Not only is Dumbarton Rail way underfunded, a new study concludes the proposed rail line linking Union City and Redwood City won’t generate as many riders as first thought.
In 2003, when Bay Area voters approved money for the project, the ridership estimate was 11,700 by 2030. The newest estimate is 5,900 by 2035.
Ridership projections for all major transit operators are down from the 2003 projections.The reason is a change in data inputs and assumptions used in the forecasts, according to a report submitted by Dumbarton Rail Project Manager Paul Matsuoka.
Next week, MTC considers transferring $91 million of money earmarked for Dumbarton Rail to the Warm Springs BART extension. The transfer would likely set back Dumbarton Rail a decade.