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Boys Soccer: Updated Playoff Picture, League Races, Rankings, Standings, Stats

By Matt Smith
Sunday, February 9th, 2014 at 11:16 am in Boys soccer.

One week until the NCS playoff committee meets. Here is how it looks.

Division I

Locks:

Amador Valley, Berkeley, De La Salle, Mission San Jose, Monte Vista, Newark Memorial, Pittsburg, Richmond, San Leandro, San Ramon Valley

I’ve added MSJ to the locked category. I believe this team is in.

Pretty Much In:

James Logan, Mt. Eden

Logan and Mt. Eden slipped up this week, but I think they are both pretty safe.

On the Bubble:

Antioch, California, Castro Valley, Clayton Valley, College Park, Deer Valley, Freedom, Granada, Liberty, Livermore, Washington

I’m going to talk about what each team needs to have happen to get in. There are four spots left, so I’ll do my best.

Antioch- This team is rolling right now with wins over playoff contenders Freedom and Liberty. I think that they need to win twice and solidify the second place finish in the BVAL.

California- They have to beat AV and DLS to get eligible. If they get eligible, I think they are in.

Castro Valley- Finishing second in their league would be a huge help. They unfortunately don’t have any wins outside of their league, but I did say this team would start playing better in league. I think two more wins are important.

Clayton Valley- This team has turned it around and with a win over SRV, and a draw against Richmond, has a quality resume. They just need a win or two draws to get eligible and have a chance.

College Park- Probably pretty comfortable at this point with a solid schedule and some decent results. Just need to avoid losing twice in the last week to get eligible.

Deer Valley- Mathematically still alive if they win twice, but they would need a lot of help.

Freedom- They have the best overall record of the bubble teams, so that helps. They probably need to win out, and then get a little help, but they are still alive.

Granada- One win, or two draws, makes them eligible, and I think they are in if they do that.

Liberty- A couple of wins, or a draw and a win, ensures eligibility. But I think two wins and second place finish in league is needed.

Livermore- They need a win, or two draws, to be eligible. I think they get in if they are eligible.

Washington- They’ve done a lot in the last week to bolster a playoff resume that needed a boost. They are now right in the discussion with Antioch, Castro Valley, Freedom, Liberty and Clayton Valley for the last spot or two.

Matt Smith’s Hunch: Antioch, College Park, Livermore and Washington get in. If Livermore doesn’t get eligible, Castro Valley will, unless Freedom climbs to third in the BVAL.

Division II

Locks:

Albany, Alhambra, Bishop O’Dowd, Campolindo, Dublin, El Cerrito, Hayward, Hercules, Las Lomas, Piedmont, Pinole Valley, San Lorenzo, St. Mary’s, Ygnacio Valley

I think it’s safe to add Alhambra, Bishop O’Dowd, Las Lomas and Piedmont to the locked category. Overall record has them already eligible, and with solid schedules and some great results, I think they can be added to the locked list. That makes 14 teams.
And in case you are wondering, Piedmont is 7-6-0 against Division II teams, and only has one DII game left, so they are eligible.

On the Bubble:

Acalanes, Concord, De Anza, Miramonte, Mount Diablo, Northgate

Two spots for six teams.

Acalanes- Needs at least one win in the final two games to get eligible. If this happens, the Dons have a decent shot at getting in.

Concord- Making a late push and now just needs a win or two draws to get eligible. Finishing ahead of other bubble teams such as Mount Diablo and Northgate would help.

De Anza- Have verified they have to forfeit some games. Just don’t know which ones, or how many, as of yet.

Miramonte- Needs to win twice to get in. Doing so could elevate their league standing, and give them a chance to get in.

Mount Diablo- Has hit a rough patch to end the year. They are 4-3-2 against Division II teams, so just a draw this week works. Could be a big one against Northgate.

Northgate- Just one draw makes them eligible. I think this team is in good shape to get in.

Matt Smith’s hunch: Acalanes and Northgate.

League Races

BVAL

Pittsburg has clinched the league title.

DFAL

It comes down to Tuesday. If Campo wins, they clinch the league. If Dublin wins, then they are in control.

DVAL

Ygnacio Valley has clinched the league for the third time in a row.

EBAL

AV and SRV are mathematically still alive, but it’s coming down to the wire with Monte Vista and De La Salle. This is a repeat of last year, as it could come down to the final day. The role is reversed this time, with MV simply needing to win out.

MVAL

We have ourselves a race. Logan is mathematically alive, but it’s really down to Newark and Mission San Jose. If those two teams hold serve and win, it could end in a tie, and I would guess Newark has the tiebreak with the head-to-head. But if Newark slips at all, MSJ could swoop in and grab the title.

TCAL-Rock

Richmond clinched on Monday.

TCAL-Stone

Hercules was the first team to clinch a league title.

WACC-Foothill

Berkeley has clinched the title.

WACC-Shoreline

Still just three points separating these three teams with San Lorenzo in the driver’s seat. San Leandro is in good shape still, however, because SLZ plays Hayward and could receive help. The Farmers need the most help, but are still very much alive.

Rankings

A tough week for me doing the rankings. EBAL Dad made the best point by attempting to use the transitive property. Just can’t do it. In recent play, DLS has beat MV, who beat AV who beat DLS. Also you have Richmond beating DLS, but losing to SRV. So I just did my best to move teams up and down based on recent results.
Monte Vista drops slightly, Campo moves up two spots, AV stays while DLS jumps three spots. Richmond slight drop as well, while SRV climbs despite the loss to DLS, because of a two-win week.
San Lorenzo climbs to No. 10, while San Leandro and Hayward fall in line according to recent WACC results. Newark clings to the 15th spot.
Antioch has four wins in five games, and makes the consideration list, while Washington gets in after great results against Logan and Newark.

1. Pittsburg (17-1-1)
2. Ygnacio Valley (17-2-1)
3. Berkeley (17-1-3)
4. Monte Vista (16-2-2)
5. Dublin (17-1-3)
6. Campolindo (13-4-4)
7. Amador Valley (16-4-2)
8. De La Salle (12-6-3)
9. Richmond (12-5-3)
10. San Lorenzo (11-4-3)
11. San Ramon Valley (13-7-1)
12. San Leandro (12-4-3)
13. Hayward (13-3-6)
14. St. Mary’s (11-5-0)
15. Newark Memorial (13-4-4)

Others considered: El Cerrito (13-7-2), Mission San Jose (11-4-5), Mt. Eden (9-7-6), Bishop O’Dowd (9-6-3), Hercules (13-3-5), Granada (7-7-4), Antioch (7-10-1), Washington (9-8-2), College Park (8-7-6), Las Lomas (10-6-3)

Standings

BVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Pittsburg (17-1-1, 8-0-0) 24
Antioch (7-10-1, 4-3-1) 13
Liberty (5-10-1, 3-4-1) 10
Deer Valley (4-11-8, 2-4-2) 8
Freedom (9-7-6, 1-3-4) 7
Heritage (3-12-4, 1-5-2) 5

DFAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Campolindo (13-4-4, 8-0-2) 26
Dublin (17-1-3, 7-1-2) 23
Alhambra (10-8-4, 4-4-3) 15
Acalanes (6-11-3, 4-5-1) 13
Las Lomas (10-6-3, 3-4-3) 12
Miramonte (5-7-3, 2-6-2) 7
Dougherty Valley (1-16-3, 0-8-3) 3

DVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Ygnacio Valley (17-2-1, 10-0-1) 31
College Park (8-7-6, 6-3-1) 19
Clayton Valley (6-10-5, 5-5-1) 16
Concord (5-9-4, 4-4-2) 14
Mt. Diablo (6-7-3, 3-4-3) 12
Northgate (10-9-0, 4-6-0) 12
Berean Chr. (1-18-1, 0-10-0) 0

EBAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Monte Vista (16-2-2, 9-2-1) 28
De La Salle (12-6-3, 9-3-0) 27
Amador Valley (16-4-2, 7-4-1) 22
San Ramon Valley (13-7-1, 7-4-1) 22
Livermore (9-9-4, 4-6-2) 14
Granada (7-7-4, 3-5-4) 13
California (8-10-3, 3-8-1) 10
Foothill (4-10-5, 0-10-2) 2

MVAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Newark Memorial (13-4-4, 9-1-2) 29
Mission San Jose (11-4-5, 8-1-2) 26
Logan (10-6-5, 7-3-2) 23
Washington (9-8-2, 7-3-2) 23
Irvington (5-13-1, 4-7-1) 13
Kennedy (5-11-2, 3-8-1) 10
American (2-7-3, 2-7-3) 9
Moreau Catholic (0-14-1, 0-10-1) 1

OAL
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Castlemont (0-0-0, 0-0-0) 0
Fremont (0-0-0, 0-0-0) 0
Oakland (0-0-0, 0-0-0) 0
Oakland Tech (0-3-0, 0-0-0) 0
Skyline (0-0-0, 0-0-0) 0

TCAL Rock
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Richmond (12-5-3, 9-1-0) 27
St. Mary’s (11-5-0, 7-3-0) 21
El Cerrito (14-7-2, 6-4-0) 18
Albany (9-7-3, 4-5-1) 13
Salesian (3-10-2, 3-6-1) 10
St. Joseph Notre Dame (5-12-3, 0-10-0) 0

TCAL Stone
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Hercules (13-3-5, 10-0-0) 30
Pinole Valley (9-7-2, 6-3-1) 19
De Anza (10-9-3, 5-2-3) 18
Kennedy (5-11-3, 4-5-1) 13
Swett (2-8-1, 2-7-1) 7
St. Patrick-St. Vincent (0-13-0, 0-10-0) 0

WACC Foothill
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

Berkeley (17-1-3, 12-0-2) 38
Castro Valley (7-10-4, 7-4-3) 24
Bishop O’Dowd (9-6-3, 7-5-2) 23
Mt. Eden (9-7-6, 7-5-2) 23
Arroyo (5-10-2, 4-8-2) 14
Alameda (2-17-2, 2-11-1) 7

WACC Shoreline
Team W-L (overall, league) PTS

San Lorenzo (11-4-3, 10-3-1) 31
San Leandro (12-4-3, 9-3-2) 29
Hayward (13-3-6, 8-2-4) 28
Piedmont (9-11-0, 4-10-0) 12
Encinal (2-10-1, 2-10-1) 7
Tennyson (2-17-1, 1-12-0) 3

Stat Leaders

Name School Goals
Ayala, YV 28
Berumen, Pitt 26
Bautista, Richmond 22
Greenberg, MV 21
Foscalina, Livermore 21
Khorami, Dublin 20
Romero, Hercules 19
J. Maldonado Alhambra 18
Pangia, AV 17
Cassino, LL 17
Castillo, Hayward 16
Dull, St. Mary 16
Sako, EC 15
Udave, Hayward 15
L. Moreno, EC 14
Roman, SL 14
Hebert, Berkeley 12
Hernandez, CP 12
Williams, Mt. Eden 12
Escobar, Richmond 12
Zumaya, YV 12

Name School Assists
Ortega, Hayward 19
Sundar, MSJ 15
Simmons, Campo 14
Berumen, Pitt 14
Zumaya, YV 14
L. Moreno, EC 13
Udave, Hayward 13
Enriquez, Newark 11
Ledesma, Pitt 11
Escobar, Richmond 11
Velasquez, Concord 10
Raygoza, Logan 10
Greenberg, MV 10
Burrows, Ngate 10
Mesquite, St. Mary 10
Nassiri, St. Mary 10
Renteria, YV 10
Wright, Berkeley 9
Khorami, Dublin 9
A. Moreano, EC 9
Navarrete, EC 9
Garcia, EC 9
Zaloumis, MV 9
Birruete, Richmond 9

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  • Turftoespain

    Don’t forget the girls are also part of the full package also. Fields and Ref assignments and neighborhood light restrictions all play into scheduling.

  • El Tejon

    Anyone has seeding predictions??

  • Turftoespain

    700 that’s a done deal

  • The Sweeper

    And the #1 seed is…

  • The Sweeper

    OK Matt…you’re up next… Bring it!

  • Hat Trick

    Wild Guess? Sure (and Matt we hit 700!)
    D1 (who I mostly follow) Top 7
    Pittsburg
    Berkeley
    Monte Vista
    DLS
    Amador Valley
    San Ramon Valley
    Richmond
    Now you can all tell me how crazy I am…I can take it :)

  • Turftoespain

    Moldavia ….oops wrong hat.

  • The Sweeper

    I predict that the seeding committee will screw it up…

  • Soccer4life

    Hercules 1 vs richmond 0

  • Yellow Jacket

    Not exactly highschool referees, but there is a very interesting documentary on the referees of the 2008 Euro out. It’s called (not very creatively), The Referees. From a players point of view it really opened up my eyes and made me how difficult and how much pressure there is for any ref, at any stage. If you can check it out, http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1483780/. I’m sure if you google it you can watch it online.

  • Turftoespain

    Hercules up 1 – 0

  • Efrain

    Hercules up 1-0 vs Richmond with 30 left in the 1st half

  • Turftoespain

    Richmond needs to pump it up. word is playing flat.

  • Yellow Jacket

    A little late but I wanted to give my analysis on the Berkeley team after getting a chance to watch them last night.
    This team is for real. They scored 2 nice goals in the first 15 minutes of the game to give them a comfortable lead. After doing so they did get a little complacent and starting hitting long balls to their forward/wingers, however they pulled it together at half. Yassine in the middle of the pitch controls the game beautifully and everything was touch and go in the second half. I was also really impressed by the back 4, with Ponchis and Lalo combining very well (Ponchis is also deadly on corners). They also have some subs that can come in and really make an impact which is also nice. They play very nice passing soccer and have the speed on the wings with Calvin to switch up their style of play if need be. I’m expecting them to be in the finals, and think it’s a better collective TEAM than last year.

  • Efrain

    Richmond with possession but Hercules counter attacks are deadly

  • Tampa2

    AND THE NUMBER 1 SEED IS???

  • Tampa2

    The Committee is running out of Quarters to feed Zoltar

  • Taha

    Sounds like you know a lot about Berkeley. Are you by any chance a player from the Yellow Jackets?

  • Yellow Jacket

    “Berkeley team after getting a chance to watch them last night”. Yeah, not a Berkeley player

  • Efrain

    Hercules 1 – 0 Richmond at the half

  • Turftoespain

    Wow Trouble regarding the DI seeding…committee is having some deep issues.

  • Tampa2

    Hercules is just ripping shots at Richmond. Oiler’s on heels.

  • Matt Smith

    A little light hearted photo before the seed predictions. Miss Idaho and I meeting our new pup for the first time.

  • Hat Trick

    Bernese? Very good looking. The dog too!

  • Matt Smith

    A Bernese, indeed. We’re so stoked. We went and met him for the first time today, and he comes home in a week and a half.

  • Matt Smith

    How are we doing at Richmond, Efrain?

  • Efrain

    50-50 possession Hercules attacks are getting more dangerous 1-0 still

  • Tampa2

    That will be one Very Big Dog

  • Tampa2

    13 min Richmond is still down 1-0 frustration is becoming apparent.

  • Tampa2

    Many of the Richmond starters are now out.

  • Bassy01

    Pitt, they deserve it.

  • Matt Smith

    Saw his dad today. He is about 125 pounds.

  • Matt Smith

    Let us know when it goes final.

  • Tampa2

    6 min to go in Richmond Oilers still down 1-0

  • Matt Smith

    The committee won’t care one bit about this game. It’s not worth an auto-bid, and it’s Intra-Division. No chance it matters, unfortunately.

  • lovesoccer18

    Me too hope they would consider doing that.

  • Tampa2

    Hercules 1….Richmond 0…..Big Save by Hercules Keeper last seconds. That’s a Wrap and Final.

  • Tampa2

    Soft schedule. But you never know.

  • lovesoccer18

    Any scores

  • Tampa2

    oh well that was a bust.

  • Turftoespain

    Blew that call. Not a good way to end the season.

  • Taha

    Might as well start the seeding predictions . 1.Pitt 2.Berkeley 3.DLS 4.MV 5.Richmond 6. AV 7. SRV 8. Newark 9. SL 10. Logan 11. MSJ 12. Mt.Eden 13. Freedom 14. CP 15. Washington 16. Anitoch (If there is any team on here that isn’t qualified then please do correct me, but i think i’m spot on.)

  • Soccermania

    It was an average save, it went right to his hands

  • Bassy01

    I don’t think there is such a thing, the most dangerous games are those against ” soft teams”

  • Bassy01

    Think about picking up after him when you walk him, oh boy

  • cdpozole

    Richmond played one starter against Hercules for the whole game, so players could get rested for the NCS playoffs. Starter was Humberto Melendez, GK.

  • The Sweeper

    You lucky dog!! I’m talking about you Matt. What is his handle?

  • Offsides

    2 kids quit. I only speak, cuz I know.

  • EBAL fan

    AV should be behind SRV as AV is the #4 finisher in EBAL. I think SRV will be #5 ahead of Richmond with a head to head win a week ago…