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Scary Schedule

Wow. The league’s schedule makers didn’t do the Warriors any favors.

• Monta’s first game as a starting PG is against CHRIS PAUL, the best in the league. That’s cold. Of course, they probably were expecting the BD-CP3 match-up. His showdown with Chris Paul is followed by roadies against Jose Calderon and Devin Harris.

• 10 of first 17 are on the road, 7 being played in Eastern Time zone and one in Central Time zone. Then 11 of 17 in December are on the road, all but one on West Coast time. If this was a veteran team that had been together for a while, this might be a good thing, get their sense of urgency up early. But with so many young and new players, this is a tough way to start the jelling process- so far away from their comfort zones

• There are EIGHT back-to-backs in the first two months, seven ending on the road (including one in Denver, arguably the toughest end to a back-to-back)

• The Warriors play 28 games after the All-Star break, 17 are against teams that made the playoffs last year. Add 3 more against the Clippers and Bulls, both of which figure to contend for a playoffs, and two games against the rival Kings.

• If the Warriors should be in the playoff hunt down the stretch, they are going to have to earn their spot. They close the season vs. Houston then at Utah the next night, vs. San Antonio and at Phoenix. Ouch.

On paper, without seeing them in training camp, here is how I see the season breaking down:
October: 0-2
November: 6-9
December: 8-9
January: 6-8
February: 5-5
March: 7-9
April: 3-5
’08-09: 35-47

Am I crazy or dead on (at least as dead on as you can be in August)? At this point, what do you see the Warriors record being?

Marcus Thompson

  • KimCat

    You’re probably about right. After 20 years as a season ticket holder, I have seen this before. The only caveat is whether someone really breaks out the way Chris Paul did last year. Will Monta really grow as much as he did each of the last two years? Will Brandon finally show up. Will Marcus become a real point guard? Will everyone jell?

  • Peter

    45 wins. book it

  • EJ

    35-47 sounds about right, although, i wouldn’t be surprised if they hovered around .500 at some point during the second half of the season.

  • James

    83-0

  • JustPuked

    I see the Warrior’s record littered with lots and lots of losses, possibly as high as 50 of them. I see a roster filled with solid players but no transcendent *Star* to take them to the Promised Land. We’re still starting Al Harrington at power forward, when he should be your sixth or seventh guy. We should be very, very worried if Brandan Wright can’t take that job away from Al this year. It should scare you to the core that Corey Maggette might be the best player on the team. I see a team that’s gambled and is now dependant on the potential of Ellis and Biedrins. I see a team that’s preparing to make a similar gamble on Belinelli, Azubuike, Wright and Randolph and…that’s a lot of gambling. I see a team that could very well be absolutely horrible on defense. I see a team that could grind to a halt if Monta is in over his head at the point. I see a team that could be rudderless with a lame duck Nellie. Mostly, I see a lottery team with a lot of holes.

  • Peachruss

    If our pattern of showing up to games against contenders follows anything like last year, a tougher schedule would equal more wins.

    Our greatest opponents turned out to be our complacency against the lesser teams.

  • We_Are_The_Littles

    35 wins? That’s pretty harsh. Even the lowly Kings had 38 wins last year, and the young and talented Blazers (much like us this year) had 41 wins in ’07-’08. We have as much talent as the Blazers, and certainly more than the Kings. Expect the Dubs to win about 40 – 43 this year.

  • Niners in 2009

    I actually like our schedule. We get all the travel out of the way by mid December. We only have 12 back to backs on the road, total. There have been years where we’ve had 20. By Jan 1st we’ll find out if we have a team or not, and Mully can work the trade deadline accordingly.

  • Phil

    I’m much more optimitstic than 35 wins.

    The key is survival in those early east coast road trips. If they can stay close to 500 through those trips, they’ll compete down the stretch too.

    If they struggle early on the road, their in trouble when the schedule gets tough.

    The early road teams are not as tough as the teams down the stretch, so I like this schedule.

    42 wins

  • Niners in 2009

    Nellie = WINNING

  • Niners in 2009

    Check out the schedule breakdown:
    http://www.hoopsworld.com/Story.asp?story_id=9715

    Only Detroit has less back2backs, 14 to our 15.

  • john

    I agree somewhat with puked. Remember last year how the Warrior were, many times, battling back from big deficits to try to get close, even win, in the final quarter. Well, if there are big early deficits in games this year, who’s going to bring them back. One big hope, is that our defense will improve enough to keep us less than 10 down at the half or the end of the third quarter.

  • smearthebeard

    How are you off. Oct is 1-1. November is a schedule laced with sub 500 teams. I see them going 10-5 to end Nov. at 11-6. They will pretty much play 500 ball the rest of the year so they will end up 44-38. It may get them in as an 8 seed.

  • goingforthemoney.com

    Pessimism is the direct link to defeatism! Thank God most of you are not on the team or the head coach! They might as well not play with the line of thinking that i’ve just read from most of you. The W’s have the talent to be successful. The only question is will they have the chemistry! If so they will win at least 44 games regardless of the schedule.