Foreclosures are driving homes sales but lowering prices
By emitchell
Wednesday, August 20th, 2008 at 8:50 am in Uncategorized.
The good news is that foreclosures led to a slight increase in Bay Area home sales in July compared to a year ago. It wasn’t much, just 2.2 percent, but it was first time there was year-to-year increase in more than three years, according to a Contra Costa Times story. The bad news is that foreclosure sales dragged down the median home price to $470,000, the lowest level in more than four years.
In Contra Costa County, homes sales soared to 1,730 in July, a 30.3 percent increase from a year ago while the median price plunged 41.6 percent to $350,000. In Alameda County homes sales stood at 1,428, a 9.4 percent decrease while the median price of a home dropped 27.3 percent to $440,000. In San Mateo County, 648 homes changed hands, an 11 percent drop while the median price dropped 16.3 percent to $670,000. In Solano County, 592 homes were sold, a 45.1 percent increase while the median price plunged 33.7 percent to $250,000.
Observers say that foreclosure will help clear out the inventory of homes on the market. That has to happen before prices can rise. What’s your take on this? Are foreclosures sales helping or hurting the market?
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August 22nd, 2008 at 8:30 am
It all depends on how you view the market. If you are a typical member of the mainstream media or the political class, “hurting the market” is anything that makes house prices decline. If you are a renter, it is anything that makes house prices NOT decline (but, as you at least have noticed lately, renters are persona non grata to politicians and the media). And if you try to be reasonable, it’s anything that gets house prices to where they can be reasonably sustained.
I try to be reasonable, and I believe Bay Area house prices have a long way to go (down) before they make any sense. Therefore, I would say foreclosures are helping the market.