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Boys Volleyball: NCS Predictions, Rankings, Standings

Here are my predictions for the seeding in the three NCS divisions.

Division I

1. Deer Valley
2. College Park
3. Amador Valley
4. Foothill
5. San Ramon Valley
6. Dougherty Valley
7. Logan
8. De La Salle
9. Monte Vista
10. American
11. Mission San Jose
12. Heritage

Division I is interesting, to say the least. First of all, let’s start at the top. The top seed argument is one that could go either way, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see CP be the top seed, nor would I think they didn’t deserve it. I do think that the fact that Deer Valley’s three wins over teams that beat CP (Campolindo, Granite Bay, Whitney) is going to be enough to outweigh the head-to-head win at the DV Tournament. Not sure the committee will care, but to add to DV’s argument, they didn’t have Marcus Lee.
I think that SRV stays ahead of Dougherty on the strength of their recent head-to-head win, while Dougherty goes ahead of Logan. Dougherty is 3-0 against the MVAL, including a 3-0 win over American, they have beaten AV and MV, among other good wins.
De La Salle went 2-1 against MV while the early season MV win over American will be enough to keep them ahead. While American’s recent win over MSJ will put the Warriors at No. 11. I think Heritage will edge out Castro Valley and San Leandro for the final spot.

Division II

1. Campolindo
2. Washington
3. Northgate
4. Alameda
5. Las Lomas
6. Kennedy
7. Redwood
8. Acalanes
9. Clayton Valley
10. Concord

Campo is the easy choice for the No. 1 seed. Washington, despite a 15-17 overall, should be the No. 2 seed. They have played a very tough schedule, have some great wins and played in a very tough league. Northgate and Las Lomas split, but I think the Northgate win over Alameda and the Alameda win over LL will sor those teams 3-5.
Kennedy, despite going 1-9 in league (a very tough league) should still be seeded around No. 6 while Acalanes will get a home game. Clayton Valley and Concord appear to be in line for the No. 9 and No. 10 seeds, respectively.

Division III

1. St. Patrick-St. Vincent
2. Drake
3. Moreau Catholic
4. Bentley
5. Berean Christian
6. College Prep
7. Head-Royce
8. Contra Costa Christian
9. Chinese Christian
10. St. Joseph Notre Dame
11. Marin Catholic

First two seeds are pretty set. I think Moreau gets the No. 3 with a four-set win over Berean and beating College Prep. Bentley stays ahead of Berean with the five-set win.
Head-Royce is 8-6 against Division III teams, so should be in while CCC and Chinese Christian represent the BCL.

Rankings

One change as American and Moreau switch place. But, as we now know, it’s about the NCS seedings and not about the rankings.

1. Deer Valley (37-1)
2. Campolindo (36-2)
3. College Park (29-6)
4. Amador Valley (25-7)
5. Foothill (23-8)
6. San Ramon Valley (16-11)
7. Dougherty Valley (24-11)
8. Logan (19-8)
9. Bentley (21-4)
10. Berean Christian (21-8)
11. American (14-12)
12. Moreau Catholic (24-8)
13. De La Salle (13-11)
14. Monte Vista (17-14)
15. Mission San Jose (13-11)

Standings

BCL-E
Team W-L GB

College Prep (7-3, 7-1) -
Bentley (21-4, 6-2) 1
Valley Chr. (4-4, 4-4) 3
Head-Royce (8-10, 3-5) 4
Redwood Chr. (0-15, 0-8) 7

BVAL
Team W-L GB

Deer Valley (37-1, 10-0) -
Heritage (15-17, 7-3) 3
Pittsburg (7-9, 6-4) 4
Liberty (4-11, 4-6) 6
Freedom (3-20, 3-7) 7
Antioch (0-25, 0-10) 10

DFAL
Team W-L GB

Campolindo (36-2, 10-0) -
Dougherty Valley (24-11, 8-2) 2
Acalanes (10-13, 5-5) 5
Las Lomas (16-15, 5-5) 5
Alhambra (2-21, 1-9) 9
Miramonte (1-13, 1-9) 9

DVAL
Team W-L GB

College Park (29-6, 12-0) -
Berean Christian (21-8, 9-3) 3
Northgate (15-12, 9-3) 3
Clayton Valley (14-20, 6-6) 6
Concord (11-15, 4-8) 8
Ygnacio Valley (2-11, 2-10) 10
Mount Diablo (0-12, 0-12) 12

EBAL
Team W-L GB

Amador Valley (25-7, 13-1) -
Foothill (23-8, 11-3) 2
San Ramon Valley (16-11, 9-5) 4
De La Salle (13-11, 8-6) 5
California (13-19, 7-7) 6
Monte Vista (17-14, 6-8) 7
Granada (2-17, 1-13) 12
Livermore (9-19, 1-13) 12

MVAL
Team W-L GB

Logan (19-8, 8-2) -
American (14-12, 7-3) 1
Mission San Jose (13-11, 5-5) 3
Moreau Catholic (24-8, 5-5) 3
Washington (15-17, 4-6) 4
Kennedy (21-12, 1-9) 7

TCAL
Team W-L GB

St. Patrick-St. Vincent (31-2, 16-0) -
St. Joseph Notre Dame (14-13, 13-3) 3
De Anza (12-12, 9-7) 7
St. Mary’s (8-9, 8-8) 8
Richmond (8-10, 7-9) 9
El Cerrito (6-10, 6-10) 10
Hercules (6-13, 6-10) 10
Pinole Valley (6-11, 6-10) 10
Salesian (1-17, 1-15) 15

WACC
Team W-L GB

Alameda (19-7, 12-0) -
Castro Valley (12-8, 9-3) 3
San Leandro (11-12, 7-5) 5
Berkeley (6-6, 6-6) 6
Encinal (8-9, 5-7) 7
Arroyo (3-11, 3-9) 9
Tennyson (0-14, 0-12) 12

Matt Smith

  • Lumberjack

    It appears that Redwood High, 17-12 record, is eligible for the Division 2 bracket. Their only notable match was a loss to Las Lomas.

    I wouldn’t look past Clayton Valley, they beat both Las Lomas and Northgate at the Northgate tourney last weekend.

  • Matt Smith

    It looks like Redwood lost to Kennedy in three, so I’ll put Redwood at No. 7, just ahead of Acalanes based on overall record. Wouldn’t be surprised to see Acalanes stay at seven and Redwood be eighth.

    In Division I, it doesn’t look like Pittsburg applied to the playoffs.

    In Division II, it doesn’t look like Encinal applied, despite being eligible at 5-2 in Division II games. Also, El Cerrito, Pinole Valley and Richmond did not apply, so I’m assuming they aren’t eligible and I’ll take them off the list.

    In Division III, it doesn’t look like De Anza applied, so I’ll take them off the list as well.

  • Lumberjack
  • Matt Smith

    Division I
    No. 8 De La Salle v. No. 9 Monte Vista
    No. 5 San Ramon Valley v. No. 12 Castro Valley
    No. 7 Logan v. No. 10 American
    No. 6 Dougherty Valley v. No. 11 Mission San Jose
    Byes: No. 1 Deer Valley, No. 2 College Park, No. 3 Amador Valley, No. 4 Foothill

  • Dave
  • Matt Smith

    Division II
    First Round
    No. 8 Clayton Valley v. No. 9 Concord
    Second Round
    No. 1 Campolindo v. Clayton Valley/Concord winner
    No. 4 Alameda v. No. 5 Kennedy
    No. 2 Washington v. No. 7 Redwood
    No. 3 Northgate v. No. 6 Las Lomas

  • Matt Smith

    Not sure why Acalanes didn’t get in… I have them at 7-6 in Division II games.

  • Lumberjack
  • Dave
  • Matt Smith

    Division III
    First Round
    No. 8 El Molino v. No. 9 Contra Costa Christian
    No. 7 St. Joseph Notre Dame v. No. 10 Marin Catholic
    No. 6 Chinese Christian v. No. 11 College Prep
    Second Round
    No. 1 St. Patrick-St. Vincent v. El Molino/Contra Costa Christian
    No. 4 Bentley v. No. 5 Berean Christian
    No. 2 Drake v. St. Joseph Notre Dame/Marin Catholic
    No. 3 Moreau Catholic v. Chinese Christian/College Prep

  • Lumberjack
  • Norc

    any predictions for D1?
    i feel like the Logan-American and Dough Valley-MSJ matches should be ones to watch

  • ebvbfan

    MSJ is down this year. Dougherty should beat them. Monte Visat/DLS and Logan/American should be interesting, they know each other well.

  • Norc

    I wouldn’t count them out though. Last time they met, MSJ almost took it from Dougherty. I agree with the other matchups

  • NorCal4

    Quite astonishing seeing how all teams from the MVAL qualified this year.

  • VB

    Prediction time for D1 Round 1.

    DLS beats MV. MV’s blocking has formed as of late, but DLS is finally in their full gear. DLS has the edge in serving and offense, and the difference will be MV’s defense. DLS in 4.

    SRV beats Castro Valley. Congrats to Castro Valley on clinching the 12 seed and making the postseason. This should be a route by SRV, but you never know with them as they can be inconsistent at times. SRV in 3.

    Logan beats American. This will be the closest round 1 game as these two familiar opponents will participate in a shootout. The game changers in this one will be Logan’s offense vs American’s defense. Should be a thriller. Logan in 5.

    DV beats MSJ. MSJ is not the same team and should pay the price for it. DV’s offense is clicking, but the difference will be the energy. DV in 4.

  • EastBayVB

    Congrats to all the MVAL teams for making it to the playoffs! The MVAL is qucikly becoming a more dominant force! The Logan-American game should be interesting to watch. And its true, they know each other pretty well. The new head coach for American was previously the head jv coach and assistant vasrsity coach at Logan. This should be an intersting game to watch.

  • MVALfan

    I also think it’s pretty cool that Castro Valley, a program that’s been “in development” for so many years, made it to NCS this year. Congrats to them!

  • Matt Smith

    Logan v. American just about to start…