Tie Doesn’t Necessarily Go to Clippers

The first tie breaker after head-up is Division record. Since the Warriors are 2-2 against the Clippers, Pacific Division record would determine who goes to the playoffs if the Warriors and Clippers end up tied.
Because of that fact, and the Warriors ‘ 5-10 record against the Division, many, including myself, have all but given that tie-breaker to the Clippers. But it is still feasible the Warriors to manage a tie in that category as well. If they do, the next tie-breaker is Conference record. The Warriors currently have a better record. Both teams have only Western Conference opponents remaining, so if they finished with the same record, the Warriors would automatically have a better Conference record and would win that tie break.
What has to happen?
The Warriors would have to win their remaining Pacific Division game (at Sacramento on April 13).
And the Clippers, currently 5-7, would have to lose three of their last four division games. They play the Lakers twice (April 4th and 12th), host Sacramento (15th) and travel to Phoenix (17th).
Losing three of those games is more than possible. Losing all four, is not out of the question.
So, to recap, if the Clippers go 4-5 the rest of the way (with three of those losses coming in the Division) and the Warriors go 6-3 the rest of the way (with one of the wins coming at Sacramento), then the Warriors would win the third tie breaker and claim the eighth seed.
That’s reasonable, right?

Marcus Thompson

  • itsagreattimeout

    Wow, hey, you’re right! I hadn’t thought about that!
    Btw, did you get my response in your email?

  • gswbandwagon

    Why is there no mention (not just in this post, but in the media in general) of the possibility of catching Denver? They’re tied with the Clippers and are playing worse, and may have a harder schedule remaining.

    The Nuggets have 7 road games left and 3 back to backs. They still have to go to San Antonio and Utah and host Dallas. They have a home and away with the Flakers and go to the Clippers.

    The loser of that Denver at LAC game is who the Warriors are chasing. Denver would have the tiebreaker on us though.

  • Marcus Thompson

    Honestly, it really didn’t hit me how far the Nuggets had fallen until today. It is a very real possibility that the Nuggets fall out and the Clippers and Warriors get the last two seeds.

  • Andrew Rosenblum

    I second the point on the Nuggets, in particular because the Clippers are actually playing pretty well (winning 6 out of 7, with the one loss to a red-hot Houston squad). The Nuggets look vulnerable. The Warriors have a really tough sked though. The only positive there is in the final week of the season: vs Min, vs. Dal, and @Por. Hopefully, Min will already be eliminated, Dallas will have clinched and be playing half-hearted, and Portland, which has already lost Randolph, will also be tanking.

  • EJ

    i think the nuggets go 3-7 the rest of the way and miss the playoffs.

  • john motroni

    From Marc Stein’s Power Rankings discussion of the Warriors.

    “The flipside to their road woes: Warriors have racked up more wins at home (27) than San Antonio (26) and all but three West teams: Mavs (33), Suns (31) and Jazz (29).”

  • JustPuked

    That’s a lot of ifs. Isn’t it nice to use all our ifs on playoff possibilities instead of lottery possibilities?

  • gswbandwagon

    I prefer “if things go well, we get Greg Oden and contend for titles for a decade” to “if things go well, we may sneak into the 8 seed once!”

  • Marcus Thompson

    Do you really think the Warriors, if they don’t make the playoffs, are going to get Greg Oden?

  • John

    If the Warriors miss the playoffs for a 13th straight season, they won’t likely get Greg Oden in the draft.

  • gswbandwagon

    at this point, no. If they had tanked when Nelly seemed to want to, then maybe. I didn’t mean that the perspective now should be Oden. They once again went 8 seed or bust and there’s no point in busting yet again, but if they had started the tank when the opportunity was there, they had a decent shot at Oden (or the consolation prize, Durant).

    But at one point, the Warriors had lost something like 6 straight. Baron was out, Richardson was playing poorly off his injuries, and Nelly had just lost a game with a T and given a concession speech. They could’ve shelved Baron and Jason, played Cheesecake 20+ mpg, and ridden out the season with under 30 wins. They had 26 wins at the time. The Warriors wouldn’t have caught Memphis, but virtually everyone else was possible.

    I should’ve phrased it more clearly the first time, but in the long run landing Oden does a lot more for the franchise than getting the 8 seed this year.