
Castro Valley (12-8, 9-3) 3
San Leandro (11-12, 7-5) 5
Berkeley (6-6, 6-6) 6
Encinal (8-9, 5-7) 7
Arroyo (3-11, 3-9) 9
Tennyson (0-14, 0-12) 12

Matt Smith