By Marcus Thompson
Friday, August 21st, 2009 at 5:45 pm in Uncategorized.
(Sorry in advance for any such typos. I am typing this from my phone from the parking lot, and I am heading home, so I don’t have time to edit.)
Was having a discussion with my man. He seemed to think the Warriors are going to make the playoffs this year. I don’t.
What tripped me out wasn’t that we disagreed, but that he thought I was “smoking dope” because I didn’t see the possibility. His certainty caused me to at least pause and ask myself: am I just being a cynnical journalist and missing something? So, I spent some time analyzing it. My conclusion:
No way they make the playoffs this year.
I am not dissing to be dissing, just looking at the facts. What’s it going to take, 45 wins to make the playoffs? That’s +16 over last season. Does a healthy Monta, an improved Anthony Randolph and Stephen Curry replacing Jamal Crawford get you 16 wins? I don’t think so. Maybe 10, if Randolph can handle the increased role and Curry is who the Warriors think he is.
Plus, looking at the West, who do try beat out?
Lakers, San Antonio, New Orleans, Portland and Dallas are locks, I think. Denver didn’t do much to get better, but they could be a lock, too (though I wouldn’t be surprised of they slumped this year) leaves three spots, maybe two. The Warriors would be competing with Utah, Houston and Phoenix. And if there is a Cinderella team, it is (on paper) most likely to be Oklahoma City – which NASA direction set and has a couple years under it’s belt working toward it – or even the Clippers, who when healthy has a pretty good mix of veterans and youth.
So, what do you think? I know injuries can change everything. But am I just being a hater because I don’t see how they could possibly make it, or are those who think there’s a chance “smoking dope”?