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Boys Soccer: Updated Playoff Picture, League Races, Rankings, Standings, Stats

One week until the NCS playoff committee meets. Here is how it looks.

Division I

Locks:

Amador Valley, Berkeley, De La Salle, Mission San Jose, Monte Vista, Newark Memorial, Pittsburg, Richmond, San Leandro, San Ramon Valley

I’ve added MSJ to the locked category. I believe this team is in.

Pretty Much In:

James Logan, Mt. Eden

Logan and Mt. Eden slipped up this week, but I think they are both pretty safe.

On the Bubble:

Antioch, California, Castro Valley, Clayton Valley, College Park, Deer Valley, Freedom, Granada, Liberty, Livermore, Washington

I’m going to talk about what each team needs to have happen to get in. There are four spots left, so I’ll do my best.

Antioch- This team is rolling right now with wins over playoff contenders Freedom and Liberty. I think that they need to win twice and solidify the second place finish in the BVAL.

California- They have to beat AV and DLS to get eligible. If they get eligible, I think they are in.

Castro Valley- Finishing second in their league would be a huge help. They unfortunately don’t have any wins outside of their league, but I did say this team would start playing better in league. I think two more wins are important.

Clayton Valley- This team has turned it around and with a win over SRV, and a draw against Richmond, has a quality resume. They just need a win or two draws to get eligible and have a chance.

College Park- Probably pretty comfortable at this point with a solid schedule and some decent results. Just need to avoid losing twice in the last week to get eligible.

Deer Valley- Mathematically still alive if they win twice, but they would need a lot of help.

Freedom- They have the best overall record of the bubble teams, so that helps. They probably need to win out, and then get a little help, but they are still alive.

Granada- One win, or two draws, makes them eligible, and I think they are in if they do that.

Liberty- A couple of wins, or a draw and a win, ensures eligibility. But I think two wins and second place finish in league is needed.

Livermore- They need a win, or two draws, to be eligible. I think they get in if they are eligible.

Washington- They’ve done a lot in the last week to bolster a playoff resume that needed a boost. They are now right in the discussion with Antioch, Castro Valley, Freedom, Liberty and Clayton Valley for the last spot or two.

Matt Smith’s Hunch: Antioch, College Park, Livermore and Washington get in. If Livermore doesn’t get eligible, Castro Valley will, unless Freedom climbs to third in the BVAL.

Division II

Locks:

Albany, Alhambra, Bishop O’Dowd, Campolindo, Dublin, El Cerrito, Hayward, Hercules, Las Lomas, Piedmont, Pinole Valley, San Lorenzo, St. Mary’s, Ygnacio Valley

I think it’s safe to add Alhambra, Bishop O’Dowd, Las Lomas and Piedmont to the locked category. Overall record has them already eligible, and with solid schedules and some great results, I think they can be added to the locked list. That makes 14 teams.
And in case you are wondering, Piedmont is 7-6-0 against Division II teams, and only has one DII game left, so they are eligible.

On the Bubble:

Acalanes, Concord, De Anza, Miramonte, Mount Diablo, Northgate

Two spots for six teams.

Acalanes- Needs at least one win in the final two games to get eligible. If this happens, the Dons have a decent shot at getting in.

Concord- Making a late push and now just needs a win or two draws to get eligible. Finishing ahead of other bubble teams such as Mount Diablo and Northgate would help.

De Anza- Have verified they have to forfeit some games. Just don’t know which ones, or how many, as of yet.

Miramonte- Needs to win twice to get in. Doing so could elevate their league standing, and give them a chance to get in.

Mount Diablo- Has hit a rough patch to end the year. They are 4-3-2 against Division II teams, so just a draw this week works. Could be a big one against Northgate.

Northgate- Just one draw makes them eligible. I think this team is in good shape to get in.

Matt Smith’s hunch: Acalanes and Northgate.

League Races

BVAL

Pittsburg has clinched the league title.

DFAL

It comes down to Tuesday. If Campo wins, they clinch the league. If Dublin wins, then they are in control.

DVAL

Ygnacio Valley has clinched the league for the third time in a row.

EBAL

AV and SRV are mathematically still alive, but it’s coming down to the wire with Monte Vista and De La Salle. This is a repeat of last year, as it could come down to the final day. The role is reversed this time, with MV simply needing to win out.

MVAL

We have ourselves a race. Logan is mathematically alive, but it’s really down to Newark and Mission San Jose. If those two teams hold serve and win, it could end in a tie, and I would guess Newark has the tiebreak with the head-to-head. But if Newark slips at all, MSJ could swoop in and grab the title.

TCAL-Rock

Richmond clinched on Monday.

TCAL-Stone

Hercules was the first team to clinch a league title.

WACC-Foothill

Berkeley has clinched the title.

WACC-Shoreline

Still just three points separating these three teams with San Lorenzo in the driver’s seat. San Leandro is in good shape still, however, because SLZ plays Hayward and could receive help. The Farmers need the most help, but are still very much alive.

Rankings

A tough week for me doing the rankings. EBAL Dad made the best point by attempting to use the transitive property. Just can’t do it. In recent play, DLS has beat MV, who beat AV who beat DLS. Also you have Richmond beating DLS, but losing to SRV. So I just did my best to move teams up and down based on recent results.
Monte Vista drops slightly, Campo moves up two spots, AV stays while DLS jumps three spots. Richmond slight drop as well, while SRV climbs despite the loss to DLS, because of a two-win week.
San Lorenzo climbs to No. 10, while San Leandro and Hayward fall in line according to recent WACC results. Newark clings to the 15th spot.
Antioch has four wins in five games, and makes the consideration list, while Washington gets in after great results against Logan and Newark.

1. Pittsburg (17-1-1)
2. Ygnacio Valley (17-2-1)
3. Berkeley (17-1-3)
4. Monte Vista (16-2-2)
5. Dublin (17-1-3)
6. Campolindo (13-4-4)
7. Amador Valley (16-4-2)
8. De La Salle (12-6-3)
9. Richmond (12-5-3)
10. San Lorenzo (11-4-3)
11. San Ramon Valley (13-7-1)
12. San Leandro (12-4-3)
13. Hayward (13-3-6)
14. St. Mary’s (11-5-0)
15. Newark Memorial (13-4-4)

Others considered: El Cerrito (13-7-2), Mission San Jose (11-4-5), Mt. Eden (9-7-6), Bishop O’Dowd (9-6-3), Hercules (13-3-5), Granada (7-7-4), Antioch (7-10-1), Washington (9-8-2), College Park (8-7-6), Las Lomas (10-6-3)

Standings

BVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Pittsburg (17-1-1, 8-0-0) 24
Antioch (7-10-1, 4-3-1) 13
Liberty (5-10-1, 3-4-1) 10
Deer Valley (4-11-8, 2-4-2) 8
Freedom (9-7-6, 1-3-4) 7
Heritage (3-12-4, 1-5-2) 5

DFAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Campolindo (13-4-4, 8-0-2) 26
Dublin (17-1-3, 7-1-2) 23
Alhambra (10-8-4, 4-4-3) 15
Acalanes (6-11-3, 4-5-1) 13
Las Lomas (10-6-3, 3-4-3) 12
Miramonte (5-7-3, 2-6-2) 7
Dougherty Valley (1-16-3, 0-8-3) 3

DVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Ygnacio Valley (17-2-1, 10-0-1) 31
College Park (8-7-6, 6-3-1) 19
Clayton Valley (6-10-5, 5-5-1) 16
Concord (5-9-4, 4-4-2) 14
Mt. Diablo (6-7-3, 3-4-3) 12
Northgate (10-9-0, 4-6-0) 12
Berean Chr. (1-18-1, 0-10-0) 0

EBAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Monte Vista (16-2-2, 9-2-1) 28
De La Salle (12-6-3, 9-3-0) 27
Amador Valley (16-4-2, 7-4-1) 22
San Ramon Valley (13-7-1, 7-4-1) 22
Livermore (9-9-4, 4-6-2) 14
Granada (7-7-4, 3-5-4) 13
California (8-10-3, 3-8-1) 10
Foothill (4-10-5, 0-10-2) 2

MVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Newark Memorial (13-4-4, 9-1-2) 29
Mission San Jose (11-4-5, 8-1-2) 26
Logan (10-6-5, 7-3-2) 23
Washington (9-8-2, 7-3-2) 23
Irvington (5-13-1, 4-7-1) 13
Kennedy (5-11-2, 3-8-1) 10
American (2-7-3, 2-7-3) 9
Moreau Catholic (0-14-1, 0-10-1) 1

OAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Castlemont (0-0-0, 0-0-0) 0
Fremont (0-0-0, 0-0-0) 0
Oakland (0-0-0, 0-0-0) 0
Oakland Tech (0-3-0, 0-0-0) 0
Skyline (0-0-0, 0-0-0) 0

TCAL Rock
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Richmond (12-5-3, 9-1-0) 27
St. Mary’s (11-5-0, 7-3-0) 21
El Cerrito (14-7-2, 6-4-0) 18
Albany (9-7-3, 4-5-1) 13
Salesian (3-10-2, 3-6-1) 10
St. Joseph Notre Dame (5-12-3, 0-10-0) 0

TCAL Stone
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Hercules (13-3-5, 10-0-0) 30
Pinole Valley (9-7-2, 6-3-1) 19
De Anza (10-9-3, 5-2-3) 18
Kennedy (5-11-3, 4-5-1) 13
Swett (2-8-1, 2-7-1) 7
St. Patrick-St. Vincent (0-13-0, 0-10-0) 0

WACC Foothill
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Berkeley (17-1-3, 12-0-2) 38
Castro Valley (7-10-4, 7-4-3) 24
Bishop O’Dowd (9-6-3, 7-5-2) 23
Mt. Eden (9-7-6, 7-5-2) 23
Arroyo (5-10-2, 4-8-2) 14
Alameda (2-17-2, 2-11-1) 7

WACC Shoreline
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

San Lorenzo (11-4-3, 10-3-1) 31
San Leandro (12-4-3, 9-3-2) 29
Hayward (13-3-6, 8-2-4) 28
Piedmont (9-11-0, 4-10-0) 12
Encinal (2-10-1, 2-10-1) 7
Tennyson (2-17-1, 1-12-0) 3

Stat Leaders

Name School Goals
Ayala, YV 28
Berumen, Pitt 26
Bautista, Richmond 22
Greenberg, MV 21
Foscalina, Livermore 21
Khorami, Dublin 20
Romero, Hercules 19
J. Maldonado Alhambra 18
Pangia, AV 17
Cassino, LL 17
Castillo, Hayward 16
Dull, St. Mary 16
Sako, EC 15
Udave, Hayward 15
L. Moreno, EC 14
Roman, SL 14
Hebert, Berkeley 12
Hernandez, CP 12
Williams, Mt. Eden 12
Escobar, Richmond 12
Zumaya, YV 12

Name School Assists
Ortega, Hayward 19
Sundar, MSJ 15
Simmons, Campo 14
Berumen, Pitt 14
Zumaya, YV 14
L. Moreno, EC 13
Udave, Hayward 13
Enriquez, Newark 11
Ledesma, Pitt 11
Escobar, Richmond 11
Velasquez, Concord 10
Raygoza, Logan 10
Greenberg, MV 10
Burrows, Ngate 10
Mesquite, St. Mary 10
Nassiri, St. Mary 10
Renteria, YV 10
Wright, Berkeley 9
Khorami, Dublin 9
A. Moreano, EC 9
Navarrete, EC 9
Garcia, EC 9
Zaloumis, MV 9
Birruete, Richmond 9

Matt Smith